The Conversation (0)
Blue Star Helium Limited (ASX:BNL, OTCQB:BSNLF) (Blue Star or the Company) advises of the execution of a Master Services Agreement (MSA) for the provision of helium recovery services through the delivery and operation of a helium recovery plant at its maiden helium development, Voyager.
Highlights
- Agreement executed with experienced US midstream provider, IACX Energy LLC (IACX), to provide helium recovery services through delivery and operation of a pressure swing adsorption (PSA) helium (He) recovery plant at high-grade Voyager project.
- Includes delivery and operation of a helium recovery plant with nameplate raw gas throughput of 2 MMcf/day to produce 98+% purity helium product gas.
- IACX will supply and operate the helium plant in exchange for a monthly payment and Blue Star will not incur any capital costs associated with fabrication of the plant.
- Plant commissioning and first output expected during 4Q CY2023.
- Targeted helium production based on an average of 8% helium in the raw gas is expected to be approx. 38 MMcf net to Blue Star in first full capacity year.
- Forecast total field and plant operating cost is highly attractive at an approximate US$100- 120/Mcf of helium product gas (full capacity).
- Voyager production well drilling and testing planned to commence during August 2023.
Blue Star Managing Director and CEO, Trent Spry, commented:
“Our selection of a third party operated plant option for the high-grade Voyager discovery has now been cemented with the execution of this agreement with IACX. We are pleased to have partnered with such a well-credentialled and proven midstream helium operator.
“As well as delivering significant de-risking benefits in terms of upfront capital, time and operating profile, adopting this pathway has also eliminated any requirement for Blue Star to commit to price- concession offtake agreements. The result is that we can target the premium pricing available in short-term U.S. contract markets and spot sales, with current pricing estimates understood to be running at US$450 – $3,000/Mcf for 98 to 99.999% purity helium.
“The plant to be supplied at Voyager can be readily expanded via the addition of a modular membrane unit or addition of a second PSA plant to increase helium output in the future, as well as to accommodate additional high-He-concentration raw gas from surrounding discoveries.
“We are excited to be advancing along the development pathway toward targeted first production from Voyager during Q4 CY2023. In parallel, we continue to advance development planning for the Galactica/Pegasus discoveries and mature our extensive exploration portfolio utilising our proven exploration techniques.”
IACX Senior Vice President (Commercial), Jeremy Jordan, said:
“We are very pleased to be working with Blue Star given the technical and commercial capabilities and professional approach that they have demonstrated. Our industry-leading, proprietary, PSA-based helium recovery units can economically extract and purify helium from natural gas to high purity with minimal helium losses, and we look forward to delivering and commissioning Blue Star’s first facility later this year. We anticipate having a strong long-term partnership with Blue Star as they continue to develop their portfolio.”
Voyager gas processing agreement executed
In-line with its chosen commercialisation strategy at the high-grade Voyager development, Blue Star has executed an MSA with an experienced US midstream provider, IACX Energy LLC (IACX), for helium recovery services via the delivery and operation of an initial helium recovery plant (example pictured below) at Voyager.
IACX is a fully integrated helium production, processing and marketing company. Its gas gathering and processing assets are concentrated in central Kansas, eastern New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle; and the company operates a number of standalone facilities across the Midcontinent and Four Corners areas of the US. It currently operates fourteen discrete helium recovery plants in seven states in the US and one Canadian province. One of the existing helium facilities is located in Las Animas County, Colorado neighbouring Blue Star’s Galactica/Pegasus prospect.
The MSA shall continue in force until terminated by either party giving 90 days’ notice at any time after an initial period of three years.
Blue Star is responsible for providing a secure site, access to the facility and delivering the raw gas to the facility inlet. The MSA includes minimum service levels in relation to plant uptime and capacity subject to the raw gas meeting certain composition specifications.
