Cameco reports third quarter results - well positioned with strengthened balance sheet, supported by Cigar Lake restart

Cameco (TSX: CCO; NYSE: CCJ) today reported its consolidated financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2020 in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).

"As expected, our results continue to be impacted by the pro-active operational decisions taken earlier this year," said Tim Gitzel, Cameco's president and CEO. "We believe that the actions we have taken to slow the spread of the COVID-19 virus are prudent and reflect our values – placing priority on the health and safety of our employees, their families and their communities. However, our decisions do come with near-term costs.

"Consistent with our conservative financial management, we have positioned the company well to deal with uncertainty, whether that uncertainty arises as a result of Canada Revenue Agency's actions or the volatility that may arise due to the economic upheaval being felt globally. We have strengthened our balance sheet, and our committed sales portfolio provides us with certainty and predictability. Therefore, we remain resolved in our strategy to build long-term value and will continue to do what we said we would do.

"In an environment where we think trade policy, like the amendment to the Russian Suspension Agreement in the US, will create opportunities for commercial suppliers like Cameco and where utilities have growing uncovered requirements, we are excited about the fundamentals for our industry. We see demand for nuclear growing driven by an increasing focus on electrification and the recognition that to achieve this while still meeting clean-air and climate change goals, nuclear will be needed in the toolbox. And this is occurring precisely while there is growing uncertainty and risk around global uranium supply. We believe these fundamentals will lead to security of supply concerns and will allow us to layer in the long-term contracts necessary to support the restart of our McArthur River/Key Lake operations and solidify our role as a low-cost, safe, reliable, commercial supplier of the uranium fuel needed for carbon-free nuclear electricity generation.

"We are also excited about the growing focus on sustainability and the importance of environmental, social and governance matters not just to our investors, but also to our customers and other stakeholders. Sustainability is at the heart of what we do. Embedded in all our decisions is a commitment to addressing the environmental, social and governance risks and opportunities that we believe will make our business sustainable over the long term. In these uncertain times, perhaps more than ever, it will be critical that we continue to work together to build on the strong foundation we have already established."

  • Net loss of $ 61 million; adjusted net loss of $ 78 million: Results are driven by normal quarterly variations in contract deliveries and our continued execution on all strategic fronts. This quarter was also impacted by ongoing purchase activity and additional care and maintenance costs of $18 million resulting from the proactive decision to suspend production at the Cigar Lake mine in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Adjusted net earnings is a non-IFRS measure, see below.
  • Cigar Lake restart : We safely restarted Cigar Lake in September. As planned, it took about two weeks to achieve initial production once the mine was restarted. Our share of production in the quarter was 0.2 million pounds. We continue to target our share of production for 2020 to be up to 5.3 million pounds in total. The continued operation of the Cigar Lake mine will be dependent on our ability to maintain safe and stable operating protocols along with a number of other factors, including how the COVID-19 pandemic is impacting the availability of the required workforce, northern Saskatchewan communities and the ability of the McClean Lake mill to continue to operate.
  • Str en g thened balance sheet: On October 21, 2020, we issued debentures in the amount $400 million, bearing interest of 2.95% per annum and maturing in 2027, and announced the redemption of our outstanding $400 million debenture bearing interest of 3.75% maturing in 2022, which is to be completed on or about November 20, 2020. As of September 30, 2020, we had $793 million in cash and short-term investments and $1.0 billion in long-term debt. In addition, we have a $1 billion undrawn credit facility. We expect our cash balances and operating cash flows to meet our capital requirements during 2020, therefore, we do not anticipate drawing on our credit facility this year.
  • Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) tax dispute: On October 30, 2020 we received notification that CRA has sought leave to appeal to the Supreme Court of Canada (Supreme Court) the June 26, 2020 decision of the Federal Court of Appeal, which found in our favour in our dispute of reassessments issued by CRA for the 2003, 2005 and 2006 tax years. The Supreme Court will decide whether to hear the appeal or decline CRA's request for leave. If the appeal proceeds, we estimate that it could take until the second half of 2022 before a decision is rendered by the Supreme Court. We remain confident in our position, which has thus far prevailed at every stage of the legal process. See our news release issued on October 30, 2020 at cameco.com for more details.
  • Annual dividend declared : For 2020, an annual dividend of $0.08 per common share has been declared, payable on December 15, 2020, to shareholders of record on November 30, 2020. The decision to declare an annual dividend by our board is based on our cash flow, financial position, strategy, and other relevant factors including appropriate alignment with the cyclical nature of our earnings.
Consolidated financial results
THREE MONTHS NINE MONTHS
CONSOLIDATED HIGHLIGHTS ENDED
SEPTEMBER 30
ENDED
SEPTEMBER 30
($ MILLIONS EXCEPT WHERE INDICATED) 2020 2019 CHANGE 2020 2019 CHANGE
Revenue 379 303 25% 1,250 988 27%
Gross profit (loss) (24) (2) >(100%) (2) 57 >(100%)
Net losses attributable to equity holders (61) (13) >(100%) (133) (54) >(100%)
$ per common share (basic) (0.15) (0.03) >(100%) (0.34) (0.14) >(100%)
$ per common share (diluted) (0.15) (0.03) >(100%) (0.34) (0.14) >(100%)
Adjusted net losses (non-IFRS, see below) (78) (2) >(100%) (114) (53) >(100%)
$ per common share (adjusted and diluted) (0.20) (0.01) >(100%) (0.29) (0.13) >(100%)
Cash provided by (used in) operations (after working capital changes)

(66)

232

>(100%)

(200)

253

>(100%)

The financial information presented for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2019 and September 30, 2020 is unaudited.

