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March 2024 Quarterly Cash Flow Report
Impact Minerals Limited's (ASX:IPT) has released its Quarterly Cash Flow Report.
Click here for the full ASX Release
This article includes content from Impact Minerals, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.
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Impact Minerals Limited
Investor Insight
With a mining lease application underway and a scoping study that shows excellent economics, Impact Minerals’ game-changing, advanced Lake Hope high-purity alumina project makes for a compelling investment case.
Overview
Impact Minerals (ASX:IPT) is an exploration and development mining company focused on discovering and developing new resource projects within Australia. Lake Hope, a transformational acquisition by the company and its current flagship asset, is a high-purity alumina (HPA) project in Impact’s home territory of Western Australia, a tier-one jurisdiction.
This advanced-stage project allows the company to fast-track the asset toward development, firmly establishing the company on the road to production and increasing shareholder value.
HPA is a high-value product with various uses in several industries that are key to the transition to a low-carbon world. It is mainly used in LED lighting, micro-LED screens, and ceramic-coated separators in lithium-ion batteries. Both these markets are forecast to grow dramatically over the next decade, and a looming supply shortage is predicted for 2026.
HPA is also necessary for producing synthetic sapphire and scratch-resistant glass. With these ever-widening applications for HPA, demand for this resource is expected to grow from US$3.18 billion to US$12.21 billion by 2030 with a compounded annual growth rate of about 20 percent.
Lake Hope is the company’s current focus as it moves towards production, and where a very shallow, high-grade resource of HPA precursor material has been identified in the top two meters of a dry salt lake. The deposit has unique physical and chemical properties that will allow for inexpensive digging and mining, with transportation to a processing facility off-site in an established industrial area. This will accelerate the approvals processes required to get into production.
With a mining lease application pending, Impact aims to bring Lake Hope, which contains almost 1 million tons of potential HPA, into production when the forecast average price for 4N HPA (99.99 percent Al2O3) and related products is about US$20,000 per ton. The ‘4N’ designation indicates the purity grade, making it suitable for high-tech end uses.
Outstanding economics from the latest scoping study released by the company shows Lake Hope’s potential to be the lowest-cost producer of HPA globally by up to 50 percent.
Lake Hope has a maiden mineral resource estimate (MRE) of 3.5 million tons at 25.1 percent alumina (Al2O3) for a contained 880,000 tons of alumina. The company also received heritage clearances for the entire Lake Hope deposit further de-risking the project and providing another critical component in the company’s application for a mining lease.
Impact completed a bulk sampling and test pits program at the Lake Hope project in December 2023, and later reached a key milestone by producing HPA greater than 99.99 percent (4N) purity from the metallurgical processing of lake clays acquired from Lake Hope.
In February 2024, a new proprietary metallurgical process for producing HPA from the lake clays was identified. Impact produced 99.99 percent (4N) Al2O3 from a low-temperature leach (LTL) process. The LTL process may lower the capital and operating costs to produce HPA compared to the sulphate process which underpinned the recent scoping study. The LTL process will be included in the ongoing pre-feasibility study in parallel with the sulphate process at marginal extra cost to determine the best processing route to HPA. The PFS is due to be completed in late 2024.
A comparison of the LTL process and the sulphate process
The company is well funded to finance the pre-feasibility study at the Lake Hope High Purity Alumina project and exploration activities at the Arkun battery minerals project.
Impact Minerals has been awarded a $2.87 million grant for the commercialisation of its innovative process to produce High Purity Alumina (HPA) from the Lake Hope deposit. The grant is under the Federal Government’s Cooperative Research Centres Projects (CRC-P) program which fosters short-term, industry-led research collaborations. The grant is part of an estimated $6.4 million research and development project to be completed within three years and designed to provide Impact with the relevant information required to complete a definitive feasibility. A key component of the grant funding will be to construct a pilot plant, which is a key goal for 2025, and this will provide consistent material for off-take and qualification trials.
Impact Minerals was also one of the inaugural cohort of seven companies selected to be part of the prestigious BHP Xplor program. BHP Xplor, an accelerator program introduced by BHP in August 2022, is designed to help provide participants with the opportunity to accelerate their growth and the potential to establish a long-term partnership with BHP and its global network of partners.
The BHP Xplor funding was used to identify new target areas for copper and other energy metals around the Broken Hill area in New South Wales, eastern Australia, where Impact has been quietly adding to its ground position for several years.
