Trillion Energy International Inc. (" Trillion " or the "Company ") (CSE: TCF) (OTCQB: TRLEF) (Frankfurt: Z62), has reissued its consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2023 to correct an identified error. As a result, the Company's Net Loss is reduced to $43,842 for the year from the previously reported net loss of $1,102,194.
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Trillion Energy Announces Successful SASB Gas Perforations
Trillion Energy International Inc.(“Trillion” or the “Company”) (CSE: TCF) (OTCQB: TRLEF) (Frankfurt: Z62) is pleased to provide this operational update for the SASB gas field well intervention program.
South Akcakoca-2 well was perforated over the intervals 2319.5-2323.5 (4.0 m), 2339.6-2341.3 (1.7m) and 2411.1-2412.8 (1.7m) for a total of 6.4 m (all measured depth “MD”). Well hole pressure (WHP) was 86 psi before perforation, the WHP increased to 1046 psi. The well flowed continuously from the morning of July 9th and by July 10th afternoon the flow rate was 0.70 MMcf/d with a WHP of 140 psi; July 12th flow rate was 1.2 MMcf/d with a WHP of 156 psi; July 14th flow rate was 1.88 MMcf/d with a WHP of 312 psi; last data point at 4:30 pm July 15th flow rate was 2.88 MMcf/d with a WHP of 318 psi.
South Akcakoca-2 well will be continued to be monitored until it reaches a stable rate. The production characteristics indicated that perforating the new zones blew the water out of the well, but also indicate that the reservoirs that were water blocked are cleaning up and producing gas.
Guluc-2 well was perforated over the intervals 3512-3514.5 (2.5 m), 3749.5-3751.3 (1.8 m), 3770.7-3772.4 (1.7m) and 3781.6-3783.3 (1.7m) for a total of 7.7 m (all MD). WHP was 650 psi and increased to 1243 psi before settling to 1098 psi. Guluc-2 will be flowed to clean the water and perforation debris out and be capable of gas production, however, it will than be shut in while South Akcakoca-2 well gas production stabilizes. The increase in the WHP during perforation indicates gas flowed into the borehole from the new perforated zones. Updated flow rates have yet to be established for this well due to the ongoing testing of SA-2.
The perforation operation is currently continuing ongoing on West Akcakoca-1 well after which it will perforate the remaining pay in Akcakoca-3.
Arthur Halleran CEO of Trillion stated:
“The fantastic response of South Akcakoca-2 once the water was lift off the perforations indicates that the reservoirs will produce the gas they contain once the water loading is removed. The wells are going to be perforated and monitored during clean up to evaluate the reservoirs response. The next phase of this project is to install the smaller production tubing (2 3/8”) to allow the wells to produce for a few years before water loading occurs again.
About the Company
Trillion Energy International Inc is focused on oil and natural gas production for Europe and Türkiye with natural gas assets in Türkiye. The Company holds a 49% interest in the SASB natural gas field, a Black Sea natural gas development and 19.6% (except three wells with 9.8%) interest in the Cendere oil field. The Company also is pursuing oil exploration in S.E. Turkiye and beyond. More information may be found on www.sedar.com, and our website.
Contact
Arthur Halleran
1-778-819-1585
e-mail: info@trillionenergy.com;
Website: www.trillionenergy.com
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This news release may contain certain forward-looking information and statements, including without limitation, statements pertaining to the Company's ability to obtain regulatory approval of the executive officer and director appointments. All statements included herein, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking information and such information involves various risks and uncertainties. Trillion does not undertake to update any forward-looking information except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
These statements are no guarantee of future performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, delay, change of strategy, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and which may change over time. Accordingly, actual results and strategies could differ materially and adversely from those expressed in any forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. These factors include unforeseen securities regulatory challenges, COVID, oil and gas price fluctuations, operational and geological risks, changes in capital raising strategies, the ability of the Company to raise necessary funds for development; the outcome of commercial negotiations; changes in technical or operating conditions; the cost of extracting gas and oil may increase and be too costly so that it is uneconomic and not profitable to do so and other factors discussed from time to time in the Company’s filings on www.sedar.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">www.sedar.com, including the most recently filed Annual Report on Form 20-F and subsequent filings. For a full summary of our oil and gas reserves information for Turkey, please refer to our Forms F-1,2,3 51-101 filed on www.sedar.com, and or request a copy of our reserves report effective December 31, 2023.
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Trillion Energy International
Investor Insight
With a strategic portfolio of oil and gas production and exploration projects, Trillion Energy is a compelling investment opportunity well-placed to play a critical role in Europe’s and Turkey’s energy market.
Overview
Trillion Energy (CSE:TCF,OTCQB:TRLEF,Frankfurt:Z62) is a natural oil and gas exploration company focused on providing energy to Turkey and Europe. The company operates primarily in the Black Sea region, where it has been rapidly increasing its natural gas production at SASB gas field since 2022. Trillion Energy is also expanding into oil and gas exploration, particularly in Southeast Turkey. With established infrastructure, including gas plants and pipelines, the company is set to play a critical role in meeting the region’s energy demand in 2024 and beyond.
Turkey is the seventh largest natural gas consumer in the world, importing 98 percent of its natural gas and 92 percent of its oil. Strong local demand, high gas prices (US$11/MCF), and favourable fiscal regimes (12.5 percent royalty and 22 percent corporate tax rates) provide a lucrative energy market.
Off the Turkey coast, the Black Sea gas pipeline plays a pivotal role in connecting Europe and Asia via Turkey, making it the only pipeline with such connectivity. This strategic infrastructure is key to Turkey’s energy ambitions, positioning the country as a vital energy hub between two continents. The pipeline is integral for distributing gas from the SASB Gas Field to both local and regional markets. Turkey's existing infrastructure also allows it to tap into this route for supplying gas to Europe, further enhancing its role in global energy supply.
Company Highlights
- Holds a 49 percent interest in the Black Sea's SASB gas field, with 323 billion cubic feet (BCF) of original gas in place (OGIP) and proven reserves valued at USD $421 million (NPV10).
- Production increased by 300 percent from 2022 to 2023, with 17+ wells planned for development.
- Focus on high-impact oil exploration in Southeast Turkey, targeting fields with production rates of 10,000 barrels per day.
- Raised $55 million in equity and $15 million in subordinated debt for ongoing projects.
- Successfully drilled 5 long-reach natural gas production wells using novel technology in the Black Sea.
Key Projects
SASB Gas Field
The SASB Gas Field, located in the Black Sea, off Turkey, is a significant natural gas project redeveloped by Trillion Energy. Initially developed in 2007, the gas field has produced over 43 billion cubic feet (BCF) of gas. SASB plays a crucial role in Turkey’s domestic energy supply
Trillion’s development program for SASB consists of more than 17 production wells. More than $600 million have been invested into the historical wells and infrastructure at SASB. Six wells have been drilled in 2023, and the project is now producing at four production platforms.
Trillion aims to increase production at SASB to an exit rate of 8.5 million cubic feet per day by the end of 2024. The project benefits from high gas prices and strong infrastructure, with reserves valued at USD $420.5 million.
The SASB license block comprises 12,387 hectares, which expires in 2032, and is renewable until 2042.