The process to execute the MSA and associated documents has been thorough and included the appointment of a top tier reserves/resource auditor to evaluate the Voyager resource. The result of this process allowed Blue Star to mortgage the Voyager mineral leases as collateral to secure the payments required under the MSA. The ability to post non-cash collateral is another affirmation of the resource as the Company moves forward with development. The mortgage will be released on expiry of the initial period of the MSA or upon the Company posting an alternative form of security.
The PSA facility has the expected capabilities and outputs (based on the Company’s raw gas input assumptions) outlined in Table 1.
Click here for the full ASX Release
This article includes content from Blue Star Helium, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.
BNL:AU
Quarterly Activities Report for the Period Ended 31 March 2024
HIGHLIGHTS
- Daydream-2 successfully flowed from the Lorelle Sandstone without stimulation
- Very material increase in prospective resources in deep coals
- Analysis undertaken post end of quarter indicates the Lorelle alone could produce a commercial flow rate
- Daydream-2 program remains fully funded with current cash equivalent held of $11.9M
MANGAGING DIRECTOR’S REPORT TO SHAREHOLDERS FOR THE QUARTER
Following the drilling of the Daydream-2 well at the end of the December quarter, the March quarter has been one of intense analysis and preparation for the next phase of the Grandis appraisal program.
Just after the end of the quarter, that phase kicked off with the successful flowing of gas from the Lorelle Sandstone at ~4,200 metres – critically, without stimulation, which is a first for the Taroom Trough.1
This activity is occurring at a time of now widespread recognition that the East Coast Australian gas market faces imminent supply shortfalls, prices are high and expected to stay high, and growing international geo-political tensions put a premium on LNG supplies from stable countries like Australia.
Daydream-2 Lease during 2nd flow period of Lorelle Sandstone
The drilling of the Daydream-2 well late in 2023 finished up with a unexpected but very pleasant surprise – gas free flowing from a formation at a depth of 4,200 metres (called the Lorelle sandstone) – something not encountered in the Taroom Trough before.
The primary targets of Daydream-2 are tight gas and coal formations that require stimulation to flow – a free-flowing zone adds a lot to these in terms of economics (lower costs, possibly lower decline rates, energy in the well-bore, etc).
In January we undertook laboratory analysis of samples obtained from the sands captured at the wellsite from the Lorelle sandstone. This work identified clay rims on the sands that preserved porosity in this highly pressured deep zone. These results are analogous with the high productivity deep Permian section of the Perth Basin which has been a source of enormous success in recent years.2
Click here for the full ASX Release
This article includes content from Elixir Energy, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.
Oil and Gas Price Update: Q1 2024 in Review
Additionally, Russia also committed to a voluntary production cut of 471 thousand barrels per day for the second quarter of 2024, alongside reductions in exports.
OPEC’s decision to curb output in the name of stability was a factor Eric Nuttall partner and senior portfolio manager at Ninepoint Partners pointed to as a Q1 catalyst.
“Oil volatility has actually fallen,” said Nuttall during an April 5 interview. “You wouldn't know it necessarily when looking at the oil price, but volatility is low. I think you can attribute that to the OPEC cut, that was one of the biggest goals of OPEC’s intervention into the market was to reduce volatility.”
As Nuttall explained, the effort to minimize volatility was successful and helped keep the benchmarks between US$70 – US$87 per barrel throughout the 90-day session.
Oil market update: Rebounding prices
Chart via TradingEconomics
After reaching a 2023 high of US$93.10 (Brent) on September 11, prices spent the remainder of the year sliding until bottoming at US$75.80 on December 4.
WTI followed a similar trajectory displaying slightly more volatility, reaching a yearly high of US$91.43 in late September, then slipping to US$68.71 in early December.
Chart via TradingEconomics
The subsequent upswing in prices can be attributed to several factors, according to Nuttall, Firstly, values are rebounding from a period of low activity, driven by unfounded concerns about weak demand and exaggerated fears of increased US shale production.
Secondly, OPEC's production cuts which played a significant role in reducing oil inventories.