Additionally, the company is exploring its large Arkun battery metals project, also in Western Australia which covers nearly 2,900 square kilometres. Three new exploration licence applications were submitted recently immediately north of the Arkun project along trend from the recently discovered REE soil geochemistry anomalies at Hyperion, Swordfish and Horseshoe, and the Caligula copper anomaly. These anomalies require drill testing which will occur in 2024 and is an exciting development in the emerging mineral province of southwest WA.
A strong management team with over 50 years of combined industry experience leads the company. With a mining and exploration geology degree, Dr. Mike Jones, managing director, launched a long career consulting and leading mining organizations. Peter Unsworth, the non-executive chairman, has more than 35 years of experience in multiple financial sectors, such as securities industries and wealth management. Paul Ingram, a non-executive director, has led several mining companies since 2003. Impact Minerals has the experience and expertise to lead the company to success.
Company Highlights
- Impact Minerals is an exploration and development mining company focused on rapidly moving its flagship Lake Hope high-purity alumina (HPA) project toward production.
- The Lake Hope project has a high-grade maiden mineral resource estimate (MRE) of 3.5 million tonnes at 25.1 percent alumina (Al2O3), for a contained 880,000 tonnes of alumina that can be converted to HPA.
- HPA is used throughout multiple industries, and the overall HPA market is projected to grow by a CAGR of 18.4 percent by 2030.
- A pre-feasibility study is currently in progress and scheduled to be completed by Q4 2024. A mining lease application for the Lake Hope High Purity Alumina (HPA) was recently lodged with the aim of being granted by 2026.
- The company’s project portfolio also includes assets with high-grade mineral deposits of a range of base, critical and precious metals.
- Impact Mineral’s 2,000-square-mile Arkun nickel-copper-PGE project in Western Australia has produced encouraging assays that motivate further exploration. Maiden drill programmes are planned for early 2025.
- The company is also exploring its Broken Hill copper project in New South Wales following a major grant under the auspices of the BHP Xplor program in 2023..
- A strong management team leads the company with experience in geology, mining and corporate finance.
Key Projects
Lake Hope HPA Project
Impact Minerals’ Lake Hope HPA project is in Western Australia, a tier-one mining jurisdiction. HPA is a crucial component in many new and emerging technologies, creating ongoing demand for high-grade sources. The Lake Hope project is the company’s flagship as it moves toward production.
Project Highlights:
- Maiden Mineral Resource Estimate: A maiden mineral resource of 3.5 million tonnes at 25.1 percent alumina (Al2O3) for a contained 880,000 tonnes of alumina has been defined at the Lake Hope HPA Project. About 88 percent of the resource, or 775,000 tonnes of alumina, is in the higher confidence indicated resource category.
- Amenable to Open-pit Mining: The Lake Hope project is a unique HPA asset amenable to shallow, open-pit mining. The deposit is soft and shallow, allowing for cheap digging and minimal infrastructure requirements. This type of deposit also lowers the environmental footprint of the operation.
- Fast-tracked to Production: A mining lease application is currently underway. Once granted, the company will begin working towards a pre-feasibility study and mini pilot plant. Impact Minerals plans to reach a complete pilot plant by 2026.
- Impressive Results of the 2023 Scoping Study: Outstanding economics show Lake Hope to potentially be the lowest-cost producer of High Purity Alumina (HPA) globally by up to 50 percent. Key outcomes from the scoping study include:
- Annual production of 10,000 tpa of 4N HPA with an initial 25-year mine life
- Annual EBITDA of A$174 million.
- 2 years construction period with 5,000 tonnes of production during the first year, 8,000 tonnes in the second year and 10,000 tonnes of production thereafter.
- US$934 million post-tax NPV8 at an IRR of 55 percent.
- Mining Lease Application: Amining lease application was lodged in mid-2024 over the West Lake resource while a miscellaneous licence application (L63/99) was lodged to cover mine infrastructure and haulage road.
The scoping study was underpinned by a sulphuric acid process allowing the company to achieve a new milestone by producing HPA with purity of more than than 99.99 percent (4N) from the metallurgical processing of lake clays acquired from Lake Hope. The company further identified a new proprietary metallurgical process for producing HPA from the lake clays. Known as the low-temperature leach (LTL) process, this also produced 99.99 percent (4N) Al2O3 and has the potential to lower even further the capital and operating costs to produce HPA compared to the sulphate process. The LTL process will be included in the ongoing pre-feasibility study along with the sulphate process to determine the best processing route to HPA. The PFS is due to be completed in late 2024.
Broken Hill Copper Project
The Broken Hill project has a significant land position of 815 square kilometers and hosts multiple targets with the potential for high-grade copper. Broken Hill is located in New South Wales, Australia, an area known for its prolific silver-lead-zinc mining operations and the giant Broken Hill deposit.