Oil Exploration Blocks
Trillion Energy's Southeast Turkey project involves oil exploration in the Cudi-Gabar province. The 2023-2026 program includes drilling 10 wells across three blocks covering 151,484 hectares. Trillion holds a 50 percent interest by funding 100 percent of the costs, with seismic data acquisition and well drilling planned. The area is surrounded by major oil discoveries, including the nearby Sehit Aybuke Yalcin and Sehit Esma Cevik fields, which are rich in oil reserves.
Cendere Oil Field
The Cendere Oil Field, located in Turkey, is a long-term, stable oil production site in which Trillion Energy holds a 19.6 percent interest (with a lower interest of only 9.8 percent in three wells). The field produces around 110 to 120 barrels of oil per day net to Trillion Energy, generating $120,000 to $140,000 in monthly cash flow. With approximately 1.5 million barrels of oil reserves remaining, the field has a net present value of US$13.85 million for Trillion Energy.
Cendere Field Well Pads & Production Lines Map
Management Team
Arthur Halleran - CEO and Director
Arthur Halleran has served as a director of Trillion Energy since October 4, 2011. He has a Ph.D. in Geology from the University of Calgary and 40 years of petroleum exploration and development experience. His international experience includes in countries such as Canada, Colombia, Egypt, India, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Suriname, Chile, Brazil, Bulgaria, Turkey, Pakistan, Peru, Tunisia, Trinidad Tobago, Argentina, Ecuador and Guyana. Halleran has worked for Petro-Canada, Chevron, Rally Energy, Canacol Energy and United Hydrocarbon International. In 2007, Halleran founded Canacol Energy, a company with petroleum and natural gas exploration and development activities in Colombia, Brazil and Guyana, which made a billion-dollar natural gas discovery in Colombia.
David Thompson - Director
David Thompson successfully founded an oil trading company in Bermuda with offices in the US and Europe (Geneva, Moscow and Amsterdam). He was responsible for the company’s production operations in Turkmenistan and successfully raised over $100 million in equity. He was also responsible for production at the Lhamov and Zhdanoy oil fields (offshore Caspian Sea – part of Turkmenistan project) which discovered producing reserves of 365 million barrels of oil and 2 TCF gas. He also negotiated the farm-out of a number of company assets. He is the managing director of AMS Limited, a Bermuda-based management company, and was the founder, president and CEO of Sea Dragon Energy (TSXV), CFO of Aurado Energy, CFO of Forum Energy Corporation (OTC), financial director of Forum Energy Plc (AIM) and SVP at Larmag Group of Companies. Thompson is a certified management accountant (1998).
Jay Park - Director
Jay Park is a renowned energy lawyer with a particular focus on upstream oil and gas transactions. He has worked on energy projects in more than fifty countries, including Turkey. He has advised international energy companies, including oil and gas explorers, producers, marketers, pipeline companies, state oil companies, governments, banks and multilateral agencies such as the World Bank. Park was formerly CEO and then chairman of ReconAfrica, exploring for oil & gas in Namibia and Botswana. During this period ReconAfrica was twice named to the TSX Venture 50 and was the top performing 2021 TSX Venture 50 company from the energy sector. Park is currently executive chairman of MCF Energy, exploring for gas in Europe.
Sean Stofer - Director
Sean Stofer has over 20 years of renewable energy experience. Stofer is a graduate of the University of British Columbia in Engineering and is a registered engineer in California. He is a founder of several successful renewable energy companies including for the Arctic's largest solar array; 250 MW of solar in the USA; 200+MW of wind projects and over 300MW of hydroelectric projects. He is COO of Green Data Center Real Estate, which uses renewable energy to power data centers. Stofer is leading a project of over 500 MW using wind, solar and hydropower. He has worked closely with the government to guide policy and has consulted to a wide range of companies. He was named among the Top 40 Under 40 in Vancouver, Canada for his business achievements.
Trillion Energy Restates 2023 Year Financial Statements
The error is the result of a foreign exchange loss on intercompany accounts that was recorded in net loss and which should have been recorded in other comprehensive loss. IAS 21, The effects of changes in foreign exchange rates , requires that foreign exchange gains and losses on items that form part of an entity's net investment in a foreign operation, should be recognized in other comprehensive income or loss in the Company's consolidated financial statements.
The following table summarizes the line items impacted in the consolidated statements of financial position:
As at December 31, 2023 | As previously reported $ | Restatement Adjustment $ | Restated Amount $ |
Accumulated other comprehensive loss | (12,964,837) | (1,058,352) | (14,023,189) |
Accumulated deficit | (45,939,198) | 1,058,352 | (44,880,846) |
Total stockholders' equity | 22,212,572 | - | 22,212,572 |
The following table summarizes the line items impacted in the consolidated statements of income (loss) and comprehensive income (loss):
For the year ended December 31, 2023 | As previously reported $ | Restatement Adjustment $ | Restated Amount $ |
Foreign exchange gain (loss) | (10,990,604) | 1,058,352 | (9,932,252) |
Total other income (expense) | 4,239,593 | 1,058,352 | 5,297,945 |
Net income (loss) before taxes | 758,132 | 1,058,352 | 1,816,484 |
Net loss | (1,102,194) | 1,058,352 | (43,842) |
Other comprehensive loss Foreign currency translation | (8,954,840) | (1,058,352) | (10,013,192) |
Comprehensive loss | (10,057,034) | - | (10,057,034) |
Net income (loss) per share – Basic and diluted | (0.01) | 0.01 | (0.00) |
The above changes were adjusted through to the consolidated statements of stockholder' equity, cash flows, and notes to the consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2023. However, there were no changes to the reported totals of cash flows from (used in) operating, investing and financing activities.
"The Company considers these changes to have a negligible impact on the Company's financial position as there are no cash items impacted" said David Thompson, CFO.
The Company has recently filed its quarterly consolidated financial statements for 30 th September 2024 which are not impacted by the adjustments to the prior year.
About the Company
Trillion Energy International Inc is focused on oil and natural gas production for Europe and Türkiye with natural gas assets in Türkiye. The Company is 49% owner of the SASB natural gas field, a Black Sea natural gas development and a 19.6% (except three wells with 9.8%) interest in the Cendere oil field. More information may be found on www.sedar.com , and our website.
Contact
David Thompson, CFO
1-778-819-1585
E-mail: info@trillionenergy.com
Website: www.trillionenergy.com
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This news release may contain certain forward-looking information and statements, including without limitation, statements pertaining to the Company's ability to obtain regulatory approval of the executive officer and director appointments. All statements included herein, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking information and such information involves various risks and uncertainties. Trillion does not undertake to update any forward-looking information except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
These statements are no guarantee of future performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, delay, change of strategy, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and which may change over time. Accordingly, actual results and strategies could differ materially and adversely from those expressed in any forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. These factors include unforeseen securities regulatory challenges, COVID, oil and gas price fluctuations, operational and geological risks, changes in capital raising strategies, the ability of the Company to raise necessary funds for development; the outcome of commercial negotiations; changes in technical or operating conditions; the cost of extracting gas and oil may increase and be too costly so that it is uneconomic and not profitable to do so and other factors discussed from time to time in the Company's filings on www.sedar.com, including the most recently filed Annual Report on Form 20-F and subsequent filings. For a full summary of our oil and gas reserves information for Turkey, please refer to our Forms F-1,2,3 51-101 filed on www.sedar.com, and or request a copy of our reserves report effective December 31, 2022 and updated January 31 2023.
