Although the lithium market can be tricky to understand, the payoff can be substantial, said John Kaiser of Kaiser Research.
John Kaiser: No Upside in Tesla, Lithium Juniors are the Future of the EV Storyyoutu.be
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) may be at the center of the electric vehicle (EV) revolution, but the Elon Musk-led company has no upside left. That means investors need to look elsewhere for opportunity.
That's according to John Kaiser of Kaiser Research. Speaking at the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention, he said that lithium juniors have become the place to be.
Referencing a report from Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO,LSE:RIO,NYSE:RIO), Kaiser said that by 2035, roughy 1 million metric tons (MT) of lithium metal equivalent will be needed to support EV demand.
"The brines are going to come up with a big chunk, and Australia's pegmatites will add more, (but) that probably still will take care of only half," he said, noting that he expects companies working in Eastern Canada to step up.
Eastern Canada has suffered setbacks as a lithium jurisdiction due to past issues, including the downfall of Nemaska Lithium, but Kaiser said that the area is similar to Western Australia, where companies have seen success with pegmatite exploration. And in addition to that, it benefits from good access to water.
"Without this lithium becoming a reality, Tesla goes to a buck — it dies," he said.
Kaiser sees the lithium market as a gateway to the mining sector for young people, and said that although it can be tricky to understand, the payoff can be substantial.
"Play a statistics game. Look at the sector, see who's serious. Put together a basket of these lithium companies and treat it like a Silicon Valley startup portfolio where they have dozens of high-risk stories," he said, noting that while there will be failures, there will also be a handful of "superstars."
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Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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