Project Highlights:
- Participant in the BHP Xplor Program: Impact was selected for the BHP Xplor program in 2023 based on its Broken Hill project. The program is designed to allow participants to accelerate growth and establish a long-term partnership with BHP.
- Potential for Additional Minerals and Deposits: As well as copper, the project has significant exploration potential for magmatic nickel-copper-PGE sulphides, and at the time the host rocks were formed, Broken Hill was located close to the world-class nickel-copper-PGE deposit of Jinchuan and the significant Lengquisheng deposit. The project area also has the potential to contain zinc-lead-silver deposits, providing even more value.
Arkun Nickel-Copper-Gold-Lithium-REE Project
The Arkun project is a 2,900-square-kilometer nickel, copper and gold project located in the emerging Ni-Cu-PGE province near the world-class Julimar Ni-Cu-PGE deposit and surrounded by Anglo American Corporation, which secured its ground holding shortly after Impact secured its asset. Anglo-American is one of the world’s top ten mining companies, and their presence in the region brings confidence in the project’s potential.
Project Highlights:
- Additional Exploration Underway: Impact plans follow-up work programs, including drilling, at its priority targets.
- Significant Targets Identified: Recent soil sampling identified two new prospects:
- Hyperion prospect - Located in the northwestern part of the project area returned with rare earth element anomalism of up to 5,880 ppm (0.59 percent) total rare earth oxide (TREO+Y) and neodymium and praseodymium (Nd+Pr) of up to 21 percent.
- Caligula prospect - Initially identified on the roadside, the Caligula prospect is a large and significant target for porphyry copper mineralisation.
- Three New Exploration Licences: Impact applied for three new exploration licences expanding Arkun project along trend from the recently discovered REE soil geochemistry anomalies at Hyperion, Swordfish and Horseshoe as well as the Caligula copper anomaly.
Management Team
Peter Unsworth - Non-executive Chairman
Peter Unsworth, formerly a chartered accountant, has over 35 years of experience in the corporate finance, investment and securities industries and a wealth of management experience with public and private companies. A former executive director with a leading Western Australian stockbroking company, Unsworth has been a director of several public exploration and mining companies. He recently completed a long time serving as chairman of the Western Australian Government-owned Gold Corporation (operator of The Perth Mint). Unsworth is the founding chairman of Impact Minerals.
Dr. Mike Jones - Managing Director
Dr. Mike Jones is the founding managing director of Impact Minerals Limited, which was listed on the Australian Stock Exchange in November 2006. Reporting to the board of directors, he is responsible for the company's performance as it moves towards production at its Lake Hope High Purity Alumina Project and also for implementing strategies to explore and maximize the value of the company's other extensive tenement holdings.
Since listing, he has helped raise more than $60 million to help fund the exploration of Impact’s projects and managed the company through significant adverse events, including the global financial crisis and the Fukushima nuclear disaster, which affected Impact’s considerable investment in the uranium sector, a five-year global downturn in the mining sector and more recently, the COVID-19 pandemic.
Paul Ingram - Non-executive Director
Paul Ingram is a geologist with extensive experience managing major mineral exploration programs for several publicly listed companies and has been involved in the mining sector for over thirty years. He has designed and implemented innovative techniques for exploration in remote areas and has managed projects in countries throughout Australia and East Asia. Ingram has been a director of the following listed companies in the past three years: Polo Resources from January 2008 to January 2011; A-Cap Resources since June 2009; Consolidated Global Investments since September 2006; Caledon Resources from February 2003 to March 2008; and Australian Pacific Coal since March 2011.
Dr Frank Bierlein - Non-executive Director
Dr. Frank Bierlein is a geologist with 30 years of experience as a consultant, researcher, lecturer and industry professional. Bierlein has held exploration and generative geology management positions with QMSD Mining, Qatar Mining, Afmeco Australia and Areva NC, and consulted for, among others, Newmont Gold, Resolute Mining, Goldfields International, Freeport McMoRan, and the International Atomic Energy Agency. He is currently a non-executive director of PNX Metals. He was previously a non-executive director of Gold Australia NL and chaired the advisory board of a Luxembourg-based private equity fund between 2014 and 2021.
Top 5 Canadian Mining Stocks This Week: O3 Mining Up 60 Percent on Agnico Eagle Takeover Deal
Welcome to the Investing News Network's weekly look at the best-performing Canadian mining stocks on the TSX, TSXV and CSE, starting with a round-up of Canadian and US news impacting the resource sector.