NET EARNINGS
The following table shows what contributed to the change in net earnings and adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS measure, see below) in the third quarter and first nine months of 2020, compared to the same period in 2019.

CHANGES IN EARNINGS THREE MONTHS ENDED NINE MONTHS ENDED
($ MILLIONS) SEPTEMBER 30 SEPTEMBER 30
IFRS ADJUSTED IFRS ADJUSTED
Net losses – 2019 (13 ) (2 ) (54 ) (53 )
Change in gross profit by segment
(We calculate gross profit by deducting from revenue the cost of products and services sold, and depreciation and amortization (D&A))
Uranium Higher sales volume - - 5 5
Higher realized prices ($US) 25 25 16 16
Foreign exchange impact on realized prices 1 1 22 22
Higher costs (57) (57) (123) (123)
Change – uranium (31 ) (31 ) (80 ) (80 )
Fuel services Higher sales volume 3 3 7 7
Higher (lower) realized prices ($Cdn) (13) (13) 9 9
Lower costs 18 18 5 5
Change – fuel services 8 8 21 21
Higher administration expenditures (6) (6) (10) (10)
Lower exploration expenditures 1 1 3 3
Change in reclamation provisions (4) - 5 -
Higher (lower) earnings from equity-accounted investee 1 1 (8) (8)
Change in gains or losses on derivatives 36 (4) (24) 5
Change in foreign exchange gains or losses (19) (19) 27 27
Arbitration award in 2019 related to TEPCO contract (53) (53) (53) (53)
Change in income tax recovery or expense 15 23 25 19
Other 4 4 15 15
Net losses – 2020 (61 ) (78 ) (133 ) (114 )

Adjusted net earnings (non-IFRS measure)
Adjusted net earnings is a measure that does not have a standardized meaning or a consistent basis of calculation under IFRS (non-IFRS measure). We use this measure as a meaningful way to compare our financial performance from period to period. We believe that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, certain investors use this information to evaluate our performance. Adjusted net earnings is our net earnings attributable to equity holders, adjusted to reflect the underlying financial performance for the reporting period. The adjusted earnings measure reflects the matching of the net benefits of our hedging program with the inflows of foreign currencies in the applicable reporting period, and has also been adjusted for reclamation provisions for our Rabbit Lake and US operations, which had been impaired, and income taxes on adjustments.

Adjusted net earnings is non-standard supplemental information and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial information prepared according to accounting standards. Other companies may calculate this measure differently, so you may not be able to make a direct comparison to similar measures presented by other companies.

The following table reconciles adjusted net earnings with net earnings for the third quarter and first nine months of 2020 and compares it to the same periods in 2019.

THREE MONTHS NINE MONTHS
ENDED SEPTEMBER 30 ENDED SEPTEMBER 30
($ MILLIONS) 2020 2019 2020 2019
Net losses attributable to equity holders (61 ) (13) (133 ) (54)
Adjustments
Adjustments on derivatives (31 ) 9 (2 ) (31)
Reclamation provision adjustments 7 3 24 29
Income taxes on adjustments 7 (1) (3 ) 3
Adjusted net losses (78 ) (2) (114 ) (53)

Every quarter we are required to update the reclamation provisions for all operations based on new cash flow estimates, discount and inflation rates. This normally results in an adjustment to an asset retirement obligation asset in addition to the provision balance. When the assets of an operation have been written off due to an impairment, as is the case with our Rabbit Lake and US ISR operations, the adjustment is recorded directly to the statement of earnings as "other operating expense (income)". See note 7 of our interim financial statements for more information. This amount has been excluded from our adjusted net earnings measure.

Selected segmented highlights

THREE MONTHS NINE MONTHS
ENDED
SEPTEMBER 30
ENDED
SEPTEMBER 30
HIGHLIGHTS 2020 2019 CHANGE 2020 2019 CHANGE
Uranium Production volume (million lbs) 0.2 1.4 (86)% 2.3 6.3 (63)%
Sales volume (million lbs) 6.7 6.1 10% 22.0 17.5 26%
Average realized price ($US/lb) 33.77 30.94 9% 32.80 32.05 2%
($Cdn/lb) 44.85 40.91 10% 44.46 42.72 4%
Revenue ($ millions) 302 248 22% 976 748 30%
Gross profit (loss) ($ millions) (34 ) (3) >(100%) (63 ) 17 >(100%)
Fuel services Production volume (million kgU) 2.0 1.7 18% 8.4 9.3 (10)%
Sales volume (million kgU) 2.8 1.8 56% 9.2 8.0 15%
Average realized price ($Cdn/kgU) 26.95 31.56 (15)% 28.66 27.46 4%
Revenue ($ millions) 77 56 38% 263 219 20%
Gross profit ($ millions) 12 4 >100% 65 44 48%

Management's discussion and analysis and financial statements
The third quarter MD&A and unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements provide a detailed explanation of our operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2020, as compared to the same periods last year. This news release should be read in conjunction with these documents, as well as our audited consolidated financial statements and notes for the year ended December 31, 2019, first quarter, second quarter and annual MD&A, and our most recent annual information form, all of which are available on our website at cameco.com, on SEDAR at sedar.com, and on EDGAR at sec.gov/edgar.shtml.