News Provided by GlobeNewswire via QuoteMedia
Trillion Energy Successfully Re-completes Wells in VS Program
Trillion Energy International Inc. (" Trillion " or the "Company ") (CSE: TCF) (OTCQB: TRLEF) (Frankfurt: Z62) is pleased to announce that it has successfully run 2 38 velocity string tubing ("VS") in four existing wells, including three long reach wells on the Akcakoca Platform at the SASB Gas Field, Turkey.
The new tubing operation was conducted to reduce water loading, increase production and overall recovery from the wells. With the new tubing strings, the wells should be able to produce at a lower WHP (well head pressure) for a longer period.
Following the velocity string installation, production from Guluc-2 and West Akcakoca-1 commenced production again and is showing steady improvement, demonstrating the program's initial success in enhancing well performance. Both wells previously experienced production challenges causing down time due to water loading with the previous 4 1/2 tubing. The Akcakoca-3 well continues production with reduced daily water production.
The Company is presently planning the next phase of the operation, which is running the VS on two tripod wells and stimulating all the wells to clean up the producing reservoirs, build pressure and increase production. Choke sizes are being adjusted to minimize water production and maximize gas production. The Company has been injecting nitrogen into wells to flush out water build up as needed.
Winter weather conditions prolonged the operation and necessitated a week's break between the tripods and platform operation, as did the requirement for ordering additional equipment (burst disks) which are expected to arrive later this week.
The Company is confident that these measures will lead to an increase in production for these wells.
About the Company
Trillion Energy International Inc is focused on oil and natural gas production for Europe and Türkiye with natural gas assets in Türkiye. The Company is 49% owner of the SASB natural gas field, a Black Sea natural gas development and a 19.6% (except three wells with 9.8%) interest in the Cendere oil field. More information may be found on www.sedar.com , and our website.
Contact
Arthur Halleran, Chief Executive Officer
Brian Park, Vice President of Finance
1-778-819-1585
E-mail: info@trillionenergy.com ;
Website: www.trillionenergy.com
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This news release may contain certain forward-looking information and statements, including without limitation, statements pertaining to the Company's ability to obtain regulatory approval of the executive officer and director appointments. All statements included herein, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking information and such information involves various risks and uncertainties. Trillion does not undertake to update any forward-looking information except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
These statements are no guarantee of future performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, delay, change of strategy, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and which may change over time. Accordingly, actual results and strategies could differ materially and adversely from those expressed in any forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. These factors include unforeseen securities regulatory challenges, COVID, oil and gas price fluctuations, operational and geological risks, changes in capital raising strategies, the ability of the Company to raise necessary funds for development; the outcome of commercial negotiations; changes in technical or operating conditions; the cost of extracting gas and oil may increase and be too costly so that it is uneconomic and not profitable to do so and other factors discussed from time to time in the Company's filings on www.sedar.com, including the most recently filed Annual Report on Form 20-F and subsequent filings. For a full summary of our oil and gas reserves information for Turkey, please refer to our Forms F-1,2,3 51-101 filed on www.sedar.com, and or request a copy of our reserves report effective December 31, 2022 and updated January 31 2023.
News Provided by GlobeNewswire via QuoteMedia
TRILLION ENERGY PROVIDES UPDATE ON SASB VS INSTALLATION
Trillion Energy International Inc. (" Trillion " or the "Company ") (CSE: TCF) (OTCQB: TRLEF) (Frankfurt: Z62) is pleased to provide an update on the velocity string installation program at the SASB gas field.
On October 27 th the snubbing unit was positioned over the Akcakoca-3 well where 2 3/8" production tubing ("velocity string" or "VS") was ran into the well through the existing 4 ½ tubing. The operation was completed on October 29 th . The well continued to flow throughout the operation.
Following the VS installation, Akcakoca-3 production increased from approximately 2.0 MMcf/d (average production for the 27 days prior to installation) to 2.6 MMcf/d (average production first 4 days post VS). We continue to monitor production from the well at this time.
On October 30 th , 2024 a 2 3/8 th velocity string was ran into the West Akcakoca-1 well using the snubbing unit. The operation was completed by November 1 st , where the velocity string reached a total measured depth (MD) of 3,496 meters. The West Akcakoca-1 well was not producing prior to the operation and gas production is expected to resume following nitrogen stimulation being applied.
Currently, VS is being run into the Guluc-2 well. The velocity strings are being installed with the objective of reducing water loading issues in the SASB gas wells.
About the Company
Trillion Energy International Inc is focused on oil and natural gas production for Europe and Türkiye with natural gas assets in Türkiye. The Company is 49% owner of the SASB natural gas field, a Black Sea natural gas development and a 19.6% (except three wells with 9.8%) interest in the Cendere oil field. More information may be found on www.sedar.com , and our website.
Contact
Arthur Halleran, Chief Executive Officer
Brian Park, Vice President of Finance
1-778-819-1585
e-mail: info@trillionenergy.com;
Website: www.trillionenergy.com
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This news release may contain certain forward-looking information and statements, including without limitation, statements pertaining to the Company's ability to obtain regulatory approval of the executive officer and director appointments. All statements included herein, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking information and such information involves various risks and uncertainties. Trillion does not undertake to update any forward-looking information except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
These statements are no guarantee of future performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, delay, change of strategy, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and which may change over time. Accordingly, actual results and strategies could differ materially and adversely from those expressed in any forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. These factors include unforeseen securities regulatory challenges, COVID, oil and gas price fluctuations, operational and geological risks, changes in capital raising strategies, the ability of the Company to raise necessary funds for development; the outcome of commercial negotiations; changes in technical or operating conditions; the cost of extracting gas and oil may increase and be too costly so that it is uneconomic and not profitable to do so and other factors discussed from time to time in the Company's filings on www.sedar.com, including the most recently filed Annual Report on Form 20-F and subsequent filings. For a full summary of our oil and gas reserves information for Turkey, please refer to our Forms F-1,2,3 51-101 filed on www.sedar.com, and or request a copy of our reserves report effective December 31, 2022 and updated January 31 2023.
News Provided by GlobeNewswire via QuoteMedia
Trillion Energy Initiates Velocity String Program
Trillion Energy International Inc. (" Trillion " or the "Company ") (CSE: TCF) (OTCQB: TRLEF) (Frankfurt: Z62) is pleased to announce it is gearing up SASB gas field operations with the installation of Velocity Strings (VS) at this time.
On September 30 th , 2024, after the Company reached an agreement with its partner at SASB on the technical aspects of the program, it was assigned operatorship for the conduct of this program.
The Company then was able to sign a service agreement with a snubbing provider "Snub Co" to install the velocity strings. Mobilization of the snubbing unit, which is currently in Romania, has begun. The propose of the operation is to increase or stabilize production rates in producing wells, by reducing water loading.
Currently the Akcakoca-3 and South Akcakoca-2 are averaging 2.55 MMcf/d and 2.3 MMcf/over the past 30 days. The other two long reach directionally drilled wells Guluc-2 and West Akcakoca-1 were only produced intermittently due to water loading. Even still, Guluc-2 averaged 1.7 MMcf/d over the last 2 months.
