
October 25, 2024
Doré Copper Mining (TSXV:DCMC,OTCQB:DRCMF,FRA:DCM) is positioning itself as a near-term producer in the prolific Chibougamau region of Québec, Canada. The company is actively advancing its assets toward production, taking advantage of its brownfields high-grade copper and gold projects, existing infrastructure, and supportive jurisdiction. The company aims to establish itself as Quebec’s next copper producer, with a hub-and-spoke mining strategy centered around its Copper Rand mill.
Doré Copper Mining operates in the Chibougamau mining camp, an area known for its historical copper and gold production, within the world-renowned Abitibi Greenstone Belt. The company’s flagship asset, Corner Bay, is complemented by several other projects, including Devlin, Joe Mann, Cedar Bay, and Copper Rand. These properties form the foundation of Doré Copper Mining’s near-term and future production plans.
Doré Copper Mining’s assets are located within a well-known copper and gold mining region, with a long history of production. The company’s current strategy revolves around a hub-and-spoke model, with the Copper Rand mill serving as the processing hub, fed by multiple satellite deposits. The key projects in the PEA include Corner Bay, Devlin, and Joe Mann. Other past producing mines, like Cedar Bay and Copper Rand, have further exploration potential.
Company Highlights
- Doré Copper Mining’s hub-and-spoke mining model—using the Copper Rand mill as the central processing facility for its satellite deposits—would support an initial production target of more than 50 million pounds of copper equivalent annually, with a mine life exceeding 10 years.
- A Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) was released in 2022 outlining a relatively modest initial capital expenditure of C$180.6 million, highlighting the economic potential of the project with an after-tax net present value (NPV) of C$193 million and an internal rate of return (IRR) of 22.1 percent.
- A feasibility study is underway, which is expected to provide more detailed engineering data and further de-risk the operations
- Corner Bay, the flagship asset, is among the highest-grade copper deposits in North America, with an indicated resource of 2.6 million tonnes at a grade of 2.66 percent copper and an inferred resource of 5.8 million tonnes at a grade of 3.44 percent copper.
- The 100 percent owned Copper Rand mill will be refurbished for future production and will be the only operating mill in the Chibougamau region. The mill will have extra capacity and provides the ability to process its own ore while potentially offering toll milling services to other nearby mining projects.
- Doré Copper Mining is led by an experienced and highly skilled management team.
This Doré Copper Mining profile is part of a paid investor education campaign.*
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5h
Editor's Picks: Miners Rescued, US Mine Waste Strategy, Ontario Expands CIMF
Here's a quick recap of some of the most impactful resource sector news items for the week.
The period saw three miners rescued after 60 hours underground at the Red Chris mine in BC, the US announce a mine waste recovery strategy and the Ontario government add C$7 million to boost critical minerals innovation.
Red Chris rescue: Three miners freed after 60 hours underground
Three miners trapped underground at Newmont's (TSX:NGT,NYSE:NEM) Red Chris copper-gold mine in British Columbia have been safely rescued after more than 60 hours.
The workers were sheltered in a MineARC chamber with access to food, water, and communication, following a series of rockfalls.
The rescue effort, which included drilling a 100-meter access tunnel, concluded successfully, with all miners reported in good health.
We are relieved to share that all three individuals are safe, and in good health and spirits. They had consistent access to food, water, and ventilation whilst they remained in place in a refuge chamber underground over the last two days,” a Newmont statement read. They are now being supported by medical and wellness teams. Their families have been notified.”
Investigations into the cause of the rockfalls are ongoing.
US prioritizes critical mineral recovery from mine waste
The US government is ramping up efforts to recover critical minerals from mine waste, with the Department of the Interior announcing plans to map legacy tailings across federal lands.
The initiative is part of a broader push to secure domestic supplies of essential minerals like lithium, cobalt, and rare earths.
By tapping into existing waste sites, the US hopes to reduce reliance on foreign imports while minimizing new environmental disruptions.
“By streamlining regulations for extracting critical minerals from mine waste, we are unleashing the full potential of America’s mineral resources to bolster national security and economic growth,” said Acting Assistant Secretary of Lands and Minerals Adam Suess. “This proactive approach will attract private investment, support environmental reclamation, and pave the way for mineral independence.”
The move aligns with ongoing federal investment into clean energy and supply chain resilience.