Qualified persons
The technical and scientific information discussed in this document for our material property Cigar Lake was approved by the following individual who is a qualified person for the purposes of NI 43-101:

  • Lloyd Rowson, general manager, Cigar Lake, Cameco

Caution about forward-looking information
This news release includes statements and information about our expectations for the future, which we refer to as forward-looking information. Forward-looking information is based on our current views, which can change significantly, and actual results and events may be significantly different from what we currently expect.

Examples of forward-looking information in this news release include: our expectations that we are well positioned to deal with uncertainty whether it arises as a result of CRA's actions or the volatility that may arise from global economic upheaval, our committed sales portfolio provides us with certainty and predictability, regarding our ability to layer in long-term contracts to support the restart of our McArthur River/Key Lake operations and solidify our role as a low-cost uranium supplier, not drawing on our credit facility this year, and redemption of our $400 million 3.75% debentures maturing in 2022; our targeted share of Cigar Lake's 2020 production; our views on the uranium market, including trade policy, industry fundamentals, supply, demand and utilities' uncovered requirements; that we remain confident in our position in our CRA tax dispute; that it could take until the second half of 2022 before a decision is rendered by the Supreme Court; and the factors to be considered and the timing for determination of any future dividends.

Material risks that could lead to different results include: that we may be required to draw on our credit facility to manage disruptions to our business caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and to fund 2020 capital requirements; that we may be unable to successfully manage the uncertainty due to the volatility that may arise from global economic upheaval resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and its related operational, safety, marketing or financial risks successfully, including the risk of significant disruption to our operations, workforce, required supplies or services, and ability to produce, transport and deliver uranium; that our Cigar Lake production plans do not succeed for any reason; the McClean Lake mill is unable to mill Cigar Lake ore; our views that the company is well positioned to deal with the uncertainty whether it arises as a result of CRA's actions or the volatility that may arise due to global economic upheaval, our committed sales portfolio provides us with certainty and predictability, on the uranium market, and redemption of our $400 million 3.75% debentures maturing in 2022, may prove to be inaccurate; unexpected changes in uranium supply, demand, contracting, and prices; a major accident at a nuclear power plant; changes in government regulations or policies; the risk of litigation or arbitration claims or appeals against us that have an adverse outcome; if leave is granted, we are unsuccessful in appeal of the Federal Court of Appeal's decision and this ultimately gives rise to material tax liabilities and payment obligations that would have a material adverse effect on us; the possibility that it will take longer to receive a decision if the Supreme Court agrees to hear an appeal; the risk our strategies may change, be unsuccessful or have unanticipated consequences; the risk our estimates and forecasts prove to be incorrect; and the risk that other factors may affect the determination of any future dividends.

In presenting this forward-looking information, we have made material assumptions which may prove incorrect, including assumptions regarding our ability to successfully manage the current uncertain environment resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and its related operational, safety, marketing and financial risks successfully; assumptions about our ability to deal with the uncertainty whether it arises as a result of CRA's actions or the volatility that may arise from global economic upheaval, and to manage disruptions to our business caused by the COVID-19 pandemic including without drawing on our credit facility; assumptions about our committed sales portfolio; assumptions regarding our ability to maintain production at Cigar Lake and the McClean Lake mill's ability to mill Cigar Lake ore; assumptions about uranium supply, demand, contracting and prices; assumptions about redemption of our $400 million 3.75% debentures maturing in 2022; about the time it would take to receive a decision if the Supreme Court agrees to hear an appeal; market conditions and other factors upon which we have based our future plans and forecasts; the absence of any adverse government regulations, policies or decisions; and the successful outcome of any litigation or arbitration claims or appeals against us, including success in our tax dispute with CRA.

Forward-looking information is designed to help you understand management's current views of our near-term and longer-term prospects, and it may not be appropriate for other purposes. We will not necessarily update this information unless we are required to by securities laws.

Conference call
We invite you to join our third quarter conference call on Wednesday, November 4, 2020, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern.

The call will be open to all investors and the media. To join the call, please dial 1-800-319-4610 (Canada and US) or 1-604-638-5340. An operator will put your call through. The slides and a live webcast of the conference call will be available from a link at cameco.com. See the link on our home page on the day of the call.

A recorded version of the proceedings will be available:

  • on our website, cameco.com, shortly after the call
  • on post view until midnight, Eastern, December 4, 2020, by calling 1-800-319-6413 (Canada and US) or 1-604-638-9010 (Passcode 5292)

Profile
Cameco is one of the largest global providers of the uranium fuel needed to energize a clean-air world. Our competitive position is based on our controlling ownership of the world's largest high-grade reserves and low-cost operations. Utilities around the world rely on our nuclear fuel products to generate power in safe, reliable, carbon-free nuclear reactors. Our shares trade on the Toronto and New York stock exchanges. Our head office is in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan.

