Kazatomprom Cuts 2026 Uranium Output as Market Tightens, Demand Seen Rising

Kazakhstan’s state-owned uranium giant Kazatomprom will scale back production in 2026, saying that current supply and demand dynamics do not justify a return to full capacity even as long-term prices hold firm.

The company, which accounts for more than one-fifth of the world’s primary uranium output, said it expects to lower production by roughly 10 percent compared with earlier targets, reducing its nominal output level from 32,777 metric tons of uranium (tU) to 29,697 tU.

That equates to a drop of around 8 million pounds of uranium, or about 5 percent of global supply. Most of the reduction will come from adjustments at its Budenovskoye joint venture.

“As the world’s largest producer and seller of natural uranium, Kazatomprom fully recognises the critical role the Company has in supporting the global energy transition,” Chief Executive Meirzhan Yussupov said, as the miner released its first half 2025 results.

Kazatomprom said the present market environment does not warrant lifting production to its previous 100 percent level. The long-term uranium price has remained stable at around US$80 per pound, despite volatility in spot markets and financial uncertainty tied to tariff disputes.

Instead, Kazatomprom said it plans to “exercise its downflex opportunity within the acceptable 20 percent deviation under the updated 2026 Subsoil Use production levels.” It added that the actual guidance for the 2026 output will be released in a later disclosure.

The company further added that supplies of sulphuric acid, a critical reagent for the in-situ recovery (ISR) mining method used across its operations, are expected to be stable in 2026.

Kazatomprom also pointed to Kazakhstan’s own nuclear energy ambitions. The government has floated plans for three nuclear power plants, each of which would require about 400 metric tons (1.04 million pounds) of uranium annually.

Financially, the announcement accompanied weaker half-year results. Kazatomprom reported a 54 percent fall in net profit to 263.2 billion Kazakhstani tenge (around US$489.5 million) in the first six months of 2025, compared with the same period a year earlier. Revenue further slipped 6 percent to 660.2 billion tenge due to lower sales volumes.

In August 2024, the company cut its 2025 uranium output forecast by 12–17 percent amid a sulfuric acid shortage. Its new acid plant won’t be ready until at least 2026, while higher mineral extraction taxes starting which commenced earlier this year are set to raise costs and erode its traditional competitive edge.

Even as it trims output targets, Kazatomprom stressed that it is pushing ahead with large-scale exploration programs across Kazakhstan. The initiatives are aimed at replenishing reserves and safeguarding the company’s status as the leading global supplier of nuclear fuel.

“Kazatomprom is currently undertaking a large-scale exploration in Kazakhstan, which is a top priority for replenishing its resource base and maintaining its leading position as a global nuclear fuel supplier,” Yussupov said.

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Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.