Zijin leads bid for Barrick's Tongon mine in West Africa
Chinese mining giant Zijin Mining Group (OTC Pink:ZIJMF,HKEX:2899,SHA:601899) is reportedly leading the race to acquire Barrick Mining's (TSX:ABX,NYSE:B) Tongon gold mine in Côte d’Ivoire.
Barrick has tapped TD Securities and Australia-based Treadstone Resource Partners to advise on the sale of Tongon. The operation produced 148,000 ounces of gold in 2024.
With resources depleting, the mine is expected to enter care and maintenance by 2027.
Sources say the bid could be valued near US$500 million as Barrick shifts its focus toward copper and lithium assets.
The potential deal signals ongoing Chinese interest in African gold assets and underscores Barrick's strategic pivot toward energy transition materials.
No final agreement has been announced.
Panther Minerals exits Boulder Creek uranium project in Alaska
Panther Minerals (CSE:PURR,OTC:GLIOF,FWB:2BC) has officially ended its option to acquire the Boulder Creek uranium project in Alaska’s Cape Nome District.
The company chose not to proceed with its next annual payment, leading to the automatic termination of the agreement signed in April 2024.
All 140 associated mining claims have been returned to Tubutulik Mining Company LLC via a quitclaim deed.
While Panther completed preliminary assessments and a site review, it opted not to advance the project further, citing seasonal, logistical, and capital constraints.
The project had drawn criticism from local Indigenous groups concerned about environmental impacts.
Ontario adds C$7 million to Critical Minerals Innovation Fund
The Ontario government is committing over C$7 million to expand its Critical Minerals Innovation Fund (CMIF), aiming to boost research, development and commercialization across the province’s mining sector.
The new funding round—open for applications from July 23 to October 1—targets innovation in deep exploration, mineral recovery, battery supply chains and mining technologies.
This latest investment brings total CMIF funding to C$27 million since its 2022 launch, supporting more than two dozen projects to date.
The CIMF also aligns with Ontario’s broader Critical Minerals Strategy, which seeks to strengthen domestic supply chains and reduce reliance on foreign sources, especially amid growing global demand and looming US tariffs.
“With global demand for critical minerals soaring – and new US tariffs targeting Canada’s mining and manufacturing sectors – Ontario is taking action to accelerate growth and innovation in Ontario’s mining sector," said Stephen Lecce, Minister of Energy and Mines.
He added: “Through the Critical Minerals Innovation Fund, we are putting Ontario first, building a made-in-Canada supply chain that attracts investment and creates good-paying jobs here at home.”
Looking down the supply chain, the Ontario government is also investing C$500 million in the creation of a new Critical Minerals Processing Fund to “provide financial support for projects that accelerate the province’s critical mineral processing capacity and made-in-Ontario critical minerals supply chain.”
Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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8h
Teck Greenlights Highland Valley Expansion After Beating Q2 Profit Estimates
Teck Resources (TSX:TECK.A,TSX:TECK.B,NYSE:TECK) has secured board approval for a multi-billion-dollar life extension of its Highland Valley copper mine in British Columbia, setting the stage for a two-decade boost in copper output.
The Vancouver-based miner said Thursday (July 24) that construction on the Highland Valley Copper Mine Life Extension Project (HVC MLE) will begin in August, following receipt of environmental and permitting approvals in June.
The newly sanctioned Highland Valley project is expected to extend the mine’s life from 2028 through 2046, with average annual copper production of 132,000 metric tons.
The company further confirmed that engineering progress is nearly 70 percent complete.
Over its lifespan, the project is expected to maintain approximately 1,500 direct jobs and US$500 million in annual GDP from current operations. During the construction phase alone, Teck said that it anticipates roughly 2,900 jobs and US$435 million in additional GDP.
“This extension of Canada’s largest copper mine, Highland Valley, is foundational to our strategy to double copper production,” said CEO Jonathan Price in the company’s announcement.
“The project will strengthen Canada’s critical minerals sector, generate new economic activity, and support the continuation of the jobs and community benefits that HVC generates for many more years to come,” Price added.
The announcement comes as Teck posted better-than-expected earnings for the second quarter. The company reported an adjusted profit of C$0.38 per share, beating the average analyst estimate of C$0.27.
The outperformance was largely attributed to stronger profitability from the company’s Trail operations, a major zinc and lead smelting complex also located in British Columbia.