Arthur Halleran CEO of Trillion stated:
"Initially it was assumed that the VS could only be run in using a drilling rig, however, we have now convinced all a snubbing unit can accomplish this activity. This has been a giant step forward. This strategic move underscores our commitment to maximizing shareholder value through operational excellence and innovative solutions in the dynamic European energy market."
Oil block update -The Company has continued to work to finalize a farm-in to earn a working and revenue interest in M46 and M47 oil exploration blocks within the Cudi-Gabar petroleum province, Southeastern Turkiye (the "Oil Blocks"). The Company initiated seismic work in 2023 on the Oil Blocks planned four exploration wells for 2024, however, such wells have not been drilled as the Company focused on its workover program at SASB. As a result, the block license owner secured a third party to drill two wells on the Oil Blocks and gave up a 20% interest. As such, the first two wells will not be drilled by Trillion and Trillion is committed to earning an interest in the Oil Blocks subject to financing and finalizing participation terms.
About the Company
Trillion Energy International Inc is focused on oil and natural gas production for Europe and Türkiye with natural gas assets in Türkiye. The Company is 49% owner of the SASB natural gas field, a Black Sea natural gas development and a 19.6% (except three wells with 9.8%) interest in the Cendere oil field. More information may be found on www.sedar.com , and our website.
Con tact
Arthur Halleran, Chief Executive Officer
Brian Park, Vice President of Finance
1-778-819-1585
E-mail: info@trillionenergy.com ;
Website: www.trillionenergy.com
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This news release may contain certain forward-looking information and statements, including without limitation, statements pertaining to the Company's ability to obtain regulatory approval of the executive officer and director appointments. All statements included herein, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking information and such information involves various risks and uncertainties. Trillion does not undertake to update any forward-looking information except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
These statements are no guarantee of future performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, delay, change of strategy, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and which may change over time. Accordingly, actual results and strategies could differ materially and adversely from those expressed in any forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. These factors include unforeseen securities regulatory challenges, COVID, oil and gas price fluctuations, operational and geological risks, changes in capital raising strategies, the ability of the Company to raise necessary funds for development; the outcome of commercial negotiations; changes in technical or operating conditions; the cost of extracting gas and oil may increase and be too costly so that it is uneconomic and not profitable to do so and other factors discussed from time to time in the Company's filings on www.sedar.com, including the most recently filed Annual Report on Form 20-F and subsequent filings. For a full summary of our oil and gas reserves information for Turkey, please refer to our Forms F-1,2,3 51-101 filed on www.sedar.com, and or request a copy of our reserves report effective December 31, 2022 and updated January 31 2023.
News Provided by GlobeNewswire via QuoteMedia
IBN Announces Latest Episode of The MiningNewsWire Podcast featuring Dr. Arthur Halleran, CEO of Trillion Energy International Inc.
Via IBNIBN a multifaceted communications organization engaged in connecting public companies to the investment community, is pleased to announce the release of the latest episode of The MiningNewsWire Podcast as part of its sustained effort to provide specialized content distribution via widespread syndication channels.
The MiningNewsWire Podcast features revealing sit-downs with executives who are shaping the future of the global mining industry. The latest episode features Dr. Arthur Halleran, CEO and Director of Trillion Energy International Inc. (CSE: TCF) (OTCQB: TRLEF) , a Canadian oil and gas exploration and production company with operations primarily focused in the Republic of Türkiye.
To begin the interview, Halleran discussed the company's project portfolio.
"Trillion Energy is an oil and gas producer with operations in Türkiye. We have the SASB Gas Field in the Black Sea, and then we also have an oil field on shore. The field has been producing since around 2007, with another series of drilling in 2011. Trillion took over the field in 2017. In 2022-23, we drilled another five wells to tag into new gas pools and also re-completed one. They were long reach, directionally drilled wells."
"When we acquired the company holding these assets in Türkiye, the gas field didn't have any economic gas production or a reserve report. The facilities were written off… We got a new reserve report and operated the drilling… Leveraging recent technological advancements, we were able to produce the borehole onto the platforms, into the pipelines, onto our gas facilities, and right to the sales line… Right now, we're producing about 6-6.5 million cubic feet per day from three of the wells. After some upcoming refinements, we expect production to be in the order of about 12-15 million cubic feet per day, and we anticipate that level of constant production for a couple of years."
Halleran next detailed his background and those of the Trillion team.
"I'm a geologist by trade. I have about 44 years of experience, and I have a Ph.D. in petroleum geology. Throughout my career, I've worked in about 39 other countries. Over half of my experience is on international projects. I started with Trillion Energy in 2011 as a director, and in 2017, I took over as the CEO… My CFO is David Thompson. He has about 50 years of experience in the industry. He previously worked with Sea Dragon Energy in Egypt and numerous other companies. He's joined on the team by Scott Lower, the president of our subsidiary in Türkiye. Then, we have a whole series of directors, which you can see on the website, all very experienced in the industry, as well."
Join IBN's Stuart Smith and Dr. Arthur Halleran, CEO and Director of Trillion Energy International , to learn more about the company's recent milestones and operational goals for the balance of 2024.
To hear the whole podcast and subscribe for future episodes, visit https://podcast.miningnewswire.com .
The latest installment of The MiningNewsWire Podcast continues to reinforce IBN's commitment to the expansion of its robust network of brands, client partners, followers and the growing IBN Podcast Series . For more than 18 years, IBN has leveraged this commitment to provide unparalleled distribution and corporate messaging solutions to 500+ public and private companies .
To learn more about IBN's achievements and milestones via a visual timeline, visit: https://IBN.fm/TimeLine
About Trillion Energy
Trillion Energy International Inc. is focused on oil and natural gas production for Europe and Türkiye with natural gas assets in Türkiye. The company is 49% owner of the SASB natural gas field, a Black Sea natural gas development, and holds a 19.6% (except three wells with 9.8%) interest in the Cendere oil field. The company has a 50% interest in three oil exploration blocks in southeast Türkiye. For more information, visit the company's website at www.TrillionEnergy.com
About IBN
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Forward-Looking Statements
This release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain as they are based on current expectations and assumptions concerning future events or future performance of the company. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are only predictions and speak only as of the date hereof. In evaluating such statements, prospective investors should review carefully various risks and uncertainties identified in this release and matters set in the company's SEC filings. These risks and uncertainties could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements.
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Source Rock Royalties
Investor Insight
Source Rock Royalties offers investors exposure to oil and gas production without operational costs, providing steady cash flow through its diversified portfolio of royalties and mineral rights.
Overview
Source Rock Royalties (TSXV:SRR) is a Calgary, Canada based company exclusively focused on oil & gas royalties in the provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan. Source Rock's portfolio primarily consists of royalty interests focused on oil, with concentrations in southeast Saskatchewan, central Alberta and west-central Saskatchewan. The portfolio comprises:
- Various gross overriding royalty interests in southeast Saskatchewan.
- A gross overriding royalty in largely contiguous Clearwater interests in Central Alberta.
- A production volume royalty in Viking mineral rights in east-central Alberta.
- Various gross overriding royalties in central Alberta.
- Various gross overriding royalties in the west-central Saskatchewan Viking light oil play.