As used in this news release, the terms we, us, our, the Company and Cameco mean Cameco Corporation and its subsidiaries unless otherwise indicated.

Investor inquiries:
Rachelle Girard
306-956-6403
rachelle_girard@cameco.com

Media inquiries:
Jeff Hryhoriw
306-385-5221
jeff_hryhoriw@cameco.com

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2024 Uranium Outlook Report for Investors

2024 Uranium Outlook Report

2024 Uranium Outlook Report

After a stellar 2023, the question is whether uranium will continue to rise steadily or spike higher like it did in the last cycle.

Our journalists have reached out to the insiders to get you their best forecasts and tips on the best way to invest in uranium in 2024.

Table of Contents:

  • Uranium Price Update: Q1 2024 in Review
  • Justin Huhn: Uranium Price, Supply and Stocks in 2024 — Plus Cameco Analysis
  • Lobo Tiggre: Uranium Back on the Table, When Will Gold Stocks Move?
  • Gwen Preston: Gold Gearing Up for Next Move, Safest Bets in Uranium
  • Top 5 Canadian Uranium Stocks
Uranium Outlook 2024

A Sneak Peek At What The Insiders Are Saying

“We don't need any more catalysts. We've got a 30 million to 50 million pound supply deficit in the market probably for the next five years. That's what we're looking at. And that's what's going to move the price"
— Justin Huhn, Uranium Insider

"To us (nuclear energy) was always the answer. And while everyone seems very pessimistic about everything, I think that perhaps we could be on the verge of a huge, major transformation where finally we do appreciate nuclear for the unbelievable technology that it is."
— Adam Rozencwajg, Goehring & Rozencwajg

Who We Are

The Investing News Network is a growing network of authoritative publications delivering independent, unbiased news and education for investors. We deliver knowledgeable, carefully curated coverage of a variety of markets including gold, cannabis, biotech and many others. This means you read nothing but the best from the entire world of investing advice, and never have to waste your valuable time doing hours, days or weeks of research yourself.

At the same time, not a single word of the content we choose for you is paid for by any company or investment advisor: We choose our content based solely on its informational and educational value to you, the investor.

So if you are looking for a way to diversify your portfolio amidst political and financial instability, this is the place to start. Right now.

2024 Uranium Outlook Report

Uranium Price Update: Q1 2024 in Review

The uranium spot price displayed volatility in Q1, rising to a high unseen since 2007 before ending the quarter below US$90 per pound. U3O8 values shed 3.96 percent over the three month period, but experts believe fundamentals remain strong and expect the sector to benefit from various tailwinds in the months ahead.

Supply remains a key factor in the uranium landscape, with a deficit projected to grow amid production challenges. With annual output well below the current demand levels, the supply crunch is expected to be a long-term price driver.

“Supply-side fragility continued to be one of the key themes in Q1, especially the news out of Kazakhstan that production would be significantly lower than expected in 2024 than previously thought,” Ben Finegold, associate at London-based investment firm Ocean Wall, told the Investing News Network in an interview.

These favorable fundamentals are expected to support uranium prices for the remainder of the year.

Finegold also noted that spot market activity highlights how sensitive the sector is to supply challenges.

“Spot market prices have also been a key talking point as volatility in pricing has increased dramatically in Q1 to both the upside and downside,” he explained. “It has brought to light just how thinly traded the spot market is, but interestingly term prices have only continued to rise, which is indicative that the long-term fundamentals remain intact.”

Sulfuric acid shortage impeding supply growth

The U3O8 spot price opened the year at US$91.71 and edged higher through January 22, when values hit a 17 year high of US$106.87. However, the near two decade record was short lived, and by month’s end uranium was around US$100.

Uranium price, Q1 2024.

Uranium price, Q1 2024.

Chart via Cameco.

Some of the price positivity early in the quarter came as Kazatomprom (LSE:KAP,OTC Pink:NATKY) warned that it was expecting to adjust its 2024 production guidance due to “challenges related to the availability of sulfuric acid.”

The state producer and major uranium player confirmed the reduction on February 1, underscoring the importance of sulfuric acid in its in-situ recovery method and describing its efforts to secure supply.

“Presently, the company is actively pursuing alternative sources for sulfuric acid procurement,” a press release states.

“Looking ahead in the medium term, the deficit is expected to alleviate as a result of the potential increase in sulphuric acid supply from local non-ferrous metals mining and smelting operations. The company also intends to enhance its in-house sulfuric acid production capacity by constructing a new plant.”

In 2023, Kazatomprom initiated the establishment of Taiqonyr Qyshqyl Zauyty to oversee the construction of a new sulfuric acid plant capable of producing 800,000 metric tons annually.

In the years ahead, the company is aiming to bolster its sulfuric acid production capacities through existing partnerships to achieve a consolidated production volume of approximately 1.5 million metric tons.

In the meantime, disruptions to Kazakh output will only grow the market deficit.