Teck produced 109,100 metric tons of copper in the quarter ending June 30 but lowered its full-year copper production guidance to a range of 470,000 to 525,000 metric tons, down from earlier estimates.
While London Metal Exchange (LME) copper prices dipped 2 percent year-over-year to an average of US$4.32 per pound during the quarter, Teck could benefit from recent geopolitical developments that may tighten global copper supply.
US President Donald Trump’s planned 50 percent copper import tariff, set to take effect August 1, could push prices higher despite Teck’s minimal exposure to the US market, as most of the company’s copper exports go to Asia and Europe.
The company said that it expects the project’s total ore throughput to average 50 million metric tons annually, while total material moved will vary significantly depending on the phase.
Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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23h
Blackstone Minerals
Investor Insights
Rapidly emerging as Southeast Asia’s premier base and battery metals developer, Blackstone Minerals now holds two globally significant projects: the Ta Khoa nickel-cobalt project in Vietnam and the Mankayan copper-gold porphyry project in the Philippines. Both projects are critical to the company’s strategy to become a vertically integrated, low-cost, low-carbon producer of critical battery and base metals.
Overview
As the global economy accelerates toward net-zero emissions, the demand for critical minerals continues to rise, with nickel and copper positioned at the forefront of the energy transition. Historically used in stainless steel, nickel is now a core component in lithium-ion batteries; while copper, vital for electrification infrastructure, is similarly facing a looming supply crunch.
Blackstone Minerals (ASX:BSX,OTC:BLSTF,FRA:B9S) recognizes this strategic imperative and has positioned itself as a diversified, vertically integrated producer of low-cost, low-carbon battery and base metals.
Following its transformational merger with IDM International, Blackstone now controls two globally significant assets: the Ta Khoa nickel project in Vietnam and the Mankayan copper-gold project in the Philippines. Together, they represent a rare combination of scale, grade and strategic location in Southeast Asia, an increasingly vital region in the global clean energy supply chain.
The Mankayan copper-gold project is located in Northern Luzon, Philippines
The recently acquired Mankayan project adds substantial scale and diversification to Blackstone’s portfolio. One of the largest undeveloped copper-gold porphyry systems in Asia, Mankayan features over 56,000 meters of historical drilling and a resource of 793 million tonnes (Mt) at 0.756 percent copper equivalent (CuEq), including a high-grade core of 170 Mt at 1.049 percent CuEq. The project benefits from proximity to existing infrastructure and its location just 2.5 km from the operating Lepanto gold mine, owned and operated by Lepanto Consolidated Mining Company, and Far Southeast Gold Resources’ Far Southeast project.
The Ta Khoa project, meanwhile, includes both a past-producing underground nickel sulphide mine (Ban Phuc) and an advanced-stage refinery designed to produce battery-grade precursor cathode active material (pCAM). Vietnam’s low labor and energy costs, coupled with regulated power pricing and surging foreign direct investment, make it an ideal base for Blackstone’s vertically integrated strategy.
Blackstone is uniquely positioned to benefit from geopolitical tailwinds. Vietnam’s Free Trade Agreement with the European Union and the US Inflation Reduction Act are drawing significant interest from global partners and battery manufacturers. Meanwhile, the Philippines is undergoing a mining renaissance, with the government promoting foreign investment in responsible resource development. Mankayan has already been identified as a priority project by the Philippines’ Mines and Geosciences Bureau.
The company’s development strategy is underpinned by a commitment to ESG leadership. Blackstone is advancing renewable energy solutions for Ta Khoa via a direct power purchase agreement with Limes Renewables and is collaborating with Arca Climate Technologies to explore carbon capture through mineralization. At Mankayan, the company is focused on sustainable development in partnership with local communities.
Financially, Blackstone is well-capitalized to deliver on its dual-track growth plan. Following the merger with IDM, the company raised AU$22.6 million and holds AU$24.36 million in cash as of June 2025. The company’s experienced leadership team and strong partnerships provide a clear path to near-term value creation, as both projects progress toward definitive feasibility studies and long-term production.
Blackstone Minerals is now one of Southeast Asia’s leading battery and base metals developers, with a clear vision to supply responsibly sourced nickel and copper for the global energy transition.
Company Highlights
- Nickel Supply Deficit: The global nickel market is projected to enter a structural deficit with battery-grade nickel demand expected to grow 950 percent by 2040.