The S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index (INDEXTSI:JX) fell 1.12 percent on the week to close at 607.84 on Friday (December 13). Meanwhile, the S&P/TSX Composite Index (INDEXTSI:OSPTX) posted a 1.71 percent decrease to hit 25,274.3, and the CSE Composite Index (CSE:CSECOMP) sank 2.68 percent to reach 131.45.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released November consumer price index (CPI) data on Wednesday (December 11).
The report shows the all-items index increased by 0.3 percent monthly, compared to the 0.2 percent recorded in each of the previous four months. Core CPI was also up 0.3 percent, steady compared to the previous three months.
On an annualized basis, CPI increased by 2.7 percent, up from the 2.6 percent rise recorded in October. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, was unchanged from October, increasing 3.3 percent.
Overall, the increase in the CPI shows some stickiness in inflation, but most analysts think the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 points when it meets on December 17 and 18, before pausing in the new year.
In the commodities space, gold passed US$2,700 per ounce midweek, but finished the period virtually unchanged at US$2,648.34; silver sank 1.43 percent to US$30.54 per ounce. Copper lost just 0.23 percent for the week at US$4.20 per pound on the COMEX. More broadly, the S&P GSCI (INDEXSP:SPGSCI) was up 2.83 percent to close at 546.29.
Equity markets were mixed this week. The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:INX) fell 0.52 percent to end Friday at 6,051.08, while the Nasdaq-100 (INDEXNASDAQ:NDX) gained 0.96 percent to come in at 21,780.25. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) finished the week down 1.81 percent at 43,828.07.
Find out how the five best-performing Canadian mining stocks performed against that backdrop.
Data for this article was retrieved at 4:00 p.m. EST on December 13, 2024, using TradingView's stock screener. Only companies trading on the TSX, TSXV and CSE with market capitalizations greater than C$10 million are included. Companies within the non-energy minerals and energy minerals sectors were considered.
1. Orosur Mining (TSXV:OMI)
Weekly gain: 88.89 percent
Market cap: C$28.27 million
Share price: C$0.16
Orosur Mining is an explorer focused on the development of early to advanced-stage assets in South America.
Its flagship Anzá gold project in Colombia was previously a 49/51 joint venture with Minera Monte Aguila (MMA), a corporation owned equally by Newmont (TSX:NGT,NYSE:NEM) and Agnico Eagle Mines (TSX:AEM,NYSE:AEM).
Exploration has revealed multiple gold deposits at the site, which is located 50 kilometers west of Medellin, and according to Orosur sits along Colombia’s primary gold belt.
Orosur also owns several early stage projects: the El Pantano gold-silver project in Argentina, the Lithium West project in Nigeria and the Ariquemes project in Brazil, which is prospective for tin, niobium and rare earths.
Shares of Orosur jumped significantly following a November 28 announcement that it has completed its takeover of MMA. The acquisition gives Orosur 100 percent indirect ownership of the Anzá gold project.
Under the terms of the agreement, Newmont and Agnico will each receive a 0.75 percent net smelter royalty, plus a fixed royalty of US$37.5 per ounce of gold or gold equivalent on the first 200,000 ounces produced.
Since the transaction's completion, exploration has resumed at the Pepas prospect to test high-grade results from a 2022 drill program. On Friday, Orosur announced the delivery of initial assays, saying they confirm the previous results. The samples encountered grades of 5.58 grams per metric ton (g/t) gold over 75.1 meters from the surface, including an intersection of 13.68 g/t over 13.95 meters.
2. NOA Lithium Brines (TSXV:NOAL)
Weekly gain: 80.65 percent
Market cap: C$34.59 million
Share price: C$0.28
NOA Lithium Brines is advancing three projects in the lithium triangle area of Argentina's Salta province: the 37,000 hectare Rio Grande project, the 78,000 hectare Arizaro project and the 10,200 hectare Salinas Grandes project.
Of the three projects, Rio Grande is the most advanced. The company updated the resource estimate for the site in July, noting that measured and indicated resources had increased to 2,658,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent, with 2,039,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent in the inferred category.
Shares of NOA gained this week after the company said on Tuesday (December 10) that it has closed a C$13.5 million private placement with Clean Elements, a private holding company established to develop lithium assets. If Clean Elements exercises all warrants, it will receive 39.9 percent of outstanding common shares on a fully diluted basis.
NOA plans to use the proceeds of the offering to pay off debts and fund exploration work at Rio Grande.
3. O3 Mining (TSXV:OIII)
Weekly gain: 60.19 percent
Market cap: C$179.47 million
Share price: C$1.65
O3 Mining is a gold explorer and developer working to advance its assets in Québec, Canada.