Since its inception, Source Rock Royalties has consistently pursued royalty acquisitions, even amidst significant energy market fluctuations. The company has primarily concentrated on non-marketed royalty acquisitions rather than opportunities marketed through formal third-party processes. Leveraging strong relationships within the oil and gas sector in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, Source Rock identifies and accesses niche royalty acquisitions.
Source Rock acquired new royalties worth nearly C$13 million in 2023 and a total of C$16.5 million since its IPO in March 2022. These acquisitions effectively doubled Source Rock’s royalty acreage, significantly enhancing both its current royalty production and its exposure to potential undeveloped drill locations. Source Rock generated C$6.6 million in royalty revenue in 2023, the highest in its 11-year history. Source Rock has generated C$5.8 million royalty revenue for the first nine months of 2024.
Source Rock endeavors to keep costs low, thereby maximizing cash flows. Aside from the CEO and CFO, additional technical oil and gas professionals are engaged by Source Rock as consultants on an as-needed basis. Source Rock Royalties employs only one full-time staff member. The low-cost base ensures consistent cash flows as evidenced by its more than 11+year track record of delivering positive funds from operations.
Strong cash flow allows the company to consistently pay dividends. Source Rock has paid ~$19 million in dividends to shareholders from 2014 to Q4 2024. Source Rock’s per share dividend has increased by 30 percent since March 2023.
The current monthly dividend is $0.0065 and is sustainable given that it can comfortably be funded by current operations even at a lower oil price scenario of ~C$60/bbl (or ~US$50/bbl WTI).
The management and board of directors have a proven track record of creating value in the oil & gas industry. The insiders own 10 percent of Source Rock’s common shares, aligning their interest to that of the shareholders by directly participating in the same financings as outside shareholders since inception. The company has a strong institutional shareholder with CN Rail Pension Fund owning approximately 20 percent of Source Rock’s common shares. Source Rock Royalties has a clean capital structure with only 45.5 million common shares issued and outstanding.
Source Rock focuses on a balanced growth and yield model, limiting volatility in returns for shareholders. Source Rock offers investors a unique opportunity to gain exposure to the oil & gas sector in Canada.
Company Highlights
- Source Rock Royalties is a Calgary, Canada based pure-play oil and gas royalty company, with a focus on Alberta and Saskatchewan; the only junior oil and gas royalty company listed on the TSXV.
- Source Rock Royalties concentrates on acquiring royalties in areas with proved reserves, foreseeable future high rate-of-return drilling upside, and partnering with operators that are financially and operationally prudent.
- Owning and managing royalties is a capital-light business model offering the benefit of sharing in production revenue without exposure to the capital costs associated with drilling, development, maintenance, abandonment, environmental and other obligations.
- Source Rock Royalties has a diversified oil-focused portfolio of royalty interests concentrated in southeast Saskatchewan, central Alberta, and west-central Saskatchewan with well-positioned royalty payors. Oil exposure allows for a strong netback (profit) per barrel even during periods of lower commodity prices.
- Source Rock Royalties has a proven track record of executing its balanced growth and yield business model. The company has achieved 11 years of positive cash flow and provided ~$19 million in dividends back to shareholders since 2014.
- Source Rock Royalties anticipates its current monthly dividend of $0.0065 to be comfortably funded with cash flow by current operations down to oil prices of ~C$60/bbl (or ~US$50/bbl WTI).
- The management and board of directors have a proven track record of creating value in the oil & gas industry. The insiders own 10 percent of Source Rock’s common shares, aligning their interests with that of the shareholders.
- The company has a strong institutional shareholder, with CN Rail Pension Fund owning approximately 20 percent of Source Rock’s common shares.
- Insiders and key shareholders have an average cost on their shares of ~$0.90 (there were never any cheap Founders or seed shares issued).
- Source Rock Royalties does not use debt in its business and always maintains a cash balance.
Royalty Assets
Source Rock's current portfolio comprises royalties primarily focused on oil (95 percent), spread across southeast Saskatchewan, central Alberta and west-central Saskatchewan. The company holds varying gross overriding royalties in more than 150,000 gross acres of land. Additionally, Source Rock owns a production volume royalty in Viking mineral interests situated in lands in east-central Alberta.
The majority of Source Rock's royalties are derived from top-line revenue, resulting in minimal exposure to deductions linked to production costs from wellbores and the sale of various commodities. Also, the majority of its current royalty payors are financially stable and possess robust capabilities to efficiently operate and enhance the value of the lands in which Source Rock holds royalties. Some of the key royalty payors include Whitecap Resources (TSX:WCP), Rubellite Energy (TSX:RBY), Surge Energy (TSX:SGY), Veren (TSX:VRN), Anova Resources (Private), Marling Resources (Private) and Axiom Oil & Gas (Private), among many others.
1. SE Saskatchewan Light Oil Gross Overriding Royalties
The company holds gross overriding royalties in approximately 35,000 gross acres of land in southeast Saskatchewan. The key operators include Whitecap Resources, Vermilion Energy (TSX:VET), Anova Resources (Private), Veren (TSX:VRN), Tundra Oil & Gas (Private), ROK Resources (TSXV:ROK), Woodland Development (Private) and Saturn Oil & Gas (TSX:SOIL). Future development activities on gross overriding royalty lands will be focused on the Frobisher Formation. The Frobisher Formation, characterized by shallow depths and conventional light oil, does not necessitate hydraulic fracturing, making it one of Canada's most economically viable light oil plays.
2. Clearwater Heavy Oil Gross Overriding Royalty
The company holds a gross overriding royalty in approximately 60,000 net acres (95 sections) of largely contiguous land in the Figure Lake area of central Alberta. Rubellite Energy is the operator of gross overriding royalty lands and the production is entirely from the Clearwater Formation. The gross overriding royalty initially carries a royalty rate of 1.5 percent until the cumulative royalty revenue received by Source Rock matches the purchase price. At that point, the royalty rate decreases to 1 percent. The operator has committed to drill 59 horizontal wells on the lands between December 2023 and June 2026.
3. Hamilton Lake Unit Viking Light Oil Royalty
Source Rock earns a production volume royalty supported by production from Hamilton Lake Unit and Viking lands of Axiom Oil & Gas. Pursuant to the production volume royalty agreement, Source Rock's remaining entitlement to royalty volumes from the Hamilton Lake Unit is as follows:
- 2024 – 75 bbl/d; 2025 – 70 bbl/d; 2026 – 39 bbl/d
- 2027 to 2034 – 20 percent lower on a per-day basis than the prior calendar year; and
- January 1, 2035 – conversion to a 0.50 percent gross overriding royalty in the Hamilton Lake Unit or a $500,000 pay-out, at the discretion of the royalty payor.
4. Central Alberta and Saskatchewan Gross Overriding Royalties
Source Rock owns varying gross overriding royalties in approximately 60,000 gross acres of land located in west-central Saskatchewan and central Alberta. The west-central Saskatchewan gross overriding royalty lands produce predominantly light oil from the Viking and Mannville formations. The Central Alberta gross overriding royalties produce from various formations and include exposure to several low-decline properties that are under waterflood.