- Diversified Portfolio: With Ta Khoa in Vietnam and Mankayan in the Philippines, Blackstone offers exposure to two critical and high-demand metal classes: nickel and copper-gold.
- Strategic Southeast Asia Presence: Vietnam and the Philippines are emerging hubs for EV and mineral resource development, with robust government support and increasing foreign direct investment.
- Infrastructure Advantage: Both projects benefit from existing infrastructure, including hydroelectric power, trained workforces, and government collaboration.
- Sustainability Leadership: Blackstone is pursuing low-emission mining solutions through partnerships in renewable energy and carbon capture technologies.
- Financially Strong: Blackstone raised AU$22.6 million post-merger, supporting an aggressive exploration and development strategy across both assets.
Key Project
Mankayan Copper-Gold Project – Philippines
Following its merger with IDM International, Blackstone now owns a 64 percent effective interest in the world-class Mankayan copper-gold project through Crescent Mining Development. Located in the prolific mineral belt of Northern Luzon, Philippines, Mankayan is one of Asia’s largest undeveloped copper-gold porphyry systems. It lies approximately 340 km from Manila by road, and just 2.5 kilometers from the operating Lepanto gold mine, which includes a 900 ktpa underutilized milling facility.
The Mankayan deposit spans roughly 1,100 meters of strike and 600 meters in width, with mineralization open to the north, south and at depth. Over 56,000 meters of diamond drilling has been completed to date, and the deposit hosts a JORC 2012-compliant mineral resource estimate of 793 Mt at 0.37 percent copper and 0.40 grams per ton (g/t) gold, equating to 0.756 percent CuEq. This includes a high-grade core of 170 Mt at 0.48 percent copper and 0.59 g/t gold (1.049 percent CuEq), offering valuable optionality.
Drilling results support Mankayan’s classification as a globally significant resource. Notable historic intercepts include:
- 911 meters at 1 percent CuEq, including 253 meters at 1.43 percent CuEq
- 543 meters at 1.08 percent CuEq, including 277 meters at 1.43 percent CuEq
- 1,119 meters at 0.86 percent CuEq, including 352 meters at 1.15 percent CuEq
- 754 meters at 1.03 percent CuEq, including 430 meters at 1.21 percent CuEq
In July 2025, Blackstone confirmed significant new surface mineralization through historical rock chip samples returning grades up to 6 g/t gold and 1.9 percent copper, and a standout recent drill hole – 432 meters at 1.25 percent CuEq (including 210 meters at 1.60 percent) – further underscoring the project's scale and growth potential.
A key strategic advantage of Mankayan is its dual development pathway. The high-grade core supports a low-capex startup via selective mining methods, while the bulk of the deposit can be exploited through larger-scale mining scenarios that benefit from lower operating costs and economies of scale. This tiered approach allows Blackstone to balance capital efficiency with long-term growth.
Regulatory and community engagement milestones have also been achieved. The project’s 25-year mineral production sharing agreement was renewed in 2022, and a memorandum of agreement with local Indigenous Peoples was signed in 2024, making Blackstone the first mining company to obtain IP consent in the area. The Mines and Geosciences Bureau of the Philippines has since designated Mankayan as a priority development project.
Mankayan stands out globally when benchmarked against peer porphyry systems. A comparative analysis of undeveloped copper-gold projects ranks it near the top in terms of grade and copper equivalent tonnage, reaffirming its strategic and economic potential on the world stage.
In 2025 and beyond, Blackstone will continue metallurgical testwork, geophysics (including magnetics, IP and electromagnetics), environmental baseline studies, and further drilling to refine and expand the resource. These efforts will support upcoming mining studies and a targeted prefeasibility study.
Ta Khoa
Ta Khoa nickel project in Vietnam
Blackstone Minerals holds a 90 percent interest in the Ta Khoa nickel project, located in the Son La Province of northern Vietnam, about 160 km west of Hanoi. The project comprises the Ban Phuc underground nickel sulphide mine – a modern operation built to Australian standards that operated between 2013 and 2016 – and the adjacent Ta Khoa refinery, currently being developed to produce battery-grade precursor cathode active material (pCAM).