The company’s Marban Alliance gold project is composed of 65 mining claims covering 2,189 hectares in Western Québec. Exploration at the site dates back to the 1940s and has seen drilling to a depth of 1,475 meters.
A prefeasibility study from 2022 outlines a pre-tax net present value of C$775 million for the asset with an internal rate of return of 30.2 percent and a payback period of 3.5 years.
O3 also owns the Horizon project, made up of 192 claims over 8,778 hectares directly to the northwest of Marban.
Shares of O3 jumped this week following news on Thursday (December 12) of a friendly takeover offer by major miner Agnico Eagle Mines. The offer, valued at C$204 million, will see Agnico Eagle purchase all outstanding common shares in O3 at C$1.67 each, a 58 percent premium to the closing price on December 11.
The news was followed on the same day by a joint announcement that O3’s largest shareholder, Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI), will support the transaction through a lock-up agreement with Agnico to tender its common shares in O3. Gold Fields owns approximately a 17 percent stake in O3.
4. KWG Resources (CSE:CACR)
Weekly gain: 50 percent
Market cap: C$19.19 million
Share price: C$0.015
KWG Resources is a chromite and base metals exploration company focused on moving forward at its Ring of Fire assets in Northern Ontario, Canada. It does business as the Canadian Chrome Company.
The firm's properties consist of the Fancamp and Big Daddy claims, along with the Mcfaulds Lake, Koper Lake and Fishtrap Lake projects. All are located within a 40 kilometer radius, and according to the company are home to feeder magma chambers containing chromite, nickel and copper deposits.
KWG is currently working with local First Nations to improve transportation to the region through the development of road and rail links. The company announced on November 7 that it had signed a memorandum of agreement with AtkinsRealis Canada in its capacity as a contractor representing the Marten Falls and Webequie First Nations.
The agreement will allow AtkinsRealis temporary access rights over some mineral exploration claims in support of work permits for an environmental assessment for the design, construction and operation of a multi-use, all-season road between the proposed Marten Falls community access road and the proposed Webequie supply road.
Once completed, the link will provide improved access to communities and mining companies in the region.
KWG did not release any news in the past week.
5. Vior (TSXV:VIO)
Weekly gain: 47.06 percent
Market cap: C$48.91 million
Share price: C$0.25
Vior is a gold exploration company with a portfolio of assets located in Québec, Canada.
The company’s main focus has been advancing its flagship Belleterre project in Southwestern Québec. The property consists of 635 claims covering an area of 350 square kilometres, and hosts the past-producing Belleterre gold mine, which produced 750,000 ounces of gold and 95,000 ounces of silver between 1936 and 1959.
Vior says that the mineralization trend at the property extends for 6 kilometers, and in addition to gold and silver has demonstrated the presence of copper, lead and zinc.
On September 24, Vior commenced a fully funded 60,000 meter drill program at Belleterre, which will operate through mid-2025. The company says it is the largest drill program at the site since the mine closed in 1959.
The first assays were announced on November 12, and the company reported high-grade gold at depth. The results include highlighted intercepts of 9 g/t gold over 1.2 meters from the Belleterre area, and 4 g/t gold over 1.2 meters from the Aubelle area. Vior said the results confirm the continuity and potential for expansion of mineralization at the site.
The company’s most recent announcement came on Thursday, when it announced that Mathieu Savard, Osisko Mining's former president, will become Vior's new president and CEO. He will be joined by Pascal Simard, who was Osisko’s vice president of exploration. Simard will hold the same role at Vior.
FAQs for Canadian mining stocks
What is the difference between the TSX and TSXV?
The TSX, or Toronto Stock Exchange, is used by senior companies with larger market caps, and the TSXV, or TSX Venture Exchange, is used by smaller-cap companies. Companies listed on the TSXV can graduate to the senior exchange.
How many companies are listed on the TSXV?
As of June 2024, there were 1,630 companies listed on the TSXV, 925 of which were mining companies. Comparatively, the TSX was home to 1,806 companies, with 188 of those being mining companies.
Together the TSX and TSXV host around 40 percent of the world’s public mining companies.
How much does it cost to list on the TSXV?
There are a variety of different fees that companies must pay to list on the TSXV, and according to the exchange, they can vary based on the transaction’s nature and complexity. The listing fee alone will most likely cost between C$10,000 to C$70,000. Accounting and auditing fees could rack up between C$25,000 and C$100,000, while legal fees are expected to be over C$75,000 and an underwriters’ commission may hit up to 12 percent.
The exchange lists a handful of other fees and expenses companies can expect, including but not limited to security commission and transfer agency fees, investor relations costs and director and officer liability insurance.