According to the World Nuclear Association, total global uranium production in 2022 only satiated 74 percent of global demand, a number that is likely to shrink as nuclear reactors in Asian countries begin coming online.

“Kazakhstan is the largest producer of uranium in the world — 44 percent. We like to think of Kazakhstan as the OPEC of uranium,” John Ciampaglia, CEO of Sprott Asset Management, said during a recent webinar.

Kazatomprom forecasts its adjusted uranium production for 2024 will range between 21,000 and 22,500 metric tons on a 100 percent basis, and 10,900 to 11,900 metric tons on an attributable basis. While in line with the company’s 2023 output, the major had to forgo a production ramp up due to the sulfuric acid shortage and development issues.

Analysts and market watchers foresee the sulfuric acid shortage being a long-term price driver.

“The sulfuric acid issue in Kazakhstan is a systemic problem that we do not believe will go away any time soon,” said Finegold. “While the company is doing what they can to alleviate pressures on sulfuric acid supplies, we believe their ability to ramp up production will be hindered for several years before their third domestic plant comes online. As such, we do not see Kazakh uranium production increasing significantly over the next three to four years.”

COP28 nuclear commitment supporting demand

The U3O8 spot price spiked again in early February, reaching US$105 before another correction set in.

As Finegold explained, some of the retraction was the result of profit taking from short-term holders.

“Financial speculators looking to lock in profits towards March year ends played a role, but as we know these moves are achieved on very little volume, so the point remains that the long-term thesis remains unchanged,” he said.

Finegold went on to highlight the different investment perspectives within the market.

“Spot market participants trade on very different parameters and time horizons to one another,” he said. “A trader and a hedge fund, for example, act in a totally different manner to a utility who are long-term thinkers.”

Despite February's slight contraction, uranium prices have remained elevated above US$80.

Some of this long-term support is the result of a COP28 nuclear capacity declaration. At the organization's December meeting in Dubai, more than 20 countries signed a proclamation to triple nuclear capacity by 2050.

There are currently 440 operational nuclear reactors with an additional 13 slated to come online this year and another 47 expected to start electricity generation by 2030. For Finegold, this commitment to building and fortifying nuclear capacity has been uranium's most prevalent demand trend. “The demand side of the equation remains robust and growing at a time when the supply side has never been more fragile,” he commented.

Others also believe the COP28 commitment was a tipping point for the uranium market that spawned several announcements about mine restarts and project extensions.

“Governments around the world have acknowledged that they need to be more supportive, not just financially, but in terms of expediting new projects, expediting the environmental permitting processes for new uranium mines,” said Sprott’s Ciampaglia during the webinar. “And it's not just happening in one country — with the exception of one or two outliers in Europe, this is happening around the globe.”

Geopolitical risk and resource nationalism are price catalysts

Uranium prices continued to consolidate from mid-February through mid-March, but remained above US$84.

This positivity saw several uranium companies in the US, Canada and Australia announce plans to bring existing mines out of care and maintenance. In late November, uranium major Cameco (TSX:CCO,NYSE:CCJ) announced it was restarting operations at its McArthur River/Key Lake project in Saskatchewan after four years.

In January, the McClean Lake joint venture which is co-owned by Denison Mines (TSX:DML,NYSEAMERICAN:DNN) and Orano Canada, reported plans to restart its McClean Lake project, also located in the Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan.

South of the border, exploration company IsoEnergy (TSXV:ISO,OTCQX:ISENF) is gearing up to restart mining at its Tony M underground mine in Utah. “With the uranium spot price now trading around US$100 per pound, we are in the very fortunate position of owning multiple, past-producing, fully permitted uranium mines in the U.S. that we believe can be restarted quickly with relatively low capital costs," IsoEnergy CEO and Director Phil Williams said in a February release.

Building North American capacity is especially important ahead of the global nuclear energy ramp up and the ongoing geopolitical tensions between Russia and the west. While nuclear power is used to provide nearly 20 percent of America's electricity, the nation produces a very small amount of the uranium it needs.

Instead, the country imports as much as 40.5 million pounds annually.

According to the US Energy Information Administration, 27 percent of imports come from ally nation Canada, while 25 percent of imports come from Kazakhstan and 11 percent originate in Uzbekistan — both considered allies of Russia.

Commenting on that topic, Finegold noted, “The ongoing talk around US sanctions remains the most significant geopolitical catalyst for the sector." He added, "While we do not believe sanctions could be enforced immediately, it will send a signal to the market that Russia will no longer be involved in the largest uranium market in the world and would inevitably have an impact on fuel cycle component prices.”

If sanctions do limit imports from Russian allies, Finegold expects these countries to form stronger ties to China.

“Outside of this, the relationship between Kazakhstan and China remains one to watch as the Chinese continue their nuclear rollout strategy and look to procure millions of Kazakh-produced pounds,” he added.

Uranium price outlook remains positive

After hitting a Q1 low of US$84.84 on March 18, uranium began to move positively, ending the three month session in the US$88 range. Commitments to nuclear capacity, the energy transition and stifled supply will continue to be the most prevalent market drivers heading into the second quarter and the rest of the year.