Management Team
Brad Docherty – President, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Brad Docherty is the Founder of Source Rock Royalties, and has held the positions of president, chief executive officer and chairman of the company since its incorporation. Previously, he was a corporate finance & securities lawyer at Gowlings and served as the president, CEO and director of Exito Energy and Exitio Energy II, both capital pool companies on the TSXV.
Cheryne Lowe – Chief Financial Officer
Cheryne Lowe is a seasoned financial professional with extensive experience in companies listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange. She also brings a background in the upstream oil and gas industry and the Canadian capital markets. Her most recent role was interim CFO at AgJunction (TSX:AJX), an agriculture technology company, which was acquired in late 2021. Previously, she served as CFO and corporate secretary at Pine Cliff Energy (TSX:PNE), and as vice-president finance and CFO at Orlen Upstream Canada and its predecessor, TriOil Resources. Lowe began her career with KPMG and later worked as an Institutional Research Associate with Tristone Capital.
John Bell – Director
John Bell is the president at Kerrobert Fuels and was previously the president and chief financial officer at WCSB Blockchain Infrastructure. Prior to this, he served as the director of finance at Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure (TSX:TWM).
Dean Potter – Director
Dean Potter serves as the executive chairman and CEO of Burgess Creek Exploration. Additionally, he is the president at DPX, a private company engaged in petroleum exploration and development. He is a member of the Saskatchewan oil and gas Hall of Fame and has more than 40 years of geological expertise that has been focused on making discoveries in SE Saskatchewan.
Gary McMurren – Director
Gary McMurren is the vice-president of engineering at Southern Energy (TSXV:SOU). He was previously the vice-president of engineering at Gulf Pine Energy Partners. Formerly, he held various engineering roles with Athabasca Oil (TSX:ATH).
Shaun Thiessen – Director
Shaun Thiessen is vice-president of land and business development at Astara Oil. Prior to this, he held the same title at Astra Oil from inception until its sale. Formerly, he was the director of land at PrairieSky Royalty (TSX:PSK).
Scott Rideout – Director
Scott Rideout is vice-president of land at Headwater Exploration (TSX:HWX). He was previously vice-president of land at Baytex Energy (TSX:BTE), and prior to that at Raging River Exploration until its sale.
June-Marie Innes – Director
June-Marie Innes is currently CFO at Thread Innovations. She previously held progressively more senior roles at Tamarack Valley Energy (TSX:TVE).
Jordan Kevol – Director
Jordan Kevol is currently COO at Westgate Energy (TSXV:WGT), a private oil and gas producer. Previously, he was the president and CEO of Blackspur Oil.
Tracy Shuchart: Energy Demand Exploding — Watching Oil/Gas, Uranium and Grid Stocks
Tracy Shuchart, CEO and founder of Hilltower Resource Advisors, discussed the growing need for all types of energy in the US, saying she's looking for opportunities in oil, natural gas, grid stocks and uranium juniors.
"I think 2025 is going to be a really good year for energy, absolutely," she said. "Not just because of the incoming administration that is very pro-energy and very-pro nuclear as well. But I think with this demand explosion that we're having it's going to be hard to keep ignoring that sector as people have over the last few years."
Looking at oil stocks, Shuchart said those who do their research will be able to find bargains outside the majors.
"The Exxon Mobils (NYSE:XOM), the Chevrons (NYSE:CVX) — they're always going to perform well. But if you want to take on a little bit more risk, you can look at some of those smaller producers that maybe haven't performed as well."
When it comes to natural gas, she said she's looking at midstream companies due to the growing need for pipelines.
Shuchart is also interested in grid stocks as power demand from artificial intelligence data centers increases.
Those include utilities companies like Southern Company (NYSE:SO), as well as equipment stocks like Siemens (OTC Pink:SMAWF,ETR:SIE), LG Electronics (KRX:066570) and Hitachi (TSE:6501).
In the uranium sector, Shuchart is focused on North American juniors.
"They've been underperforming some of the majors, but now that we've had uranium prices kind of hold this US$80, US$85 (per pound) area for a long enough time, that's enough money that they can be successful," she said.
Watch the interview above for more from Shuchart on those topics and more. You can also click here to view the Investing News Network's New Orleans Investment Conference playlist on YouTube.
Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
Coelacanth Energy Inc. Announces Operations Update
Coelacanth Energy Inc. (TSXV: CEI) ("Coelacanth" or the "Company") announces that it has completed and tested 4 additional wells at its Two Rivers East Project including 3 Lower Montney Wells and 1 Upper Montney well on the 5-19 pad.
LOWER MONTNEY
The 3 new Lower Montney wells (F5-19, G5-19, H5-19) were drilled with an average horizontal length of 3,285 metres and completed with approximately 2.5 tons of sand per horizontal metre. The wells were placed on test for clean-up for an average of 7 days until a stabilized rate was achieved. The test rates noted below are based on the final 24 hours of each test.
The average rate achieved for the 3 new Lower Montney wells was 1,624 boepd per well comprised of 989 bbls per day of 41 API light sweet oil and 3.8 mmcf/d of liquids-rich gas. The rates per well are outlined in the table below:
Well | Oil - bbls/d | Gas - mmcf/d | Total - boe/d | % Light Oil |
F5-19 | 1,061 | 3.2 | 1,595 | 67 |
G5-19 | 900 | 4.0 | 1,573 | 57 |
H5-19 | 1,007 | 4.2 | 1,703 | 59 |
Average | 989 | 3.8 | 1,624 | 61 |
The overall rates and more specifically the oil rates were materially higher than the previous 3 wells on the pad (C5-19, D5-19 and E5-19) that achieved an average test rate of 1,338 boepd including 729 bbls/d of light oil and 3.7 mmcf/d of gas (see press release dated January 18, 2024 for more information including per well test results and initial production rates). Although the 3 new Lower Montney wells were drilled with slightly longer lateral lengths and the completion design was slightly modified in an attempt to increase the overall oil production, the tests have exceeded expectations.
UPPER MONTNEY
The Upper Montney well (B5-19) was drilled with a horizontal length of 2,647 metres and completed with approximately 2.5 tons of sand per horizontal metre. The well flowed on cleanup for 6 days and achieved a rate of 1,136 boepd comprised of 271 bbls/d of 40 API light oil and 5.2 mmcf/d of liquids-rich gas. In comparison to the Lower Montney Wells noted above, the B5-19 was 20% shorter in horizontal length and had 42% less frac stages leaving room for future optimization.
Management is very pleased with the B5-19 test result particularly the potential impact on Coelacanth's development inventory over its 150-section contiguous Montney land block. The Upper Montney is extensively mapped over Coelacanth's lands, but the impact of this test is amplified given it is a 10-mile step-out from Coelacanth's Two Rivers West project and 5 miles from the nearest competitor well.
INFRASTRUCTURE & TAKEAWAY
As previously disclosed, Coelacanth has secured long-term takeaway and processing for up to 60 mmcf/d of gas and is in process of constructing the required facilities and pipelines to handle the 5-19 and subsequent pads. Initial testing and start-up of the facility is anticipated for late April 2025.
Overall, Coelacanth believes this was a very significant second step in its development that has materially expanded the development fairway of the Upper Montney as well as increased the productivity of the Lower Montney that was already established as productive.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT:
Coelacanth Energy Inc.
