
March 19, 2025
Inca Minerals (ASX:ICG) is an Australian exploration company focused on uncovering high-grade gold and gold-antimony mineralization. The company recently acquired Stunalara Metals, a transformational deal that enhances its exploration assets.
Inca Minerals' flagship Hurricane Project in Northern Queensland presents exceptional exploration potential, benefiting from a highly prospective geological setting. With record gold prices and rising demand for critical minerals, Inca is strategically positioned to seize this growing market opportunity.
Inca Minerals is committed to advancing its flagship Hurricane Project through a high-impact exploration strategy. The company plans to launch a shallow drilling program in Q2 2025, targeting high-priority gold-antimony mineralization identified through rock chip sampling and structural mapping.
Company Highlights
- The flagship Hurricane project in Northern Queensland features exceptional gold and antimony grades, with assays returning up to 81.5 g/t gold and 35.1 percent antimony. Despite its strong potential, the project remains undrilled, offering a first-mover advantage in an underexplored high-grade system.
- A shallow, cost-effective drilling campaign in Q2 2025 aims to define a maiden gold-antimony resource at Hurricane, with the potential to deliver rapid upside for shareholders.
- Inca Minerals’ acquisition of Stunalara Metals significantly expands its footprint across Queensland, Tasmania and Western Australia, strengthening its exposure to high-value gold and critical minerals like antimony.
- With China restricting antimony exports and global supply tightening, Inca is well-positioned to benefit from rising demand across the energy storage, defense and high-tech sectors.
- Northern Queensland has seen limited modern exploration compared to Western Australia. Inca is leveraging advanced techniques to uncover new high-grade gold-antimony systems.
- Led by an experienced team with a track record of discovery success, Inca maintains a disciplined capital allocation strategy to maximize shareholder value
This Inca Minerals profile is part of a paid investor education campaign.*
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18 March
Inca Minerals
Investor Insight
With a clear, execution-focused strategy, Inca Minerals is poised to become a leading gold and antimony exploration company in Australia. The company is led by an experienced management team dedicated to unlocking value through strategic exploration and resource development.
Overview
Inca Minerals (ASX:ICG) is an Australia-focused exploration company targeting high-grade gold and gold-antimony mineralization. The company’s strategy is underpinned by its recent acquisition of Stunalara Metals, a transformational deal that strengthens its portfolio with high-grade exploration assets. The Hurricane project in Northern Queensland is Inca’s key focus, offering exceptional exploration potential in a region with significant structural controls for mineralization. With a strong macro backdrop of record gold prices and increasing demand for critical minerals, Inca is well-positioned to capitalize on this market opportunity.
Inca Minerals' primary objective is to advance the flagship Hurricane project through an aggressive exploration strategy. The company plans to initiate shallow drilling in Q2 2025, targeting high-priority gold-antimony mineralization identified from rock chip sampling and structural mapping. Concurrently, Inca is conducting geophysical and geochemical surveys to refine drill targets and expand the exploration footprint, ensuring a comprehensive approach to unlocking the project’s full potential.
Recognizing the increasing demand for critical minerals, Inca is strategically positioning itself as a key player in the antimony market. With China imposing export restrictions on this vital commodity, global supply constraints present a significant opportunity for Inca. The company aims to capitalize on this trend by advancing its high-grade gold-antimony deposits at Hurricane, demonstrating the economic viability of the project. Additionally, Inca is focused on educating the market about antimony’s essential role in energy transition, defence and high-tech applications, further reinforcing its value proposition to investors.
Beyond Hurricane, Inca is committed to maintaining a balanced and de-risked exploration portfolio. The company plans to commence fieldwork at the Mt Read project in Tasmania in late 2025, evaluating its potential for polymetallic mineralization, including copper, lead, zinc and gold.
Company Highlights
- The flagship Hurricane project in Northern Queensland features exceptional gold and antimony grades, with assays returning up to 81.5 g/t gold and 35.1 percent antimony. Despite its strong potential, the project remains undrilled, offering a first-mover advantage in an underexplored high-grade system.