These are all just for the initial listing, of course. There are ongoing expenses once companies are trading, such as sustaining fees and additional listing fees, plus the costs associated with filing regular reports.
How do you trade on the TSXV?
Investors can trade on the TSXV the way they would trade stocks on any exchange. This means they can use a stock broker or an individual investment account to buy and sell shares of TSXV-listed companies during the exchange's trading hours.
Article by Dean Belder; FAQs by Lauren Kelly.
Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Securities Disclosure: I, Lauren Kelly, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Top Stories This Week: Gold Price Reacts to Inflation Data, Trump Makes Big Permitting Promise
The gold price rose early on this week, breaking US$2,700 per ounce on Wednesday (December 11).
The metal was reacting to the latest US consumer price index (CPI) data, which shows a 2.7 percent year-on-year increase for the month of November. That's up slightly from the 2.6 percent annual gain seen in October.
CPI was up 0.3 percent month-on-month, again higher than October's 0.2 percent rise. Core CPI, which excludes the more volatile food and energy categories, was up 3.3 percent year-on-year and 0.3 percent from the previous month.
The US Federal Reserve meets next week from December 17 to18, and was already widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, bringing the 2024 total to 100 basis points. This week's CPI data has further cemented those expectations.
Thursday (December 12) brought the release of producer price index (PPI) numbers out of the US, with the year-on-year increase for November coming in at 3 percent — above October's 2.4 percent and higher than projections. PPI was up 0.4 percent from the previous month, also higher than the 0.2 percent rise reported in October.
Core PPI was up 3.4 percent year-on-year and 0.2 percent from the previous month. Analysts believe the PPI data points to stickiness in inflation and indicates the US Federal Reserve's 2 percent target is further away than it looks.
"The Federal Reserve can feel largely pleased with the progress made on lowering high levels of inflation over the last couple years," Yahoo Finance quotes Rick Rieder, BlackRock global CIO of fixed income, as saying. "But the bulk of this progress is behind us now and inflation may remain stubbornly sticky near current levels for a time."
Gold finished the week about flat from where it began at US$2,646.63.
Bullet briefing — Trump talks permitting, Agnico to buy O3
Trump to fast track permitting
Incoming President Donald Trump caught the attention of resource sector investors this week with his promise of "fully expedited approvals and permits" for people or companies that invest at least US$1 billion in the US.
Trump announced the news on his social media platform Truth Social, but so far has provided little in the way of specifics. Even so, mining industry participants have taken the news as a positive sign that builds on his nominations of Chris Wright and Doug Burgum, who respectively will run the departments of energy and the interior.
Speaking recently to the Investing News Network, Chris Temple of the National Investor emphasized the importance of Burgum's appointment. Here's how he explained it:
"Not only is Burgum going to run the interior department, he is going to be a 'super czar,' if you will, who will oversee energy, and the (Environmental Protection Agency), and the interior department and the agencies — all of those who have got anything to do ... with permitting, with environmental issues, with all of these different things — not just for energy, but for metals, for mining and all of that.
Last but most important is that Burgum will be on the president's National Security Council ... So Burgum is going to have a much, much, much larger role in all of this than has been reported."
Agnico offers C$204 million for O3 Mining
M&A activity was in the air in the gold space once again this week as Agnico Eagle Mines (TSX:AEM,NYSE:AEM) announced plans to acquire O3 Mining (TSXV:OIII,OTCQX:OIIIF) in a friendly takeover deal.
The all-cash offer of C$1.67 per share represents a 58 percent premium to O3's closing share price on Wednesday and values the company at C$204 million. Agnico said in a press release that it expects O3's Marban Alliance project to complement its Canadian Malartic complex, a major gold operation located in Québec, Canada.
"The all-cash offer at a significant premium to market is an excellent outcome for our shareholders and is validation of the efforts made by the O3 Mining team" — José Vizquerra, O3 Mining
The deal was structured as a tender offer due to an ongoing Canada Post strike, meaning it doesn't require a shareholder vote at O3. Shares of O3 climbed substantially after the news and were up about 60 percent for the week.
Want more YouTube content? Check out our expert market commentary playlist, which features interviews with key figures in the resource space. If there's someone you'd like to see us interview, please send an email to cmcleod@investingnews.com.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
Lawrence Lepard: "Big Print" Coming — Fully Expect US$5,000 Gold, US$200,000 Bitcoin
Speaking to the Investing News Network, Lawrence Lepard, managing director at EMA, voiced his thoughts on the outlook for gold and Bitcoin as the debt doom loop intensifies in the US.