The Ban Phuc mine is currently under care and maintenance but is poised for recommissioning alongside the construction of a concentrator and refinery. The broader Ta Khoa asset base contains probable reserves of 48.7 million tonnes (Mt) at 0.43 percent nickel, equivalent to 210 kilotonnes (kt) of contained nickel. The mining inventory totals 64.5 Mt at 0.41 percent nickel, containing 265 kt of nickel. This figure excludes additional developing prospects such as Ban Khoa.
Over the planned 10-year mine life, Ta Khoa is expected to produce an average of 18 kt of nickel concentrate annually, with the potential to extend well beyond this horizon through integrated refining. The existing infrastructure onsite, including a 450 ktpa mill and a mining camp, provides significant capital efficiency and accelerates time to production.
A recent 12-month pilot program, conducted in partnership with ALS and Wood, successfully demonstrated that Ta Khoa’s hydrometallurgical flowsheet can convert concentrate into nickel sulphate at 99.95 percent purity and 97 percent recovery. This success positions the refinery as a credible supplier to the Asia-Pacific battery supply chain.
The project is further distinguished by its low emissions profile. Independent assessments by Digbee, Minviro, Circulor and an audit by the Nickel Institute have confirmed Ta Khoa as the lowest-emitting pCAM flowsheet in the industry, with carbon intensity of just 9.8 kg CO₂ per kg of pCAM, with opportunities for further reduction.
Blackstone’s development strategy includes flexible feedstock acceptance – from nickel concentrate to black mass – and is strengthened by partnerships with Cavico Laos for third-party supply, Arca Climate Technologies for carbon capture via mineralization, and Limes Renewables to supply clean wind energy. Additionally, the company has secured byproduct offtake arrangements for manganese sulphate and sodium sulphate with VinaChem, PVChem and Nam Phong Green, reinforcing its commitment to full-cycle resource utilization and ESG leadership.
Management Team
Hamish Halliday - Non-executive Chairman
Hamish Halliday is a geologist with over 20 years of corporate and technical experience. He is also the founder of Adamus Resources Limited, an AU$3 million float that became a multimillion-ounce emerging gold producer.
Scott Williamson - Managing Director
Scott Williamson is a mining engineer with a commerce degree from the West Australian School of Mines and Curtin University. He has over 10 years of experience in technical and corporate roles in the mining and finance sectors.
Geoff Gilmour – Non-executive Director
Appointed following Blackstone’s merger with IDM, Geoff Gilmour brings deep experience in Southeast Asian mining ventures. He has held senior roles in exploration and development across copper and gold projects in the Philippines and broader Asia-Pacific.
Tessa Kutscher - Executive
Tessa Kutscher is an executive with more than 20 years of experience in working with C-Level executive teams in the fields of business strategy, business planning/optimisation and change management. After starting her career in Germany, she has worked internationally across different industries, such as mining, finance, tourism and tertiary education.
Lon Taranaki - Executive
Lon Taranaki is an international mining professional with over 25 years of extensive experience in all aspects of resources and mining, feasibility, development and operations. Taranaki is a qualified process engineer from the University of Queensland Australia. He holds a Master of Business Administration, and is a fellow of the Australian Institute of Company Directors. Taranaki has established his career in Asia where he has successfully worked (and lived) across multiple jurisdictions and commodities ranging from technical, mine management and executive management roles.
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24 July
Copper Price Update: Q2 2025 in Review
The copper price was volatile during Q2, but remained elevated compared to where it began the year.
Several factors were at play for copper during the second quarter, most notably the ongoing threat of tariffs. This caused significant fallout in global financial sectors, with economists raising the specter of a widespread recession.
Uncertainty, fear and speculation were primary price drivers as metal traders, market movers and investors tried to determine the best investment strategy against the backdrop of a chaotic economic landscape.
What happened to the copper price in Q2?
Copper started the second quarter in free fall.
After reaching an all-time high of US$5.22 per pound on the COMEX on March 26, it plummeted to US$4.06 on April 8. By April 11, it had climbed back above US$4.50 and continued on to US$4.88 on April 22.
Copper price, April 1 to July 23, 2025.
Chart via TradingEconomics.
For the end of April, all of May and much of June, the copper price was volatile but rangebound, trading between US$4.50 and US$4.80. However, the end of June saw a surge in momentum in the market, as the price began to climb, and on June 30, it reached US$4.97. Since then, the price has soared, setting a new all-time high of US$5.65 on July 10.