He explained that typically, demand is weakest at the beginning of the year, but this time, inventories have only seen a minimal increase compared to the substantial buildup last year. This underscores the effectiveness of OPEC's cuts in counteracting the impact of strategic petroleum reserve releases and stabilizing oil prices.
“Lastly, we do have a geopolitical risk premium and the oil price now, I'm guessing US$5 a barrel,” said Nuttall.
He continued: “We haven't had a risk premium in quite a while. But what we're seeing in the Middle East, what we're seeing [with] Russia, Ukraine, it just fast forwarded where I thought we were going to be, I thought we'd be at US$90bbl in the summertime, we’re there a few months earlier than I thought.”
Oil market update: Strategic reserves
At the end of January oil prices dipped below US$77bbl (Brent) following a rally that took futures into overbought territory. Despite military tensions escalating in the Middle East, abundant supplies contributed to the decline, with OPEC+ exports exerting additional pressure on prices.
Prices began to recover in early February, breaking through the US$80bbl level on February 5, and remaining above the threshold for the remainder of the quarter.
On February 26, The US Department of Energy released a solicitationto purchase up to 30 million barrels of crude oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), aimed at enhancing the nation's energy security.
In 2022 the Biden administration withdrew 32.3 million barrels from the SPR for domestic consumption.
“Analysis from the Department of the Treasury indicates that SPR releases in 2022, along with coordinated releases from international partners, reduced gasoline prices by as much as 40 cents per gallon,” the government announcementnoted.
Less than a week later the administration scrapped a purchase that would have added 3 million barrels back to the SPR, citing high prices.
While Ninepoint’s Nuttall doesn’t think SPR restocking will impact broader oil prices, he was surprised by the government’s decision to restock.
“The biggest threat to his re-election is inflation. And the biggest input to inflation is energy pricing, specifically oil and gasoline,” said Nuttall. “So, it was counterintuitive to me, and I think it was purely for political theater, that he started to refill it.”
By the end of March prices had breached US$85bbl and closed the three-month period above US90bbl.
Oil market update: Long term bullishness
In a special report from FocusEconomics, panelists are forecasting a 10 percent decline in spot prices for Brent and WTI crude oil over the next decade compared to 2023 levels.
However, prices are anticipated to remain historically high in the near term due to increased demand from China and India.
The consensusamong the FocusEconomics panelist is for Brent crude oil prices to
average around US$85 per barrel for the remainder of the year.
Nuttall is taking a more bullish stance, supported by an increase in demand while global inventories are already at multi-year lows.
Using the Days of Supply metric, a calculation that estimates how many days current inventory levels will last, based on the current consumption rate, Nuttall expects inventories to reach the “lowest level in history later this year.”
“That's very supportive of a high price,” he said.
Similar to FocusEconomics’ analysis, Nuttall sees oil prices remaining in the US$90bbl range.
He noted that geopolitical events have accelerated the approach to this price target, and the subsequent trajectory of prices will depend on when Saudi Arabia decides to return barrels, the pace of that return, and developments in the Middle East and Russia.
While there are uncertainties, such as potential infrastructure damage and the impact on oil flow, factors like stronger US demand, better-than-expected European performance, and solid demand from India contribute to his bullish outlook.
“But we're not calling for US$150 oil, we just don't think that's reasonable right now.”
Gas market update: Q1 2024 in review
While oil prices remained relatively stable throughout Q1 2024, gas prices sank to multi decade lows, hitting US$1.55 per Metric Million British Thermal Unit (MMBtu).
The decline was attributed to a warmer than expected winter in the Northern Hemisphere and ample supply.
Chart via TradingEconomics
“Higher LNG production (up by 3 percent y-o-y), together with stronger piped gas deliveries to Europe and China, further eased supply fundamentals and supported demand growth,” the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) latest gas report stated.
The market overview also noted that global demand was up 2 percent for the quarter but was more than offset by the production uptick.