2110, 530 - 8th Ave SW
Calgary, Alberta T2P 3S8
Phone: 403-705-4525
www.coelacanth.ca
Mr. Robert J. Zakresky
President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Nolan Chicoine
Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer
NEITHER THE TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE NOR ITS REGULATION SERVICES PROVIDER (AS THAT TERM IS DEFINED IN THE POLICIES OF THE TSX VENTURE EXCHANGE) ACCEPTS RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ADEQUACY OR ACCURACY OF THIS RELEASE.
Oil and Gas Terms
The Company uses the following frequently recurring oil and gas industry terms in the news release:
Liquids | |
Bbls | Barrels |
Bbls/d | Barrels per day |
NGLs | Natural gas liquids (includes condensate, pentane, butane, propane, and ethane) |
Natural Gas | |
Mcf | Thousands of cubic feet |
Mcf/d | Thousands of cubic feet per day |
MMcf/d | Millions of cubic feet per day |
Oil Equivalent | |
Boe | Barrels of oil equivalent |
Boe/d | Barrels of oil equivalent per day |
Disclosure provided herein in respect of a boe may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil equivalent has been used for the calculation of boe amounts in the news release. This boe conversion rate is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Product Types
The Company uses the following references to sales volumes in the news release:
Natural gas refers to shale gas
Oil refers to tight oil
NGLs refers to butane, propane and pentanes combined
Liquids refers to tight oil and NGLs combined
Oil equivalent refers to the total oil equivalent of shale gas, tight oil, and NGLs combined, using the conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of shale gas to one barrel of oil equivalent as described above.
Forward-Looking Information
This news release contains forward-looking statements and forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect", "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "should", "believe", "intends", "forecast", "plans", "guidance" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements or information.
More particularly and without limitation, this document contains forward-looking statements and information relating to the Company's oil, NGLs and natural gas production and capital programs. The forward-looking statements and information are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by the Company, including expectations and assumptions relating to prevailing commodity prices and exchange rates, applicable royalty rates and tax laws, future well production rates, the performance of existing wells, the success of drilling new wells, the availability of capital to undertake planned activities and the availability and cost of labor and services.
Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements and information are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking statements and information address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to, the risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general such as operational risks in development, exploration and production, delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures, the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production rates, costs and expenses, commodity price and exchange rate fluctuations, marketing and transportation, environmental risks, competition, the ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources and changes in tax, royalty and environmental legislation. The forward-looking statements and information contained in this document are made as of the date hereof for the purpose of providing the readers with the Company's expectations for the coming year. The forward-looking statements and information may not be appropriate for other purposes. The Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Test Results and Initial Production Rates
The B5-19 Upper Montney well was production tested for 6.3 days and produced at an average rate of 92 bbl/d oil and 2,100 mcf/d gas (net of load fluid and energizing fluid) over that period which includes the initial cleanup where only load water was being recovered. At the end of the test, flowing wellhead pressure and production rates were stable.
The F5-19 Lower Montney well was production tested for 4.9 days and produced at an average rate of 728 bbl/d oil and 1,607 mcf/d gas (net of load fluid and energizing fluid) over that period which includes the initial cleanup where only load water was being recovered. At the end of the test, flowing wellhead pressure and production rates were stable.
The G5-19 Lower Montney well was production tested for 7.1 days and produced at an average rate of 415 bbl/d oil and 1,489 mcf/d gas (net of load fluid and energizing fluid) over that period which includes the initial cleanup where only load water was being recovered. At the end of the test, flowing wellhead pressure and production rates were stable.
The H5-19 Basal Montney well was production tested for 8.1 days and produced at an average rate of 411 bbl/d oil and 1,166 mcf/d gas (net of load fluid and energizing fluid) over that period which includes the initial cleanup where only load water was being recovered. At the end of the test, flowing wellhead pressure was stable and production was starting to decline.
A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out on these four wells and thus certain of the test results provided herein should be considered to be preliminary until such analysis or interpretation has been completed. Test results and initial production rates disclosed herein, particularly those short in duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery.
To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/232259
News Provided by Newsfile via QuoteMedia
Eric Nuttall: Oil Facing Volatile 2025 — Where I'm Investing, Plus Prices, Supply and Demand
Eric Nuttall, partner and senior portfolio manager at Ninepoint Partners, spoke to the Investing News Network about 2024 oil market trends and what's next for the sector heading into 2025.
While the past year has been tough overall, he believes the biggest challenge is sentiment.
"Nobody's here. Nobody cares. Nobody is aware of any of the bullish potential, because everybody is just focused on the narrative around, '(The market is) awash in oil and we're going to fall to US$60 (per barrel).' Or I even saw US$40 the other day. You've got to try to really tune out the noise," Nuttall explained during the conversation.
"I think given how underweight people are, given how strong balance sheets — ie. business models — are today, that even at US$70, which seems to be a reasonable price to triangulate around, we can still find opportunities," he added.
Nuttall is looking for companies that have paid down their debt and have strong free cashflow.
"The only thing to do with that free cashflow is to meaningfully buy back shares," he said. "If you look at the relationship between share buybacks and performance, it's like mission accomplished — there's a very strong linear relationship between the companies that have been most aggressively buying back their stock and the biggest outperformers."
Nuttall also said he sees investment potential outside oil stocks in the year ahead.
"We're looking for names with multi decades of inventory, because my belief is that the demand for hydrocarbons — oil, natural gas, coal — will grow longer and stronger than consensus believes," he said.
When asked about his final thoughts heading into 2025, Nuttall returned to sentiment.
"I think that's the biggest thing — sentiment is awful, fundamentals are not. Things are not perfect, but they're not nearly as bad as what consensus believes, and there's still money to be made in this sector," he finished.
Watch the interview above for more from Nuttall on oil supply, demand and prices in 2025.
Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
2024 AGM Chairmans Address
As announced MEC (ASX:MMR) has received written confirmation from the Australian Securities Exchange (“ASX”) that the Company’s shares will be reinstated to trading on the official list of ASX, subject to the satisfaction of certain conditions precedent. MEC have provided all of the information to ASX in order to satisfy the conditions precedent and will update the market accordingly once that confirmation is received.
PEP11 continues to be a primary focus of MECs investee Advent Energy Ltd and this focus has been validated by recent key energy reports, in particular the ACCC Gas Inquiry 2017-2030 Report released on 7 July 20241.
The ACCC Gas Inquiry report has stated:
- “There is an urgent need to develop new sources of gas production and supply.
- Natural gas is expected to play a critical role in ensuring the reliability of energy supply as Australia increases its reliance on renewable sources.
- The east coast gas market may experience gas supply shortfalls as early as 2027 (to mid-2030s) unless new sources of supply are made available.
- AEMO’s (Australian Energy Market Operator) 2024 GSOO (Gas Statement of Opportunities) has also highlighted the risk of peak-day shortfalls from 2025 under extreme peak demand conditions.
- Ensuring efficient supply to the east coast market would also be supported by increased competition in upstream production.
- The use of import terminals does not obviate development of domestic sources of supply. …. continued domestic gas production will be important to limit risks to Australia’s energy security and market stability.
- For larger industrial users, where gas is used as a core component in manufacturing and chemical processes and reducing gas usage may not be technically or commercially feasible in the foreseeable future.