"I call it a doom loop — it's a vicious circle in the wrong direction, which I believe will ultimately lead to the government having to say, 'Okay, this isn't going to work. We are going to institute yield curve control or QE, or we're going to buy the bonds,'" he explained on the sidelines of the New Orleans Investment Conference.
Lepard believes it's important to hold both gold and Bitcoin, noting that the only wrong allocation is zero.
"I fully expect Bitcoin's going to go to US$200,000, and I fully expect gold's going to go to US$5,000 (per ounce) in the next couple of years," he said. "All the suffering gold stock holders out there ... we're going to be very pleasantly surprised."
Watch the interview above for more from Lepard on gold and Bitcoin, as well as silver. You can also click here to view the Investing News Network's New Orleans Investment Conference playlist on YouTube.
Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
Chris Temple: Gold's Next Leg Higher, Plus Uranium and Natural Gas in 2025
Chris Temple, founder, editor and publisher of the National Investor, outlined the main factors he sees impacting the gold price heading into 2025, saying the yellow metal will undoubtedly move higher.
In his view, its rise will come as market participants realize how many problems the US economy is facing.
"I think that once that reality sets in, gold will get its next big lease on life and the stock market is going to bog down. I think we're going to see a lot of rotation in the market that will start to favor real assets and real value — away from everybody chasing the same relative handful of stocks as we've seen," Temple explained.
Aside from gold, Temple spoke about natural gas and uranium, his other two favorite commodities in the near term.
He also discussed the potential implications of Donald Trump's second presidency, saying it will be key to watch how he develops the US' relationship with China, especially as the Asian nation grapples with internal problems.
"This is the most important thing that consumers and investors and policy makers need to watch in 2025 — is Trump smart on how he deals with all of this and rebuilds our own industries to compensate for years down the road? Or is he going to be ham-fisted about it and cause more problems than he solves?" Temple questioned.
Watch the video above for more from Temple on what's to come in 2025.
Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
WGC: Gold to Face Complex Drivers in 2025, Price Likely to Cool After Record-Breaking Year
The World Gold Council (WGC) has released its 2025 gold outlook, highlighting various macroeconomic factors, geopolitical risks and central bank activity as pivotal forces influencing demand and prices.
While 2024 saw gold achieve a stellar performance with a 28 percent annual increase, the outlook for 2025 is characterized by a mix of opportunities and challenges stemming from both global and regional developments.
The yellow metal has benefited from its historical role as a hedge against uncertainty, but the WGC forecasts that its performance next year will depend on other key variables as well.
Gold to face complex drivers next year
Looking back at 2024, the WGC outlines multiple factors that drove gold's strong performance.
For instance, central bank demand reached significant levels, underscoring the metal's enduring role as a safe-haven asset. Central banks have now been net buyers of gold for nearly 15 years.
Meanwhile, investor interest surged amid geopolitical instability and market volatility, particularly in the third quarter, when western investors returned to the market, driven by lower yields and a weakening US dollar.
Asian demand, a critical component of the gold market, played a supportive role in the first half of the year.
Indian demand was buoyed by favorable policy changes, including a reduction in import duties, while Chinese investors turned to gold amid concerns about economic growth.
Heading into 2025, the complex global economic picture is creating uncertainty for gold.
In the US, Donald Trump is expected to introduce policies that stimulate domestic economic growth during his second term as president, potentially driving risk-on sentiment in the short term. However, these policies could also create inflationary pressures and disrupt supply chains, leading investors to seek the stability of assets like gold.
Central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, are anticipated to continue cutting interest rates. Market consensus suggests the Fed will cut by 100 basis points in 2025, with similar actions expected in Europe.
The WGC forecasts in its report that a dovish monetary policy environment could be supportive for the gold price, particularly if inflation remains above target levels. On the other hand, any reversal in monetary policy or a prolonged pause in rate cuts could present challenges for gold, as higher opportunity costs may deter investors.
Similarly, subdued economic growth could limit consumer demand, particularly in Asia, where gold plays a dual role as an investment and a cultural staple.
Asia and central banks to lead gold buying
In 2025, the WGC predicts that Asia will remain a cornerstone of the global gold market. The continent accounts for over 60 percent of annual demand, excluding central bank activity.
Chinese consumer demand, which has been relatively muted, is likely to hinge on the country’s economic policies and growth trajectory. Trade tensions and domestic stimulus measures could sway demand either way, while gold may face increased competition from alternative investment avenues such as equities and real estate.
For its part, India is better positioned to sustain gold demand. With economic growth projected to remain above 6.5 percent and a smaller trade deficit compared to other US trading partners, the WGC believes Indian consumers are likely to continue purchasing gold both for investment and cultural purposes.