- A shallow, cost-effective drilling campaign in Q2 2025 aims to define a maiden gold-antimony resource at Hurricane, with the potential to deliver rapid upside for shareholders.
- Inca Minerals’ acquisition of Stunalara Metals significantly expands its footprint across Queensland, Tasmania and Western Australia, strengthening its exposure to high-value gold and critical minerals like antimony.
- With China restricting antimony exports and global supply tightening, Inca is well-positioned to benefit from rising demand across the energy storage, defense and high-tech sectors.
- Northern Queensland has seen limited modern exploration compared to Western Australia. Inca is leveraging advanced techniques to uncover new high-grade gold-antimony systems.
- Led by an experienced team with a track record of discovery success, Inca maintains a disciplined capital allocation strategy to maximize shareholder value
Key Projects
Hurricane Project
The Hurricane project is Inca Minerals’ flagship asset, located in Northern Queensland, approximately 110 km west-northwest of Cairns. The project consists of three tenements positioned within a structurally favorable corridor between the Hurricane and Retina Faults. The project is highly prospective for gold and antimony mineralization, with multiple high-grade targets identified through historical and recent rock chip sampling.
Recent assay results from Hurricane confirm the presence of significant gold and antimony grades, with highlights including 81.5 grams per ton (g/t) gold at Hurricane South, 12.95 g/t gold at Hurricane North, and 35.1 percent antimony at Bouncer. Despite these impressive surface results, the project remains undrilled, offering a rare opportunity to test a virgin high-grade gold-antimony system. The mineralization is epithermal in nature, hosted within structurally controlled quartz veins that show strong alteration signatures, suggesting a robust hydrothermal system.
Gold and antimony prospects at the Hurricane project
Inca plans to commence an initial shallow drilling program in Q2 2025, targeting the highest-priority areas identified from geochemical and structural mapping. The company is also conducting geophysical surveys and additional rock chip sampling to refine its understanding of the mineralized system and expand its exploration footprint.
With a strong technical basis and excellent exploration upside, Hurricane is positioned as a potential near-term discovery opportunity for high-grade gold and antimony resources.
Mt Read Project
The Mt Read project is an early-stage exploration asset located in Tasmania, a region well-known for its polymetallic mineralization. While not the immediate focus of Inca’s exploration strategy, Mt Read presents a significant longer-term opportunity for base metals, including copper, lead, zinc and, potentially, gold. The project is situated within a geologically prospective setting that has seen limited modern exploration.
Fieldwork at Mt Read is expected to begin in late 2025, following the advancement of the Hurricane project. Initial exploration efforts will include geological mapping, geochemical sampling and geophysical surveys to identify potential drill targets. While still in its infancy, Mt Read aligns with Inca’s strategy of securing highly prospective projects in stable jurisdictions with strong mineral endowments.
Management Team
Adam Taylor – Non-executive Chairman
Adam Taylor brings more than 20 years of experience in the civil construction and mining sectors. As CEO of a family-owned group of businesses, he oversees operations in mining, construction, waste management, dewatering and infrastructure maintenance across Western Australia. His core competencies include business management, strategy development, contract negotiation and implementing innovative solutions.
Trevor Benson – Chief Executive Officer
Trevor Benson has extensive experience in the mining and finance sectors, having worked with mining companies, investment banks and finance houses. He has completed mergers and acquisitions and capital market transactions across various natural resources and related industries. Benson holds a Bachelor of Science from the University of Western Australia.
Brad Marwood – Non-executive Director
With more than 40 years in the mining and exploration industry, Brad Marwood has held executive roles, including CEO and managing director positions at various companies, including Middle Island Resources and Tiger Resources. An engineer by training, he has been responsible for over 50 feasibility studies and has secured $500 million in funding for project development. His expertise encompasses exploration, project implementation, operational management and strategic planning.
Andrew Haythorpe – Non-executive Director
Andrew Haythorpe has more than 30 years of experience in the resources and investment industries. His background includes roles as a geologist with CRA, mining analyst with Suncorp and Hartleys, and fund manager at Bankers Trust, managing more than $40 billion. He has raised over $200 million for junior companies and led Crescent Gold from an $8 million explorer to a $250 million gold producer. Haythorpe currently serves as a director of Allup Silica and a non-executive director of Tempest Minerals.