“We believe uranium prices will significantly outrun the recent US$107 highs from February in 2024, driven by a fundamental supply/demand imbalance,” said Finegold. “Producers will continue to cover production shortfalls, while utilities struggle to replenish inventory shortages.”

The Ocean Wall associate went on to note, “The inherent appetite of traders and financial speculators will continue to drive prices higher. These demand drivers are converging at a time when supply has never looked more fragile.”

Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!

Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.

Additional information on uranium stock investing — FREE

Justin Huhn: Uranium Price, Supply and Stocks in 2024 — Plus Cameco Analysis

All eyes were on uranium at the end of 2023 as the energy fuel soared through US$100 per pound.

But where is the market headed this year? Justin Huhn, founder and publisher of Uranium Insider, shared his thoughts in an extensive interview with the Investing News Network, emphasizing his continued bullishness.

Outlining current supply/demand dynamics, Huhn said that although 2023's sizeable deficit of about 40 million pounds will shrink a little in 2024, he sees a "very large" deficit persisting for a number of years.

Huhn sees this situation pushing prices for uranium much higher, although he didn't give an exact number.

"The price isn't going to make sense for anybody," he said. "We can arguably go up another US$20 — that will arguably incentivize every project in the world to be profitable. But the price is going to go far beyond that simply driven by the substantially larger amount of demand than we have for supply."

In terms of which stocks to focus on, Huhn said since December small- and mid-cap companies have been outperforming larger-cap companies — he's tracking that movement via the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (NASDAQ:URNJ), which holds a basket of small- and mid-cap uranium stocks, and sector major Cameco (TSX:CCO,NYSE:CCJ).

"The main theory around this is that as the story gets more popular due to its relative performance and it starts to attract more investment attention, you're going to attract more retail investors, and the retail investors largely go after the smaller companies because they believe that there's torque in those companies. And there is torque in those smaller companies," he explained during the conversation. "Unfortunately, when risk is off, that torque is to the downside. When it's on they can outperform by orders of magnitude."

Watch the interview above for Huhn's full thoughts on the topics discussed above, as well his analysis of Cameco's latest results, contracting in the uranium space and why the sector doesn't need any more catalysts.

Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.

Additional information on uranium stock investing — FREE

Lobo Tiggre: Uranium Back on the Table, When Will Gold Stocks Move?

Speaking to the Investing News Network, Lobo Tiggre, CEO of IndependentSpeculator.com, shared his thoughts on uranium's recent price pullback and gold's new nominal all-time high.

"I'm putting uranium back on the table again. I'm actually as bullish again now on uranium as I am on gold for this year. I think both are going to do really well," he said at the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention.

Watch the interview for more from Tiggre on uranium and gold. You can also click here for our PDAC playlist.

Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.

Affiliate Disclosure: The Investing News Network may earn commission from qualifying purchases or actions made through the links or advertisements on this page.

Additional information on uranium stock investing — FREE

Gwen Preston: Gold Gearing Up for Next Move, Safest Bets in Uranium

Speaking to the Investing News Network, Gwen Preston of Resource Maven shared her thoughts on gold in 2024, noting that the yellow metal should work for investors from the middle of the year onward.

"I think the next move up in gold is going to require the rate cut — we've had the expectation of the rate cut built into the price, that's why we've gone up to new highs," she said at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference (VRIC). "But we're still really in that sideways trend ... I think actually breaking through it will require the rate cut."

Looking over to uranium, Preston said that although the price has moved substantially in recent months, the commodity's supply/demand dynamics are such that it could "easily" jump to US$140 per pound overnight.

In terms of supply, uranium has become a seller's market. While companies are working to bring new mines online and restart idled production, the process won't be quick. She sees some relief coming from hedge funds that bought uranium at low prices and are now ready to sell, but emphasized that the volumes they'll be able to provide will be small.

There's also the east/west divide in the sector. Preston noted that the US Senate is likely to approve a ban on Russian uranium imports — and if that happens, Russia will probably preemptively cut off sales of the material to the US.

"There just isn't supply ... despite a few little setbacks that maybe create a trading range for a little while here to stabilize this huge price run that we've seen, I think (the price) will still go higher. I'm very confident that the price is going to end 2024 higher than the insane price that it began the year at. Because it's not actually insane. It's a valid representation of the lack of this essential commodity that the utilities need," she explained during the conversation.

In Preston's view, the safest uranium stocks right now are those with growing US production — those include Uranium Energy (NYSEAMERICAN:UEC), enCore Energy (TSXV:EU,NASDAQ:EU) and Energy Fuels (TSX:EFR,NYSEAMERICAN:UUUU).

Watch the interview above for more from Preston on gold and uranium. You can also click here for the Investing News Network's full VRIC playlist on YouTube.

Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Editorial Disclosure: Energy Fuels is a client of the Investing News Network. This article is not paid-for content.

The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.

Additional information on uranium stock investing — FREE

Top 5 Canadian Uranium Stocks of 2024

The spot uranium price added 86.41 percent to its value in 2023 and started 2024 at US$90.98 per pound. By late January, prices for the energy commodity had rallied to a 17 year high of US$106.

However, as Q1 progressed, uranium saw some consolidation. By March 11, values had slipped below US$90 for the first time since late December. Even so, prices remain historically high, holding above US$85 as of April 10.