Copper supply and demand dynamics
Over the past few years, a growing imbalance has developed in the copper market, as demand growth has outpaced the expansion of primary and secondary supply lines.
Data from the International Copper Study Group (ICSG) shows 3.2 percent growth in refined production, with a combined gain of 4.8 percent from China and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), the two largest producers globally. Further increases came from Asia, where output was 3.5 percent higher.
The increased levels were offset by Chile, where smelter output fell 9.5 percent due to smelter maintenance.
However, refined production outpaced mining production, which rose just 2 percent during the period.
Peru accounted for a 5 percent year-on-year growth due to increased output at MMG’s (HKEX:1208) Las Bambas, Anglo American (LSE:AAL,OTCQX:AAUKF) and Mitsubishi's (TSE:8058) Quellaveco and Chinalco Mining’s (HKEX:2600,SHA:601600) Toromocho mines.
Likewise, production in DRC surged by 8 percent, attributable to the expansion of the Ivanhoe Mines (TSX:IVN,OTCQX:IVPAF) and Zijin Mining's (HKEX:2899,SHA:601899) Kamoa-Kakula joint venture.
Demand continued to grow at a higher rate than refined output during the first quarter of 2025, with the ICSG suggesting a 3.3 percent increase in copper usage. The largest segment came from Chinese markets, which required 6 percent more copper than in 2024, but this demand occurred during an 11 percent decline in net refined imports into the country. China is the world’s largest consumer of copper, accounting for about 58 percent of global demand.
Outside of China, demand was essentially flat, with high demand from Asian, Middle Eastern and North African countries being offset by weak demand in Europe and North America.
Overall, the data provided by the ICSG indicated a 233,000 metric ton surplus of refined copper through the first four months of 2025, a slight decrease from the 236,000 metric tons during the same period in 2024.
Copper's supply deficit
In an email to the Investing News Network (INN), Jacob White, ETF product manager at Sprott Asset Management (TSX:SII,NYSE:SII), said the copper market may have already entered a supply deficit.
“Yes, we believe we have moved into a supply deficit in 2025 and that the market is currently in deficit," he said.
"Uncertainties in the financial markets (trade, growth and inflation) have had a negative impact on copper demand, but this has been offset as copper is becoming less tied to global economic growth and more tied to industries that provide structural growth to the market,” White went on to say. He also noted that artificial intelligence data centers, emerging economies and the energy transition are all putting increased stress on copper supply.
"Furthermore, the supply outlook was not expected to keep pace with demand this year," he added.
"Q1 2025 mined copper production has indicated low production, and the copper supply outlook for this year has already worsened with the first major disruption of the year."
The shutdown referred to by White was at the Ivanhoe-Zijin Kakula-Kamoa mine in the DRC.
Ivanhoe reported a temporary interruption of underground mining at Kakula on May 2. The company cited seismic activity and initiated a partial shutdown of operations at Phase 1 and 2 concentrators, utilizing surface stockpiles.
Operations at the mine were suspended until June 11, when the company announced it had initiated a restart. It also stated that it was slashing production guidance by 28 percent due to the impact, with the revised number falling between 370,000 and 420,000 metric tons, down from the previous range of 520,000 to 580,000 set in January.
The difference in guidance accounts for more than half of the projected surplus in the ICSG report, demonstrating just how tight the copper market has become.
The Trump effect for copper
Volatility has been present since the start of the year, with much of it attributed to uncertainty stemming from an ever-shifting US trade policy under President Donald Trump.
Commodity prices plummeted at the start of the second quarter, with copper losing 22 percent between its quarterly high of US$5.22 on March 26 and April 8, when it fell to US$4.06.
The drop came alongside the fallout from the “Liberation Day” tariffs Trump announced on April 2, which applied a 10 percent baseline tariff to imports into the US from all but a handful of countries.
It also threatened the imposition of more significant retaliatory tariffs to take effect on April 9.
Additionally, the US initiated a tit-for-tat tariff war with China in early April, starting with a 34 percent tariff on Chinese imports, which quickly rose to 145 percent on Chinese imports and 125 percent on US exports to China.
The effect of the tariffs caused significant declines in major US indices, with the Dow losing 9.5 percent, the S&P 500 shedding 10 percent and the Nasdaq losing 11 percent in two days.
More than $6 trillion was wiped from the markets over two days, the most significant such loss in history.