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Advancing high-grade gold-antimony project in Northern Queensland
16h
Gold Price Hits New Record as Fed Holds Rates Steady
The US Federal Reserve held its second meeting of the year from Tuesday (March 18) to Wednesday (March 19) amid broad economic chaos caused by the Trump administration's tariff threats.
As was widely expected, the central bank left interest rates at 4.25 to 4.5 percent, a range it set at its November meeting; it also said it will slow the pace at which it is shrinking its balance sheet.
In his post-meeting remarks, Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed remains focused on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability. He noted that labor market conditions are “solid” and said inflation has moved closer to the Fed's 2 percent target, although he did acknowledge that it remains “somewhat elevated.”
The US consumer price index (CPI) was up 3 percent year-on-year in January, up slightly from 2.9 percent in December. CPI fell marginally in February to come in at 2.8 percent. The US personal consumption expenditures price index has also remained relatively flat, with a 2.5 percent year-on-year rise in January versus December’s 2.6 percent.
The sticky inflation numbers come against a backdrop of global uncertainty as US President Donald Trump implements and threatens tariff action. Tariffs could drive consumer prices higher on critical goods for US consumers, including new gasoline, homes and cars, as the US relies on oil, lumber and steel imports from Canada.
Powell noted that uncertainty is running high with Trump now in office, saying that his administration is making policy changes in four key areas: trade, immigration, fiscal policy and regulation.
“It is the net effect of these policy changes that will matter for the economy and the path of monetary policy. While there have been recent developments in some of these areas, especially trade, uncertainty around changes and their economic outlook is high,” Powell said, adding that the Fed is focusing on "separating the signal from the noise."
The Fed will adjust its policy based on incoming data, and is well positioned to wait for greater clarity.
When asked by a reporter why the Fed is still predicting two rate cuts this year despite waning consumer sentiment, Powell emphasized that the data shows the economy has remained strong.
“I would tell people that the economy seems to be healthy; we understand that sentiment seems to be quite negative at this time, and that probably has to do with turmoil at the beginning of an administration,” he said.
Following the Fed's announcement, the gold price spiked to a new record high in the US$3,045 per ounce range. The silver price declined for most of the morning, but moved up after the Fed decision, staying above US$33.50 per ounce.
The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:INX) climbed 1.04 percent to 5,675, while the Nasdaq-100 (INDEXNASDAQ:NDX) rose 1.25 percent to 19,707 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) moved up 0.83 percent to 41,920.
Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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19h
Minister Shane Jones: New Zealand Mining is Open for Business
New Zealand wants the global investment community to know it is open for business, Minister for Resources Shane Jones said at the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention.
Speaking to the Investing News Network (INN), Jones outlined the work the country is doing to reinvigorate its mining sector, highlighting the recently passed Fast-track Approvals Act 2024.
Signed into law before Christmas of last year, the fast-track approvals system is a streamlined process for New Zealand project applications that have the potential to assist in economic growth.
"The new Act helps cut through the thicket of red and green tape and the jumble of approvals processes that has, until now, held New Zealand back from much-needed economic growth," said RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop on February 7, the day the fast-track program officially opened for applications.
"What we've done is clearly and unambiguously identified that the purpose of the fast-track legislation is economic development," Jones said, adding that it also gives consideration to Indigenous people and local communities.
"But the overarching purpose ... is economic development, because we want to take our country into a new epoch of wealth and prosperity, and we are no longer going to enable these trickle-riddled processes to hold projects ransom."
New Zealand's mining history
Speaking about the history of mining in New Zealand, Jones said miners were originally attracted to gold.
As New Zealand Petroleum & Minerals explains, European settlers began arriving in New Zealand in large numbers after 1840, and they honed their efforts on gold, as well as coal, leading to gold rushes in the 1860s.
“By 1870 an impressive selection of metal ores had been discovered in New Zealand, but only three metals were successfully mined in 2005 — gold, silver and iron," the organisation states.
Today, gold and coal collectively account for about 80 percent of New Zealand's mineral exports, producing export revenues of about 1.2 billion New Zealand dollars in the year to June 2023.
