Definitive Feasibility Study Confirms Strong Financial Returns, Rapid Payback for Waroona Renewable Energy Project

Frontier Energy Limited (ASX: FHE; OTCQB: FRHYF) (Frontier or the Company) is pleased to announce completion of a Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS or Study) for Stage One of its Waroona Renewable Energy Project in WA, comprising a 120MWdc solar facility and an integrated four-hour 80MW battery (the Project).

HIGHLIGHTS

Study confirms the Project as a long life, low operating cost and highly profitable renewable energy project. The Project is now advancing towards a Final Investment Decision (FID)
Project generates average EBITDA¹ of $68 million pa over first five years of production and $63m pa over first 10 years of production
- Aurora Energy Research provided independent revenue forecasts for the Project
Post-tax payback¹ of 5.8 years (4.6 years pre-tax) based on $304m total initial capital cost
Leveraged² post-tax Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is 21.6%¹ and pre-tax IRR of 27.3%¹. 100% equity financed post-tax IRR is 14.8%1 and the pre-tax IRR is 18.0%¹
- Frontier expects to earn a highly leveraged return, based on the Company’s financing strategy and initial debt market soundings
First year solar energy generation forecast at 258GWh³, with 119GWh discharged/sold through the battery (in peak periods) and 115GWh discharged from direct solar generation (daytime market) into the WA Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM)
- The average energy price forecast over the life of the operation is $143/MWh⁴ (peak periods) and $80MWh⁴ (solar price), in line with 2023 actual prices on the WEM
Stage One utilises only a third of Frontier’s 868ha landholding and represents a fraction of total long-term potential generation the Project can unlock
Barrenjoey appointed as Corporate Advisor to assess strategic partnerships for Stage One development and future expansion opportunities
- The Company received multiple unsolicited approaches over the past year from a range of multi-nationals, global renewable energy producers and industrial firms expressing interest in the Project
Debt financing discussions commenced; Frontier expects indicative terms during 2Q24

CEO Adam Kiley commented:“Our Stage One DFS delivers an excellent result and highlights Frontier's fantastic and unique opportunity to be a near-term major renewable energy producer in Western Australia.

This comes at a time when energy demand continues to outpace supply in WA, resulting in electricity prices reaching record highs. Just last week, record peak demand on the South West Interconnected System was surpassed once again, with the top six operational demand peaks ever recorded in the state’s main grid all happening between January 31 and Feb 19 this year. Unfortunately, the majority of the energy to meet this record demand peak came from carbon emitting sources, with 58% being gas and 32% being coal generated. This highlights the urgent requirement for renewable energy storage solutions, such as our 100% renewable energy Waroona solar/battery project, to quickly come online.

Highlights of the Study include exceptionally strong financial returns under all key metrics, including forecast EBITDA averaging $68m per annum over the first five years of production. ⁵

These strong returns drive a rapid post tax payback of 5.8 years, or 19% of the project life of 30 years. A major contributor to this is the Reserve Capacity Payment, a feature unique to WA, which is forecast to provide revenue of about $28m per annum during the first five years of production.

We aim to now move rapidly towards a Final Investment Decision by mid-2024. Central to this is finalising our funding strategy. Debt financing work is well underway – we have NDAs signed with multiple banks and an Information Memorandum and data room ready for banks shortly.

We have also appointed Barrenjoey, a leader in renewable energy transactions in Australia, as Corporate Advisor to assess strategic development partnerships. This follows multiple unsolicited approaches over the past year from a range of multi-nationals, global renewable energy producers and industrial firms expressing interest in the Project.

The Company will assess the merits of a strategic partner, in association with debt financing, as we aim to minimise dilution. We also believe the right partner will help accelerate our future expansion opportunities, given Stage One is only about 10% of the total long-term potential generation the Project can unlock."

Click here for the full ASX Release

This article includes content from Frontier Energy, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.