More importantly, the uncertainty seeped into the US bond markets, causing yields on the 10-year Treasury to rise sharply to 4.49 percent as investors began to dump US bonds. The rising rates came as China and Japan both sold holdings back into the market in an attempt to counter Trump’s trade plans.
The combined effect led analysts to suggest that a recession was imminent, prompting broad sell-offs in the commodity markets as traders worked to dispose of stockpiles of high-value inventories. Copper is susceptible to recessions due to its wide range of applications, which are heavily dependent on consumer spending.
Ultimately, a sliding stock market and spiking bond yields prompted Trump to announce a 90 day pause on the retaliatory tariffs, stating that it would allow countries to come to the table and negotiate a deal with the US.
Although the copper rout was short lived, it demonstrated the push-pull that tariffs and trade policy can have on copper prices. In February, Trump signed an executive order which invoked Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act to initiate an investigation into the impact of copper imports on all forms of national security.
In the order, Trump noted that while the US has ample copper reserves, its smelting and refining capacity has declined. China has become the world’s leading supplier of refined copper, commanding a 50 percent market share.
“The supply and demand imbalance has recently been catalyzed with the US trade actions, where copper stocks have moved into the US on speculation that the Section 232 investigation into copper may result in a copper tariff,” White said, explaining that the global inventory system has become fragmented.
With the supply deficit, it has become increasingly difficult to source physical copper, resulting in drastically lower inventories on the London Metal Exchange (LME) and Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE).
The administration reached a decision early in Q3, and on July 8, Trump announced a 50 percent tariff on all copper entering the US. The move caused prices on the COMEX to spike to record highs, triggering more panic buying among traders as they raced to transfer aboveground copper stocks into US-based facilities to avoid the additional tariff costs.
While ICSG hasn’t published numbers since May, it was already demonstrating then that significant stockpiles were being moved between international warehouses and the US.
It reported that stocks at the LME had declined 122,900 metric tons from the start of the year, while stocks at the COMEX and SHFE had both posted gains of 80,970 metric tons and 31,619 metric tons, respectively.
Lobo Tiggre, CEO of IndependentSpeculator.com, provided a more globally minded context.
“Copper is globally fungible — it’s like oil. The sanctions don’t work on Russian oil or Iranian oil, because it just flows around. Copper can do that too. So it is incorrect to think, 'Oh, copper tariff, therefore, copper is up, and all copper stocks have to go up.' If you’re a copper miner in Chile selling to China, then the US tariff has no direct bearing on your business whatsoever,” he said in an interview with INN on July 9.
Tiggre also explained that the US imports 50 percent of its copper needs, and there is no way that tariffs are going to fix that overnight. “The mines just aren’t there. The help (Trump has) provided with permitting is highly relevant, and it has already helped. But that's still — okay, you get the permits, and then you have to build the mine, right? So it’ll be years before this incentive creates more US production, if it does. Meanwhile, it’s Dr. Copper —it goes in everything. So we've got US consumers, manufacturers, everybody’s going to have this added cost,” he said.
Copper price forecast for 2025
Beyond tariffs, copper's fundamentals remain strong. As Tiggre pointed out, the world is dependent on copper, and demand for the red metal has been increasing faster than supply.
“There aren’t enough copper projects in the pipeline — not ones big enough to matter. So I’m extremely bullish on copper. All those reasons to be bullish on copper are still on the table in front of us," he said.
"When I first made the call, copper was around US$4 or something, and now (we're) at US$5, almost US$6 — and all of that tailwind is still to come and push it higher,” Tiggre said.
While he remains positive on copper, he declined to say where the price will be at the end of the year.
Even though copper may be one of the safer commodities bets owing to staggering demand and low supply, investors should keep in mind the broad economic landscape when entering into a position with a metal whose fortune can change quickly with consumer spending.
Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time news updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
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24 July
Glencore to Close Last Australian Copper Mines, Smelter's Fate Uncertain
Glencore (LSE:GLEN,OTC Pink:GLCNF) is preparing to shut down its final two Australian copper mines next week, ending more than six decades of upstream operations in Queensland.
The closure of the underground Enterprise and X41 mines in Mount Isa comes as uncertainty grows over the future of the adjacent copper smelter, which the company says could also be shut down without urgent government support.
