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Top Stories This Week: Gold Price Breaks Out, Sweden Gears Up to Lift Uranium Ban
Meanwhile, nickel execs sounded the alarm about Indonesian supply, and new numbers showed that Chinese investors continue to pour money into Canadian critical metals companies.
The gold price largely stayed flat for the first part of this week, but jumped on Thursday (February 29) after the release of the latest personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data.
Core PCE, which excludes the more volatile food and energy categories, was up 0.4 percent month-on-month and 2.8 percent from the previous year. The PCE price index is the US Federal Reserve's preferred gauge for inflation, and is watched closely by experts who are looking for clues about when the central bank may start to lower interest rates.
While the 2.8 percent year-on-year increase is the slowest since March 2021, the 0.4 percent month-on-month rise is the biggest since January 2023 and is quite a bit larger than December's uptick of 0.1 percent.
Gold spiked even higher on Friday (March 1) after the Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) came in at 47.8 in February, which is weaker than expected. Readings below 50 indicate a contraction in manufacturing, and the PMI has now come in under that level for 16 months in a row.
The yellow metal finished the week at US$2,082.69 per ounce. The Fed's next meeting is scheduled to run from March 19 to 20, and it now looks as though market participants are pricing in three rate cuts this year.
Bullet briefing — Critical metals, uranium and nickel
Chinese investors still pouring money into Canadian miners
Back in 2022, Canada ordered three Chinese investors to sell their stakes in Canadian critical metals companies.
The move was geared at restricting foreign investment in this sector, but new research from the University of Alberta shows that the landscape hasn't exactly changed — in 2023, investors in China and Hong Kong made at least a dozen investments worth C$2.2 billion in Canadian critical metals companies.
That's up substantially from the C$62 million seen in 2022. As Dean McPherson, TMX Group's (TSX:X,OTC Pink:TMXXF) head of global mining, told Reuters this week, "What you are seeing is the reality, that there is no blockade of Chinese investments in Canada ... it is a perception issue."
Sweden moves to lift uranium mining ban
Public perception of uranium saw another shift this week as Sweden made moves to lift its ban on uranium mining and exploration. The moratorium has been in place since May 2018, but now the country has started a government investigation that could see it reverse course. The inquiry will conclude on May 15 of this year.
Nickel execs sound the alarm on Indonesian supply
Execs at major nickel miners are sounding the alarm about the future of their businesses as cheap metal continues to flow from Indonesia. According to Bloomberg, about half of the world's largest mines are unprofitable at current prices.
Indonesia's output of low-grade nickel has increased rapidly, and innovations in processing have allowed it to be refined into higher-quality products. Meanwhile, economic weakness has dampened demand. Non-Indonesian miners have the advantage of producing "greener" nickel, but that hasn't boosted buying.
"There is a serious structural challenge as a result of Indonesian nickel. They don’t seem to be letting up anytime soon," said Duncan Wanblad, group chief executive at Anglo American (LSE:AAL,OTCQX:AAUKF).
See INN at PDAC!
The Investing News Network team will be at the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada convention from March 3 to 6. Better known as PDAC, the event brings together thousands of people in the resource industry.
PDAC is always one of my highlights for the year, and I'm excited to be doing interviews with some of our most popular guests, including Rick Rule, Lobo Tiggre, Adrian Day, Brien Lundin and more.
If you're at PDAC, I'd love to say hello — we'll be filming on the 700 level of the convention center, just outside Room 714B. If you're not attending, find us on YouTube and on X @INN_Resource as we post content from the show.
Want more YouTube content? Check out our expert market commentary playlist, which features interviews with key figures in the resource space. If there's someone you'd like to see us interview, please send an email to cmcleod@investingnews.com.
And don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
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With an eye for detail and over a decade of experience covering the mining and metals sector, Charlotte is passionate about bringing investors accurate and insightful information that can help them make informed decisions.
She leads the Investing News Network's video and event coverage, and guides a team of writers reporting on niche investment markets.
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With an eye for detail and over a decade of experience covering the mining and metals sector, Charlotte is passionate about bringing investors accurate and insightful information that can help them make informed decisions.
She leads the Investing News Network's video and event coverage, and guides a team of writers reporting on niche investment markets.
Learn about our editorial policies.