Jones also mentioned New Zealand's iron sands industry, calling it "Sahara in size."
“Nowadays, we are putting a great accent on security, economic resilience, and we're attracting and changing the law to make it a lot more feasible to extract and develop greater resilience through using our own resources and, quite frankly, our own natural endowment,” Jones further told INN.
Today, key players in New Zealand's mining industry include OceanaGold (TSX:OGC,OTCQX:OCANF), whose Macraes operation is said to be the country's largest operating gold mine with over three decades of continuous output.
New Zealand's new critical minerals list
Jones also discussed New Zealand's new minerals strategy and critical minerals list, announced on January 31.
He highlighted the addition of gold and coal as critical minerals, noting that coal is a key export for New Zealand.
“(Coal) represents important regional development and regional jobs. It genuinely is highly sought after as a key feature of the steelmaking process, which, after all, lies at the heart of a lot of global industrial processing,” he said.
When it comes to gold, Jones pointed out that it's often found in conjunction with antimony.
“Gold is often the location where you find antinomy, and we have substantial potential for antimony," he said.
“Simply put, New Zealand wouldn’t have the skills, machinery, resources, and capability to support a modern and responsible mining sector without (gold and coal),” Jones also noted.
Following the addition of gold and coal, New Zealand now has a total of 37 critical minerals on record.
Banking issues, supply chain security
Economic progress will always be linked to financial institutions such as banks, and Jones believes New Zealand’s banking situation may be hindering the country's progress. He spoke to INN about the issue of banks refusing to provide services to businesses that don't align with their climate change commitments.
On February 10, New Zealand First introduced a member’s bill to counter the banks’ actions, saying that no New Zealand business should be denied banking services unless the decision is grounded in law.
“I do think the banks need to be called out,” Jones said. “It is not their job to be the moral arbiters of how businesses or investors in New Zealand survive or die; their job is to work within the context of what can make money.”
Speaking about supply chain security, Jones said there is a need for New Zealand to ensure that the country's resources can be used as much as possible within guardrails, and that includes fossil fuels like coal.
“No one bought into the structural adjustment championed by the economists of the 1980s, including Milton Friedman, more than New Zealand, but now we’re learning that what worked then needs to be recalibrated," he said.
“My message to every other modern economy in the OECD is this: Unless you’re blessed with endless amounts of nuclear, there will be times that you must rely on fossil fuel," he said.
New Zealand mining open for business
New Zealand currently holds a GDP of about US$260 billion, and in 2023, mining was recorded as the country’s most productive industry in terms of GDP per filled job, showcasing its importance in the country.
Jones emphasised his focus on conveying the New Zealand opportunity to the business community.
“It's really important that the various firms that operate out of New Zealand — selling services, engaging with the investment community — that I stand in solidarity with them," he said when asked about his trip to PDAC.
"But also to convey to the broader investment community and potential mining firms that although we're a dairy nation and we're the land of the hobbits, we are also very keen to reinvigorate and grow our mining sector. You can conceive of the New Zealand economy as being akin to a quiver of arrows, and each arrow has to strike a target.”
Click here to view the Investing News Network's PDAC playlist on YouTube.
Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Australia for real-time news updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Gabrielle de la Cruz, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
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19h
Van Eck Opposes Equinox Gold’s US$1.8 Billion Takeover of Calibre Mining
Calibre Mining's (TSX:CXB,OTCQX:CXBMF)largest shareholder has come out against Equinox Gold’s (TSX:EQX,NYSEAMERICAN:EQX) US$1.8 billion takeover bid, casting doubt over the year's biggest gold deal.
According to Bloomberg, Van Eck Associates, which holds an 8.69 percent stake in Calibre, has voiced its opposition, citing a lack of operational synergies and concerns over the dilution of Calibre’s quality.
Van Eck was also the second largest investor in Equinox as of December 31, 2024.
The proposed all-stock transaction, announced in February, aims to create a mid-tier gold producer with annual output of approximately 1.2 million ounces. However, the deal still requires shareholder and regulatory approval. Both companies have scheduled shareholder votes, with two-thirds majorities required for approval.