Uranium's sustained high values following years of underperformance underscore its positive supply and demand dynamics, which are improving as nuclear power becomes an important factor in the energy transition.

During an interview with the Investing News Network at the annual Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada convention in March, Scott Melbye of Uranium Energy (NYSEAMERICAN:UEC) and Uranium Royalty (TSX:URC,NASDAQ:UROY) expressed optimism about the current price trajectory for the energy fuel.

"There's nothing to keep uranium from going to US$150, US$200 in this environment," he said.

Below are the top uranium stocks on the TSX, TSXV and CSE by share price performance so far this year. All data was obtained on April 9, 2024, using TradingView’s stock screener, and all companies had market caps above C$10 million at the time. Read on to learn what factors have been moving their share prices.

1. District Metals (TSXV:DMX)

Year-to-date gain: 140.63 percent; market cap: C$41.8 million; share price: C$0.38

District Metals is an energy metals and polymetallic explorer and developer with a portfolio of nine assets, including five uranium projects in Sweden. It's currently focused on its Viken property, which hosts a uranium-vanadium deposit.

Historic estimates conducted in 2010 and 2014 peg the indicated resource at 43 million metric tons with an average grade 0.019 percent U3O8, with another 3 billion metric tons with an average grade 0.017 percent U3O8 in the inferred category. According to the company, Viken is one of the “world's largest in terms of uranium and vanadium mineral resources."

Shares of District spiked to a Q1 high of C$0.37 on March 11, shortly after the Swedish government announced plans to review a nation-wide ban on uranium mining and exploration that has been in place since 2018.

“We are very pleased with this official statement from the Swedish Government and believe it is a significant step towards lifting the current uranium mining moratorium in Sweden,” Garrett Ainsworth, CEO of District, said. “The Swedish Government has made its intentions clear by stating that ‘the current ban on uranium mining will be removed.’ District is ready for this transformational decision with our portfolio of properties in Sweden.”

Earlier in the quarter, the company completed the acquisition of the remaining four mineral licenses at Viken.

Company Profile

2. Greenridge Exploration (CSE:GXP)

Company Profile

Year-to-date gain: 78.72 percent; market cap: C$13.89 million; share price: C$0.84

Canada-focused Greenridge Exploration is currently engaged in the exploration of the Nut Lake uranium project in the Thelon Basin in Nunavut, Canada. The Nut Lake asset spans 4,036 hectares, and the company says it is strategically positioned near the Angilak uranium deposit, which was recently acquired by Atha Energy (TSXV:SASK,OTCQB:SASKF) through a three way merger with Latitude Uranium and 92 Energy.

Nut Lake is a new property for Greenridge — on January 18, the company entered into an option agreement with three parties to acquire a 100 percent stake in the asset. Historic drilling at the polymetallic deposit has identified “significant” uranium mineralization, with intersections of up to 9 feet containing 0.69 percent of U3O8.

On March 28, the uranium explorer announced the addition of Sean Hillacre to its advisory team. Hillacre, who is the president and vice president of exploration at Standard Uranium (TSXV:STND,OTCQB:STTDF), has more than 10 years of experience as a geologist in Saskatchewan's Athabasca Basin. Some of that time was spent on the technical team at NexGen Energy (TSX:NXE,NYSE:NXE,ASX:NXG) advancing the Arrow uranium deposit toward production.

Shares of Greenridge trended higher through Q1, reaching a high of C$0.78 for the period on March 31.

3. Myriad Uranium (CSE:M)

Year-to-date gain: 78.38 percent; market cap: C$11.27 million; share price: C$0.33

Exploration company Myriad Uranium holds a significant interest in two promising uranium projects. At Wyoming's Copper Mountain uranium project, in which it possesses a 75 percent earnable interest, the company is aiming to tap into the “world-class” potential of the district. The state is the US’ top producer of uranium.

Myriad also has an 80 percent stake in uranium exploration licenses comprising 1,800 square kilometers in Niger's Tim Mersoï Basin, another jurisdiction that boasts world-class uranium deposits.

Shares of Myriad registered a Q1 high early in the period, hitting C$0.39 on January 21. The share price bump coincided with news that the company was welcoming “renowned geologist and the pre-eminent authority on Copper Mountain and its uranium endowment” Jim Davis, to its technical committee.

Commenting on the appointment, Myriad CEO Thomas Lamb said, “On October 31, 2023, we announced historic resource estimates and resource targets relating to Copper Mountain. These estimates and targets were the product of C$100 million in exploration and development spends by Union Pacific during the 1970s. Much of this work was led by Jim Davis, and we are delighted he is joining our Technical Committee.”

Company Profile

4. CanAlaska Uranium (TSXV:CVV)

Year-to-date gain: 71.43 percent; market cap: C$98.61 million; share price: C$0.66

CanAlaska Uranium is a self-described project generator with a portfolio of assets in the Athabasca Basin. The region is well known in the sector for its high-grade deposits, which helped birth the moniker "the Saudi Arabia of Uranium."