Gas market forecast: Geopolitical fragility
Looking forward prices are expected to remain well below the highs set in 2022 when values neared US$10MMBtu, propelled by market uncertainty brought on by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and fears around supply security.
After a steep decline in late 2022, prices have remained below US$5MMBtu throughout 2023. Although concerns about the Panama Canal and Red Sea disruptions led to speculation about a geopolitical premium, the uptick has yet to materialize in the gas market.
For the remainder of the year, FocusEconomics panelists expect natural gas prices to decrease in Asia and Europe compared to 2023 averages, while remaining steady in the US, staying below the pre-pandemic 10-year average.
Prices could see declines brought on by an abundance in gas inventories in all regions, attributed to mild weather conditions from the El Niño pattern and subdued industrial activity.
Europe will continue to be the region to watch as ongoing sanctions on Russian gas, conflict in Ukraine and supply security trends could add tailwinds to prices.
“The structural deficit in European natural gas has yet to be fully resolved with increased LNG supply not yet fully making up for lost Russian imports. Thus, European gas prices remain vulnerable to supply interruptions or increases in demand,” a Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) analyst said. “This is especially the case during winter, when weather-dependent heating comprises the bulk of demand and bouts of cold weather can lead to rapidly falling stocks and higher prices.”
Moving into 2025, increased US LNG export capacity could facilitate a price convergence among regions by the end of the year.
“In 2025, US natural gas prices are expected to surpass the pre-pandemic average, with Europe seeing a slight increase and Asia maintaining stability,” FocusEconomics Natural Gas Market Outlook read.” The absence of El Niño is predicted to boost heating demand, while industrial output growth will drive up consumption.”
Don’t forget to follow us @INN_Resource for real-time updates!
Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
Daydream-2 Operations Update
HIGHLIGHTS
- Lorelle Sandstone successfully stimulated and cleaned up
- Computer models based on the data acquired during testing indicates the Lorelle Sandstone alone could produce a commercial flow rate1
- Contractor scheduling and other operational issues have led to a small delay in the rest of the program
Following the recent successful free-flowing test on the Lorelle Sandstone, Elixir advises that this key formation has now been successfully stimulated. The zone was flowed back overnight to clean out the stage, and again flowed gas to surface with slugs of proppant debris and stimulation fluid as expected.
Gas flow from Stage 1 Lorelle Sandstone post stimulation
Data acquired during the Lorelle Sandstone flow periods has been used to predict the initial gas flow rate and ultimate recovery for each well from this lowermost zone. Elixir’s technical and economic modelling1 indicates the Lorelle Sandstone alone could produce a commercial flow rate of gas, with the breakeven commercial initial flowrate being estimated at 2.5 million cubic feet per day1.
This commerciality threshold is strongly underpinned by the location of the Grandis Project only a few tens of kilometres from: gas pipeline infrastructure connecting to domestic and international gas markets; existing and proposed local gas-fired power stations; a commercial gas hub into which spot sales can be made at high gas prices; etc. Accordingly, plans for a staged development are already underway, including engaging with gas offtakers with interests in the region.
Since the stimulation and flow-back of the Lorelle Sandstone, Elixir has sustained a number of logistical and other operational delays. After successfully isolating the Lorelle Sandstone with a bridge plug to proceed with the next stimulation stage, the setting mechanism became lodged in the hole requiring remedial activity. This delay has resulted in the full stimulation program not being able to be completed before the hard deadline for certain equipment to leave the site to meet commitments with another operator.
Stimulation equipment on location at Daydream-2
Accordingly, Elixir has demobilized at Daydream-2 and will re-commence the stimulation program in a month or so. This will ensure that the program can be executed as planned and there are no negatives for the ultimate program except for this time delay. Negotiations with the relevant sub- contractors are in hand and a more precise timetable is expected to be finalized shortly.
Click here for the full ASX Release
This article includes content from Elixir Energy, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.