- The ACCC and AEMO have increasingly noted that an orderly transition will require more gas to be brought online to meet expected demand. … a core policy challenge is ... maintaining energy security and affordability.
- On the fundamental concern of continuing supply, (The ACCC) analysis indicates that gas production in the southern states will decline over the short and medium term.
- Gas fields in the Gippsland basin, the primary source of gas for the southern states in the past, are reaching the end of their productive lives. There are no projects yet to be approved that could come online in time to prevent a shortfall in 2025.”
Key further points
- “The potential emergence of supply shortages... is due to: ▪ increases in forecast gas consumption for GPG as a firming power source in the National Electricity Market, especially during winter… the retirement of coal generation post-2030 will increase demand for gas-based firming.
- Decreases in forecast supply due to a combination of delays in new gas projects still awaiting regulatory approval, and production problems in legacy gas fields.
- The southern states are expected to rely on gas transported from Queensland for the foreseeable future unless new sources of supply are made available. However, from 2029 Queensland will also require new sources of supply.
- Forecast production is from the Bowen (including the north Bowen), Surat, Galilee, Cooper, Gippsland, Bass, Otway, Gunnedah and Sydney basins.
- ACCC … have excluded production and expected supply from the Northern Territory given continuing production issues in the region.
- There is a risk that the Northern Territory will require gas to be imported from Queensland.
Asset Energy continues to progress the PEP11 joint venture applications for the variation and suspension of work program conditions and related extension of PEP11.
On 6th August 2024, Advent announced that Asset had filed an Originating Application for Judicial Review in the Federal Court seeking the following:
1. A declaration that the Commonwealth-New South Wales Offshore Petroleum Joint Authority has breached an implied duty by failing to make a decision under the Offshore Petroleum and Greenhouse Gas Storage Act 2006 (Cth) with respect to two pending applications relating to Petroleum Exploration Permit NSW–11 (PEP11 Permit); and
2. An order that the Joint Authority be compelled to determine the applications within 45 days2.
Asset alleged that the failure by the Joint Authority to make a decision with respect to the applications constitutes a breach of its duty to consider the applications within a reasonable time.
On 18 September 2024, Minister Husic, via NOPTA, gave Asset Energy (Advents subsidiary) a statement of preliminary views with attachments and invited Asset Energy to provide a response within 30 days. The statement of preliminary views included 45 annexures totaling 1608 pages. Asset Energy provided its response to NOPTA on 15 November 2024.
Following conferral between the parties to the Federal Court proceeding, on 9 October 2024 orders were made vacating the previous orders and adjourning the proceedings to a date on or after 7 February 2025. The parties have liberty to apply to bring the matter back before the Federal Court on 3 days’ notice.
Included in the material provided by Minister Husic was a copy of the NOPTA recommendation to the Joint Authority which recommended that the Joint Authority approve Asset’s second Application. In the NOPTA Annual Report of Activities 2020-21 it was noted that 54 applications for COVID-19 related suspensions and extensions were approved in that period. The company understands that the Second Application (for COVID-19 relief) made in respect of the PEP11 Permit was the only application outstanding.
Following the close of the MEC Entitlement Offer, the existing cash held by the Company, together with the funds raised under the Offer, and Shortfall Offer, the Company has approximately $3.36m (after costs of the offer) in cash. This ensures that the Company is adequately funded going forward and as set out in its Prospectus, the Company has developed a clearly defined business framework that covers its strategic goals to develop and commercialize its investments over the first two years following its Re-Instatement, as set out in the Prospectus dated. The Directors are satisfied that the Company will have sufficient working capital to carry out its objectives as stated in its Prospectus.
Click here for the Reinstatement to Quotation
Click here for the full ASX Release
This article includes content from MEC Resources, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.
Supply Chains in Question as Trump Threatens Tariffs on North American Neighbors
Incoming US President Donald Trump has proposed the application of a 25 percent tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico on his first day in office, sparking concerns over possible economic implications.
“On January 20th, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States, and its ridiculous Open Borders,” Trump posted on his Truth Social platform, adding that the move was spurred by worries over illegal drug imports and immigration.
Canada and Mexico are America's closest trading partners, with both being integral to the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). They account for significant portions of US imports in critical sectors, from energy to automobiles.
Analysts are already predicting widespread economic disruption if the tariffs are implemented, with Canadian and Mexican leaders raising concerns about the implications for trade relations and resource exports.
Canada and Mexico's close ties to the US
Canada exported US$587 billion in goods globally in 2022, relying heavily on the US as its primary trading partner. In total, 74.5 percent of the country’s exports are destined for the US market.
Overall, the country's top exports for that year included crude petroleum (US$123 billion), cars (US$29.4 billion), petroleum gas (US$24.3 billion) and refined petroleum (US$17.2 billion).
Canadian crude oil alone accounts 62 percent of US crude imports. Canadian officials argue that tariffs on such goods could disrupt supply chains and inflate costs for businesses and consumers across North America.
Mexico also has a strong trade relationship with the US, exporting US$421 billion worth of goods to the country. Its overall top exports include cars (US$48.4 billion), computers (US$39.3 billion) and crude petroleum (US$38.2 billion).
Lose-lose situation for all countries involved
Canadian responses to Trump’s comments focus on the economic losses for all parties involved.
Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland and Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc issued a joint statement on X, formerly Twitter, emphasizing the importance of maintaining the integrity of cross-border trade.
"Canada and the United States have one of the strongest and closest relationships — particularly when it comes to trade and border security. Canada places the highest priority on border security and the integrity of our shared border,” they said in a post issued on Monday (November 25).
Read the joint statement from @cafreeland and me:
— Dominic LeBlanc (@DLeBlancNB) November 26, 2024
//
Lisez la déclaration conjointe de @cafreeland et moi: pic.twitter.com/g9unlJrOEe
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau also addressed the issue, revealing that he had spoken with Trump to stress the significance of the USMCA in fostering stable trade relations.
"This is a relationship that we know takes a certain amount of working on, and that's what we'll do," he said.
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum echoed this cautionary sentiment, saying, "To one tariff will follow another in response and so on, until we put our common businesses at risk."
Tariffs to impact inflation, currencies
The automotive sector in particular stands out as a critical area of concern. The US imports the majority of its cars and car parts from Canada and Mexico, with Mexico surpassing China as the top exporter to the US in 2023.
The tariffs could lead to increased vehicle prices and production delays, impacting automakers and consumers alike.
The proposed tariffs come at a time when US businesses are already grappling with inflationary pressures and labor shortages. Analysts warn that additional tariffs could exacerbate these challenges by driving up costs.
The Peterson Institute for International Economics estimates that Trump’s broader tariff proposals could cost the average US household over US$2,600 annually, a figure that may rise further with the inclusion of Canada and Mexico.
The potential impact on currency markets has also been noted.
Following Trump’s announcement, the Canadian dollar and Mexican peso both experienced immediate declines against the US dollar, although partial recoveries were observed in subsequent trading sessions.
As the US’ trade partners seek to establish a compromise, analysts are warning that the economic costs of such tariffs could extend beyond North America, impacting further global supply chains and consumer markets.
The coming months are likely to see intensified discussions between US, Canadian and Mexican officials as they seek to establish a middle ground to avoid an all-out breakdown in their relationship.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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