The Swiss commodities giant first announced its plan to end mining operations in October 2023, citing declining ore grades and mounting financial losses. The decision coincides with Glencore’s sale of its Lady Loretta zinc mine and nearby landholdings to Austral Resources (ASX:AR1), further reducing its footprint in the region.
At the center of the company’s remaining copper assets is the Mount Isa smelter.
It processes over 1 million metric tons of copper concentrate annually from across Australia, including from BHP's (ASX:BHP,NYSE:BHP,LSE:BHP) Olympic Dam in South Australia.
Now that smelter’s future now hangs in the balance. According to an internal staff memo obtained by local media, Glencore warned that without federal and state support, the Mount Isa smelter and Townsville copper refinery will be placed into care and maintenance, putting thousands of direct and indirect jobs at risk.
“To date Glencore has been absorbing losses hopeful that a viable solution could be found,” wrote Troy Wilson, Glencore’s interim chief operating officer in North Queensland, in a message to employees.
He noted that the company is engaged with the Queensland and Australian governments but has yet to secure a funding commitment. A final decision on the smelter is expected by the end of September.
Thousands of local jobs at risk
The potential shutdown could also have wide-reaching consequences for the regional economy.
While the smelter and refinery directly employ about 550 workers, industry group Townsville Enterprise estimates that as many as 17,000 jobs in the region are tied to the copper supply chain and related businesses.
That includes equipment suppliers, service contractors and downstream manufacturers.
Roland Lobegeiger, a field services manager at Isadraulics in Mount Isa, said the loss of the smelter would be devastating for the town. “Without it, the town’s not going to be here,” he told News.com.au. “There are other mines — there would be other work in the area, but would the town recover? It’s hard to say,” he added.
The company’s struggle to keep its Queensland operations afloat comes at a time when global smelting margins are being squeezed by Chinese overcapacity. In May, Bloomberg reported that Chinese smelters had matched their record for refined copper production, producing 1.254 million metric tons despite plummeting treatment and refining charges, which are the fees miners pay smelters to process raw ore. Beijing has allowed massive expansion in smelting capacity to support its clean energy sector, which depends heavily on copper.
Chinese smelters, many of which are state-owned, now produce more than half the world’s refined copper and are often shielded from financial distress by subsidies and state backing.
That advantage has fueled growing frustration among non-Chinese producers.
“Unfortunately, it’s no longer a level playing field with our competitors in China heavily subsidised by government, which means they produce copper metal at much lower cost,” Wilson said in June.Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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24 July
Australia Welcomes Mining Joint Ventures with Pakistani Companies
Australia and Pakistan are planning to collaborate on delivering specialised training programs to introduce new mining techniques and services, according to several news sites.
The discussions happened during a meeting between Pakistani Federal Minister for Petroleum Ali Pervaiz Malik and Australian High Commissioner Neil Hawkins at the Ministry of Petroleum.
They focused on the expansion of a bilateral cooperation in energy and mining.
"Pakistan values Australia's advanced mining capabilities and technical knowledge. We welcome partnerships that build local capacity and attract investment in our mineral and energy sectors," Malik said.
Analysts from BMI, a Fitch Solutions company, predict Pakistan’s mining sector will experience “meaningful growth” over the next 10 years. They believe the Reko Diq copper-gold project will play a huge role in the sector’s development.
Reko Diq was discovered in the early 1990s through a joint venture between the Geological Survey of Pakistan and Australian mining giant BHP (ASX:BHP,NYSE:BHP,LSE:BHP) when it was still BHP Billiton.
Currently, half of Reko Diq’s interest is held by Barrick Mining (TSX:ABX,NYSE:B), with the remaining half split equally between three federal state-owned enterprises and the Balochistan government.
The project is expected to begin production in 2029 to 2030.
A wave of mineral exploration activity in Pakistan is also anticipated over the coming years given commodity price increases and investments from the likes of mainland China and Saudi Arabia.
Over the last decade Australian investment in Pakistan has declined, but Hawkins’ talk with Malik confirmed renewed interest and the recognition of its potential to grow and generate profit.
This interest also highlights promising resource areas such as Balochistan (where Reko Diq is located), as well as Gilgit-Balistan and Azad Kashmir known for their copper, uranium and lithium potential.
Aside from mining, Australia is also collaborating with Pakistan to support the Indus River System Authority (Irsa) with modern telemetry and assessment tools, highlighting water resource management.
Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Australia for real-time news updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Gabrielle de la Cruz, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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