“We are not supportive of this transaction. We don’t see any synergies between any of the companies’ operations,” Imaru Casanova, portfolio manager at Van Eck’s International Investors Gold Fund, said in an email to Bloomberg on Tuesday (March 18). “Both operate in the Americas, but in vastly different locations.”
Casanova also emphasized that Calibre was poised for a revaluation as it advanced its flagship Valentine project in Newfoundland, Canada. Valentine is set to become Atlantic Canada's largest gold mine.
Equinox operates mines across Canada, Mexico, Brazil and the US, while Calibre’s assets are concentrated in Nicaragua and the US. The deal would make the combined company one of the top 15 global gold producers.
Equinox declined to comment on Van Eck’s opposition, while Calibre did not immediately respond to inquiries.
The Equinox-Calibre deal is part of a broader trend of consolidation in the gold sector, driven by gold's surging price and strong company balance sheets. However, investors remain cautious, given the industry’s history of high-priced mergers that fail to generate expected returns. Many mining mergers since 2010 have struggled to deliver, with industry reports highlighting skepticism due to overvalued acquisitions and underperforming transactions.
As mentioned, the purchase still requires approval from shareholders and regulatory bodies.
With Van Eck’s significant opposition, other institutional investors may reconsider their stance before the vote.
Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time news updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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22h
Lode Gold Resources: Discovering the Next Orogenic Intrusive Deposit in Yukon and New Brunswick
Lode Gold (TSXV:LOD) owns three key orogenic gold assets with a proven gold endowment. Its flagship Fremont Gold Project, located on the Mother Lode Belt in Mariposa County, California, sits on patented private land. Lode Gold is the first owner since mining was suspended in 1942 to explore the site’s underground mining potential. Fremont boasts a gold resource of 1.16 Moz (Indicated) and 2.02 Moz (Inferred), underscoring its strong development prospects.
Lode Gold is spinning out its Canadian assets into a new company, Gold Orogen, which holds projects in Yukon and New Brunswick. Backed by $3 million raised in October 2024, Gold Orogen is well-funded for exploration. Additionally, Lode Gold is securing an extra $1.5 million, ensuring that drilling will take place during the 2025 exploration season.
The Fremont Gold Project spans a 4 km strike along California’s historic Mother Lode Belt, on 3,351 acres of privately patented land in Mariposa County. Lode Gold is launching a 2025 drilling campaign targeting an additional 400,000+ ounces of gold, further strengthening Fremont’s resource base and development potential.
Company Highlights
- Lode Gold has three key orogenic assets with proven gold endowment.
- Strong management and technical team led by Wendy T. Chan who has over 20 years of experience developing and executing strategic plans for Fortune 500 companies and entrepreneurial companies.
- Tight share structure, where four family offices and institutional funds owning over 60 percent.
- The company’s flagship Fremont project boasts a resource of 1.16 Moz of gold and 2.02 Moz of gold in the Indicated and Inferred categories, respectively.
- 2025 MRE 1.3 Moz of gold at 4.4 g/t Au (previously mined in the 1930s at 10.7 g/t)
- Upside potential; only 8 percent of the total 2023 MRE resources has been exploited; mostly in the first 250 m; much has been left unmined.
- Brownfield with 23 km of underground workings and over 43,000 m drilled (cores preserved)
- The deposit remains open along strike and at depth (three step out holes at depth over 1300 m hit structure and were mineralized) over 43 000 m have been drilled.
- Lode Gold will spin out its Canadian assets in the Yukon and New Brunswick into a new company called Gold Orogen to unlock value.
This Lode Gold Resources profile is part of a paid investor education campaign.*
Click here to connect with Lode Gold Resources (TSXV:LOD) to receive an Investor Presentation
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18 March
Trigg Expands Tier-1 Australian Antimony-Gold Tenure with Grades up to 61% Sb & 1045 g/t Au
New acquisition complements Trigg’s flagship WCC deposit and the Company’s vision to become a primary antimony play and future global supplier of antimony
Trigg Minerals Limited (ASX: TMG| OTCQB: TMGLF) ("Trigg" or the "Company") is pleased to announce the acquisition of the Nundle, Upper Hunter and Cobark/Copeland Projects, a highly prospective tenement package covering a significant portion of the historic Nundle Goldfield and three additional historic goldfields within the New England Orogen (NEO) in northern New South Wales.
