Silver Price Surges to US$36, Marking 13 Year High

CME Group's (NASDAQ:CME) FedWatch tool shows half of market respondents predict a 0.25 percent cut at the Fed's September meeting, while the other half is split on the Fed holding the line and a deeper 0.5 percent cut.

Silver's spike also comes after a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Following the discussion, Trump said a near-term ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely, noting that Putin has vowed to respond to recent attacks by Ukraine that destroyed more than 40 nuclear-capable aircraft.

On the economic data front, the US released its weekly unemployment insurance report on Thursday. It shows that the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 247,000 for the week ended on May 31. The four week average has been pushed to 1.9 million, the highest level since November 27, 2021.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported more data to suggest a slumping US economy in a Thursday report focused on Q1. In its release, the bureau said that nonfarm labor productivity decreased 1.5 percent in the first quarter of the year as output decreased 0.2 percent and hours worked increased 1.3 percent.

The labor news comes as the Trump administration ratcheted up tariffs on steel and aluminum products to 50 percent this week, raising the possibility of a deepening trade war, and putting greater pressure on the global economy.

Elsewhere, gold and equity markets weren’t faring as well on Thursday.

Gold was off by 0.5 percent in morning trading, falling to US$3,353.66 per ounce.

The metal has surged more than 25 percent this year, setting a slew of new price records, and has continued to trade in elevated territory, fueled by the same conditions as silver’s recent run.

The S&P 500 (INDEXSP: INX) was flat, recording a 0.14 percent decline to 5,961. The Nasdaq-100 (INDEXNASDAQ: NDX) was the sole gainer in morning trading, rising 0.24 percent to 21,776, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX: .DJI) was unchanged at 42,422.