Zambia doesn’t have the same designs on First Quantum that it has for Konkola Copper Mines, according to sources closes to the government.
“The government will not touch First Quantum,” one government source said, according to Reuters. “Vedanta is very different from First Quantum.”
First Quantum, along with a number of other foreign companies, including KCM, has been actively fighting the Zambian government over taxes since it announced a raft of new measures designed to help balance its debts. The measures include new mining duties, increased royalties and plans to replace a value-added tax with a sales tax.
Since late May, the government of Zambia, led by Edgar Lungu, has been seeking to take control of KCM, which runs three mines in the country. Two of them are copper mines — Nchanga, which Vedanta suspended in January over import taxes on processing supplies, and its flagship Konkola mine.
According to the Zambian government, KCM has breached the terms of the operating license. Further details are thin on the ground.
A court case on the future of KCM’s assets is going to be heard in Lusaka on June 20, with majority owner Vedanta applying to be represented by its own lawyers to make its case, rather than those appointed by the provisional liquidator.
For First Quantum, avoiding the fate of KCM and Vedanta will be a key priority, as Zambia is home to the lion’s share of the Canadian company’s operating assets.
The Cobre Panama copper mine in Panama is the only major asset run by First Quantum that’s not in Zambia, but that mine has some of its own problems. The new president of the Central American country said he wishes to review the contract that was the foundation for the entire project. It has been under a shadow since late September last year due to constitutional concerns.
When fully ramped up, Cobre Panama will account for more than a third of First Quantum’s copper output — but that target is years away, while Zambia is pushing through its new tax laws now.
Despite the troubles facing the company on both sides of the world, Reuters reports that the company is in Zambia for the long haul, which makes sense considering Zambia currently accounts for 83 percent of its production.
First Quantum operates two mines in Zambia: Kansanshi and Sentinel. Kansanshi is the largest copper mine in Africa.
The company hasn’t made any comment on developments in Zambia in recent days, but according to Reuters, sources close to the company say it’s likely to freeze further investment in the country.
Earlier this year, Zambia was named in a Verisk Maplecroft report as one of 10 African nations experiencing a growth in resource nationalism in 2018, ranking at 17th globally for resource nationalism overall.
Neighboring Tanzania ranked third globally, while the Democratic Republic of Congo ranked number one — a listing it shares with Venezuela.
On the TSX on Tuesday (June 11), First Quantum was trading up 2.78 percent, reaching C$11.09 by market close.
Year-to-date, the company is currently up by just 0.45 percent, having reached highs of C$16.35 in mid-April and lows of C$9.60 in early January.
Zambia is the seventh largest copper-producing country in the world, and the second in Africa behind the Democratic Republic of Congo.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Scott Tibballs, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.