HIGHLIGHTS
- Trigg Minerals signs a binding purchase agreement to acquire 100% rights of the Nundle, Upper Hunter, Cobark/Copeland projects, conditional upon completion of due diligence. Covering a total area of 1,039.7 km².
- These projects will be developed as Trigg’s second flagship exploration asset behind its primary, advanced stage high-grade Wild Cattle Creek deposit. Trigg will have two exploration teams advancing both these new projects and Wild Cattle Creek simultaneously.
- The package includes five historical antimony deposits, with rock chips grading 61% Sb and 9.7% Sb, and 12 tonnes of recorded Sb production (EL 9594, Nundle), plus a 37% Sb sample collected from 12m down adit indicating potential mineralisation at depth (EL 9655, Upper Hunter).
- The tenements also feature 60+ historical gold mines/occurrences across each tenement with historical recorded high-grade production. As an example, Standard Reef was worked in 1904 with an estimated production of 15,000oz at 53.8 g/t Au.
- Total historical production across the tenement package is estimated at 174,000 oz Au without modern mining techniques and significantly lower gold prices. Initial review suggests that mineralisation is interpreted to be open along strike and down depth and with considerable high grade rock chip grades ranging from 30 g/t Au to 1,045 g/t Au.
- The addition of the Nundle Project to TMG’s North Nundle holdings extends the Company’s prospective strike along the underexplored and prolific Peel Fault to approximately 40 km, significantly enhancing exploration potential.
Figure 1; TMG's latest tenement acquisition overlying local geology, historical Au and Sb occurrences (https://minview.geoscience.nsw.gov.au)
The acquisition includes four key projects:
Nundle (EL 9594)
The Nundle Goldfield has a rich history of gold production, with several historical antimony mines present within the region. It covers parts of the major Peel Fault and contains numerous old workings where typically small high-grade gold deposits occur in dolerites. The expanded Nundle Project, encompassing both Nundle and North Nundle, provides Trigg access to a 40 km length of the Peel Fault, a deep-seated conduit for mineralising fluids, controlling the localisation of auriferous (gold-bearing) quartz veins and antimony deposits. Several historical goldfields, including Nundle, Hanging Rock, and Bingara, are closely associated with this fault system.
Upper Hunter (EL 9655)
The Upper Hunter Goldfield in NSW is a historic gold-producing region known for its structurally controlled, quartz-vein-hosted gold deposits. Mineralisation occurs in fault breccia and shear zones within sedimentary rocks, with gold typically found alongside pyrite, arsenopyrite, minor chalcopyrite, and, locally, stibnite (antimony).
Cobark and Copeland (EL 9653)
The Cobark and Copeland Goldfields in NSW were prominent during the late 1800s gold rush. Mining focused on high-grade quartz veins hosted in faults and shear zones. The Copeland area became a key mining hub, with underground workings targeting gold-rich sulphides such as pyrite, stibnite (antimony), arsenopyrite, and minor chalcopyrite. The region remains highly prospective for modern exploration.
The association of antimony mineralisation with gold enhances the project's critical mineral potential, aligning with Trigg Minerals’ strategy to explore and develop high-value, multi- commodity assets in Tier-1 mining jurisdictions.
STRATEGIC RATIONALE
The Projects are in an underexplored yet highly prospective region, with historical workings and strong geological indicators suggesting significant upside potential. The presence of both gold and antimony presents an exciting opportunity for Trigg to unlock new resources and expand its footprint in the strategic metals sector.
Tim Morrison, Executive Chairman of Trigg Minerals, commented:
“The acquisition of the Nundle and other Projects marks an exciting expansion for Trigg Minerals into historically productive goldfields with strong critical mineral potential. The presence of both gold and antimony in this underexplored region aligns perfectly with our focus on high-value, strategically significant minerals. We look forward to applying modern exploration techniques to uncover new opportunities within this proven mineral province.”