Central bank activity will remain a critical driver for gold in 2025. While demand may not reach the heights of recent years, it is expected to surpass long-term averages, providing a consistent source of support for the market.
Central bank purchases are influenced by geopolitical risk, sovereign debt levels and portfolio diversification. These drivers are unlikely to wane, ensuring that central banks will continue to play a stabilizing role in the gold market.
However, any significant deceleration in central bank demand could exert downward pressure on the gold price, particularly if combined with other bearish factors such as higher interest rates or reduced investment flows.
Overall, the WGC predicts that in 2025 the gold market is likely to be shaped by the interplay of four primary drivers: economic expansion, risk, opportunity cost and momentum.
Economic growth, though expected to remain positive, will likely be below trend, limiting the scope for consumer demand growth. Geopolitical risks, including ongoing tensions in regions like South Korea and Syria, may prompt investors to increase their allocations to gold as a hedge against uncertainty.
The opportunity cost of holding gold, determined by interest rates and yields, will be a critical factor. Lower rates should support gold, but any unexpected tightening of monetary policy could dampen investment demand.
Finally, market momentum, influenced by technical factors and investor sentiment, will play a role in determining gold’s short-term performance. A strong start to the year, fueled by initial risk-on sentiment, could pave the way for a more stable or even bullish trajectory, provided macroeconomic conditions remain favorable.
How will the gold price perform in 2025?
Market consensus suggests gold will remain rangebound in 2025, potentially seeing modest gains.
However, the WGC reminds investors that the market is not without risks. A rapid deterioration in financial conditions, unexpected geopolitical developments or a sharp rise in central bank demand could provide upside surprises.
Conversely, a reversal in monetary policy or subdued demand from key markets could cap gold’s performance.
Either way, both investors and analysts will closely monitor developments related to the key regions and variables mentioned to gauge the direction of the gold market this coming year.
Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Increased M&A Activity a Win-Win for Gold Sector, Brightstar Resources Exec Says
Following the completion of its acquisition of Alto Metals, Brightstar Resources (ASX:BTR) plans to conduct 50,000 metres of reverse-circulation and diamond drilling, beginning next year, at Alto Metals' approximately 900 square kilometre Sandstone gold project in Western Australia.
In an interview with the Investing News Network, Brightstar Managing Director Alex Rovira outlined the next steps for merging Alto Metals with Brightstar’s assets and the strategy for moving forward.
“From an exploration perspective … it's really focusing on the Sandstone package. We will do near-mine brownfields exploration at our Menzies and Laverton gold projects. And really, the aspiration there is to take a number of those mines toward development decisions,” he said.
Brightstar’s Alto Metals acquisition is one of an increasing number of mergers and acquisitions within the gold space in recent years, fueled by a strengthening gold price and a desire to boost gold production.
In 2024 alone, Brightstar has acquired three companies — Linden Gold, Gateway Mining and Alto Metals — boosting the company’s gold resources and bringing it closer to production.
Rovira added that Brightstar’s global resources have grown from 400,000 ounces to 3 million ounces to date through a combination of M&A and resource exploration.
“For us in our business, it made a lot of sense to conduct some of this M&A, because it was almost cheaper at times to be acquiring ounces than it was to raise the money and explore for them. So we managed to consolidate a number of mispriced or undervalued opportunities in Western Australia,” he said.
Rovira offered his insight on the trend of increasing M&A in the gold sector, calling Northern Star Resources' (ASX:NST,OTC Pink:NESRF) planned US$5 billion acquisition of De Grey Mining (ASX:DEG,OTC Pink:DGMLF) a “win-win.”
“What that does is it frees up capital in the sector so investors can monetise those positions and they can look to reinvest that in other gold-mining companies. So it is good for liquidity, it's good for investors (and) ultimately for the companies as well. It provides access to capital whether there's operational synergies, different teams coming in and looking at different projects,” Rovira said.
Watch the full interview with Alex Rovira, managing director of Brightstar Resources, above.
Disclaimer: This interview is sponsored by Brightstar Resources (ASX:BTR). This interview provides information which was sourced by the Investing News Network (INN) and approved by Brightstar Resources in order to help investors learn more about the company. Brightstar Resources is a client of INN. The company’s campaign fees pay for INN to create and update this interview.
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The information contained here is for information purposes only and is not to be construed as an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of securities. Readers should conduct their own research for all information publicly available concerning the company. Prior to making any investment decision, it is recommended that readers consult directly with Brightstar Resources and seek advice from a qualified investment advisor.
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