Editor's Picks: Gold, Silver Prices Gain Ground, Oil Trades Face Scrutiny
With an eye for detail and over a decade of experience covering the mining and metals sector, Charlotte is passionate about bringing investors accurate and insightful information that can help them make informed decisions.
She leads the Investing News Network's video and event coverage, and guides a team of writers reporting on niche investment markets.
Experts continue to debate whether the bottom is in for gold and silver prices.
The gold price caught a tailwind this week as tensions between the US and Iran eased, first breaking US$4,600 per ounce and then pushing well above US$4,700.
Silver was also on the move, briefly passing US$82 per ounce.
The situation in the Middle East remains fluid, but at the time of this writing Iran was reviewing the latest peace proposal from the US. A response is expected on Friday (May 8).
While President Donald Trump has expressed optimism about an end to the war, he has also talked about "higher level" military strikes if the deal is rejected.
At the same time, the contentious Strait of Hormuz remains in focus, with strikes exchanged between the US and Iran despite the ongoing ceasefire.
With so much in flux, what's next for gold and silver prices? This week I heard from guests with very different ideas about the path forward for precious metals.
First is Chris Temple of the National Investor. He believes the gold price hasn't yet bottomed and could fall as low as US$3,500 before going up again. In his view, a turnaround for the yellow metal hinges on what the US Federal Reserve does moving forward.
Temple noted that the Fed's 2 percent inflation target has "been a lie for over five years," and said it's currently heading in the wrong direction. At some point that will come to a head:
"There will come a point where they have to panic. And as central bankers always do, you inflate away debt problems, you inflate away crises, and that's when the light will turn from caution to green again for gold."
Temple's price call for gold is in line with levels mentioned last week by Gareth Soloway of VerifiedInvesting.com — he said US$3,500 would represent a buying point for him.
On the flip side, I also spoke with David Hunter of Contrarian Macro Advisors. He's a much-requested guest, and I was excited to hear from him for the first time.
Hunter sees a broader market melt-up unfolding in the coming months, with gold hitting US$6,800 during this run and silver reaching US$180. After that he expects a "global bust" followed by a strong period for commodities that takes prices even higher:
"We should see a pretty fast run over the next few months — three, four or five months — with silver going from the mid-US$70s (per ounce) here up to US$180, and gold going from where it is now up to US$6,800 (per ounce). Post-bust gold can get to US$20,000, as I said, and silver can get to US$1,000."
Bullet briefing — Oil trades scrutinized, miner faces inflation
"Unusual" oil trades under scrutiny
Oil fluctuated this week, with both Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude spending time above the US$100 per barrel mark once again as they reacted to the Iran war
Prices for the energy fuel have been volatile since the conflict began, and Reuters reported this week that bets on falling oil prices came in at US$7 billion in March and April.
According to the news outlet, well-timed trades spread across those two months have led to calls for regulators to investigate. In one example, "unusual trades" were executed on March 23, just minutes before Trump said attacks on Iran's oil infrastructure would be delayed.
A source familiar with the matter told Reuters that the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission is looking into it, and an ABC report states that the Department of Justice is doing so as well. Neither of these entities has commented at this point.
Gold Fields warns of higher costs
On the note of inflation, major miner Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI) said in its latest quarterly results that it's on track to meet its full-year production and cost guidance.
However, the company noted that a variety of the commodities it uses in the mining process have seen sizable price increases since the Iran war began, with diesel in particular going up — Gold Fields said it's risen 30 to 70 percent since February.
Management will be looking at ways to control costs, but for investors it's a reminder to keep an eye on the impact of the conflict at the portfolio level.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.