Click here for the full ASX Release
This article includes content from Trigg Minerals Limited, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.
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18 March
Mining Industry's Exploration Spending Lagging, Will Budgets Grow in 2025?
Exploration spending in the mining sector peaked in 2012 and has since declined for over a decade.
Last year, global funding for explorers dropped near lows last seen in 2005. This could mean funding has reached a cyclical low, and the industry may be ready for renewed interest and increased investment.
Speaking at this year's Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention in Toronto, Kevin Murphy, research director for metals and mining research at S&P Global Market Intelligence, ran through issues surrounding the flow of capital into mining exploration and shared his thoughts on whether the tide will change this year.
Why has resource exploration funding declined?
Several factors have contributed to the decline of exploration funding.
Murphy noted that in the past decade, interest in the mining industry has seen competition, with new investors pursuing headline-grabbing opportunities in cryptocurrencies and elsewhere in the tech sector.
Meanwhile, many older investors in the industry began using their profits to fund their retirements.
In addition, much investment in the resource sector is focused on mining rather than juniors, which perform the majority of exploration. There has been little trickle down in funding from the majors to the juniors.
Aside from that, Murphy explained that for many metals, including copper, the focus has shifted away from greenfield exploration aimed at discovering new deposits. Instead, copper majors are performing more mine site exploration aimed at expanding resources at existing operations and, more broadly, increasing efficiency.
While mine site exploration increases supply, Murphy said it indicates structural deficiencies in the future.
“We’re adding to reserves and resources, but we’re adding to old discoveries — so assets that were discovered in the '90s, '80s and the '60s,” he said. While this is replacing current production, Murphy believes that more money should be spent on greenfield exploration and the discovery of resources needed to meet future demand growth.
When it comes to the gold sector, which has been focused on mine site exploration for a longer time, Murphy suggested the downward trend in exploration funding has multiple causes.
“It's been a rough go in 2024 for the juniors, and the juniors historically love gold exploration,” he said. "There's been some pretty high-level M&A, and we find in exploration that ... when large companies come together, they pare down their assets, and what would have been a tier-one asset for one company becomes a tier two and is put on hold."
Even though gold has soared to record high prices, greenfield exploration funding hasn't benefited. This is largely due to high inflation over the past several years, which has pushed operational costs higher and decreased margins.
When these foundational challenges come into perspective, untying purse strings becomes more difficult.
How geopolitics impacts resource exploration funding
Geopolitics is another major factor in exploration funding in 2025, according to Murphy.
He shared his thoughts on how this can affect Canadian mining companies.
“The Canadian government — there’s a lot of uncertainty there, and also that uncertainty happens to flow through to some very important programs like the METC, which is very good for exploration,” he said.
The METC, or Mineral Exploration Tax Credit, is part of a flow-through scheme that passes on paper costs to investors, allowing them to claim a 15 percent tax rebate on their investments.
The program's future was uncertain going into PDAC, but on March 3, the day after Murphy's presentation, Jonathan Wilkinson, Canada's minister of energy and natural resources, extended it until March 31, 2027.
Even so, a great deal of unknowns remain. The Canadian government won’t sit again until March 24, this time with a new prime minister at the helm and with the almost-certain fate of a new election being called.
The continual threat of tariffs from the US has added to the chaos.
Investor takeaway
Looking at factors that may move the needle on exploration funding in 2025, Murphy said gold should do "pretty well" under the Trump administration given its status as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty.
At the same time, global electrification remains a focus, which could help metals like copper.
However, exploration funding for other metals isn't looking quite so rosy.
"Will that be enough to push us into exploration budget growth this year? I would argue absolutely not," he said.
“The question really is going to be how far down we go this year, and if gold majors in particular are going to be increasing their budgets enough to counter what people see as being a pretty sour scenario for a lot of other commodities," Murphy explained to the audience at PDAC.
Whether or not the exploration funding cycle has bottomed remains to be seen.
"Financing conditions continue to be incredibly challenging," Murphy said.
Click here to view the Investing News Network's PDAC playlist on YouTube.
Don't forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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