The company's five asset portfolio includes the West McArthur property, which is situated near sector major Cameco (TSX:CCO,NYSE:CCJ) and Orano Canada’s McArthur River mine. In 2018, Cameco signed on as a joint venture partner for CanAlaska's project and the company retains a 16.65 percent stake.

The uranium explorer made several announcements over the 90 day period, including the approval of a C$7.5 million exploration program at West McArthur. On February 28, the company reported high-grade intersections at the Pike zone at West McArthur. The discovery was made during the exploration firm's winter drill campaign.

The statement drill hole, WMA082-4, intersected 13.75 percent U3O8 equivalent (eU3O8) over 16.8 meters, including 40.3 percent eU3O8 over 4.7 meters and 13.54 percent eU3O8 over 2 meters. CanAlaska’s share price jumped from C$0.46 on February 27 to C$0.74 the day of the news, and marked a Q1 high of C$0.75 on March 7.

Press Releases
Company Profile

5. Premier American Uranium (TSXV:PUR)

Year-to-date gain: 69.68 percent; market cap: C$41.45 million; share price: C$2.63

Premier American Uranium is focused on consolidating, exploring and developing uranium projects in the US. The company, which was spun out of Consolidated Uranium in late 2023, currently has four assets in two major uranium-producing jurisdictions: Wyoming's Great Divide Basin and Colorado's Uravan Mineral Belt.

On March 20, Premier announced plans to acquire American Future Fuel (OTCQB:AFFCF), which would give Premier access to the Cebolleta uranium project located within the Grants Mineral Belt of New Mexico.

The all-share deal will see the combined value of the merged companies sit at C$129 million.

“The announcement … marks a significant leap in our journey to strengthen our foothold in the US uranium market through opportunistic and strategic M&A,” said Tim Rotolo, chairman of Premier American Uranium. “By acquiring a key project, we’re not just enriching our portfolio; we’re also setting our roots in three principal uranium regions, paving the way for rapid growth.” Shares of Premier reached a quarterly high of C$3.09 on February 8.

Company Profile

FAQs for investing in uranium

What is uranium used for?

Uranium is primarily used for the production of nuclear energy, a form of clean energy created in nuclear power plants. In fact, 99 percent of uranium is used for this purpose. As of 2022, there were 439 active nuclear reactors, as per the International Atomic Energy Agency. Last year, 8 percent of US power came from nuclear energy.

The commodity is also used in the defense industry as a component of nuclear weaponry, among other uses. However, there are safeguards in effect to keep this to a minimum. To create weapons-grade uranium, the material has to be enriched significantly — above 90 percent — to the point that to achieve just 5.6 kilograms of weapons-grade uranium, it would require 1 metric ton of uranium pre-enrichment.

Because of this necessity, uranium enrichment facilities are closely monitored under international agreements. Uranium used for nuclear power production only needs to be enriched to 5 percent; nuclear enrichment facilities need special licenses to enrich above that point for uses such as research at 20 percent enrichment.

The metal is also used in the medical field for applications such as transmission electron microscopy. Before uranium was discovered to be radioactive, it was used to impart a yellow color to ceramic glazes and glass.

Where is uranium found?

The country with the greatest uranium reserves by far is Australia — the island nation holds 28 percent of the world’s uranium reserves. Rounding out the top three are Kazakhstan with 15 percent and Canada with 9 percent.

Although Australia has the highest reserves, it holds uranium as a low priority and is only fourth overall for production. All its uranium output is exported, with none used for domestic nuclear energy production.

Kazakhstan is the world’s largest producer of the metal, with production of 21,227 metric tons in 2022. The country’s national uranium company, Kazatomprom, is the world’s largest producer.

Canada’s uranium reserves are found primarily in its Athabasca Basin, and the region is a top producer of the metal as well, although some of the major mines have been under care and maintenance in recent years.

Why should I buy uranium stocks?

Investors should always do their own due diligence when looking at any commodity so that they can decide whether it fits into their investment plans. With that being said, many experts are convinced that uranium has entered into a significant bull market, meaning that uranium stocks could be a good buy.

A slew of factors have led to this bull market. While the uranium industry spent the last decade or so in a downturn following the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster, discourse has been building around the metal's use as a source of clean energy, which is important for countries looking to reach climate goals. Nations are now prioritizing a mix of clean energies such as solar and wind energy alongside nuclear. Significantly, in August 2022, Japan announced it is looking into restarting its idled nuclear power plants and commissioning new ones.

Uranium prices are very important to uranium miners, as in recent years levels have not been high enough for production to be economic. However, in 2024, prices spiked from the US$58 in August 2023 to a high of US$106 per pound U3O8 in February 2024. At this price level, uranium stocks remain highly undervalued.

Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!

Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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The uranium spot price displayed volatility in Q1, rising to a high unseen since 2007 before ending the quarter below US$90 per pound. U3O8 values shed 3.96 percent over the three month period, but experts believe fundamentals remain strong and expect the sector to benefit from various tailwinds in the months ahead.

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“Supply-side fragility continued to be one of the key themes in Q1, especially the news out of Kazakhstan that production would be significantly lower than expected in 2024 than previously thought,” Ben Finegold, associate at London-based investment firm Ocean Wall, told the Investing News Network in an interview.

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