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Sample #	Easting (m)	Northing (m)	SiO₂ (%)	Al₂O₃ (%)	CaO (%)	Fe₂O₃ (%)	MgO (%)	P₂O₅(%)	TiO₂(%)	B (ppm)
299516	509114	5685249	99.41	0.11	0.02	0.39	0.01	<0.01	<0.01	6
299517	509193	5685166	98.84	0.14	0.01	0.23	0.02	<0.01	<0.01	8
299518	509314	5685171	99.20	0.10	0.01	0.25	0.02	<0.01	0.01	10
299519	509350	5685151	98.26	0.12	0.01	0.35	0.01	<0.01	0.01	15
299520	509369	5685129	99.20	0.13	0.01	0.21	<0.01	<0.01	0.03	16
299521	509395	5685107	99.17	0.15	0.01	0.27	0.02	<0.01	0.01	8
299522	509418	5685094	98.78	0.23	0.02	0.26	0.01	<0.01	0.01	12
299523	509442	5685075	98.59	0.14	0.02	0.26	<0.01	0.01	0.01	12
299524	509450	5685043	99.74	0.07	0.01	0.30	0.01	0.01	0.01	6
299525	509471	5685019	98.58	0.04	0.01	0.36	0.01	0.01	0.01	7
299526	509482	5684990	99.25	0.14	0.02	0.27	0.04	0.01	0.01	7
299527	509500	5684961	99.66	0.16	0.02	0.31	0.02	0.01	0.01	7
299528	509515	5684938	99.21	0.14	0.01	0.32	0.02	0.01	0.01	7
299529	509538	5684911	99.13	0.11	0.01	0.27	0.03	0.01	0.01	21
299530	509561	5684862	98.18	0.25	0.01	0.31	0.03	0.01	0.01	7
299531	509598	5684823	98.93	0.27	0.02	0.36	0.03	0.01	0.01	7
299532	509583	5684759	98.99	0.09	0.01	0.30	<0.01	0.01	0.01	7
299533	509619	5684743	98.72	0.16	0.01	0.35	0.02	0.01	0.01	14
299534	509641	5684726	98.18	0.30	0.01	0.33	0.04	0.01	0.02	15
299535	509712	5684697	99.41	0.13	0.01	0.30	0.02	0.01	0.01	7
299536	509736	5684685	99.27	0.11	0.01	0.33	0.02	0.01	0.01	7
299537	509764	5684670	98.58	0.13	0.02	0.36	0.03	0.01	0.02	8
299548	509306	5685510	99.32	0.14	0.01	0.29	0.01	0.01	0.01	18
299560	509476	5685127	98.99	0.13	0.01	0.32	0.03	0.01	0.02	27
299561	509472	5685107	99.01	0.05	0.01	0.32	0.01	0.01	<0.01	18
299562	509457	5685115	98.74	0.15	0.01	0.26	0.01	0.01	0.02	28
299563	509439	5685112	98.35	0.20	0.02	0.34	0.02	0.01	0.01	27
299564	509459	5685092	99.20	0.09	0.01	0.32	<0.01	0.01	0.01	21
299565	509487	5685107	99.49	0.09	0.01	0.28	0.03	0.01	0.02	28
299566	509490	5685083	98.48	0.25	0.02	0.35	0.01	0.01	0.01	26
299567	509503	5685071	99.03	0.11	0.02	0.34	0.02	0.01	<0.01	21
299568	509477	5685067	99.16	0.10	0.01	0.30	<0.01	0.01	<0.01	18
299569	509478	5685044	98.68	0.10	0.01	0.32	0.03	0.01	<0.01	20
299570	509506	5685041	98.46	0.43	0.02	0.32	0.06	0.01	0.01	29
299571	509523	5685054	98.81	0.13	0.01	0.31	0.03	0.01	0.01	22
299572	509382	5685160	98.42	0.09	0.01	0.29	0.01	0.01	0.01	23
299573	509397	5685160	98.92	0.11	0.01	0.36	<0.01	0.01	<0.01	18
299574	509406	5685142	99.12	0.09	0.01	0.30	0.02	0.01	<0.01	17
299575	509409	5685120	98.56	0.14	0.01	0.37	<0.01	0.01	<0.01	21
299581	509357	5685172	98.84	0.08	0.02	0.32	<0.01	0.01	0.01	18
299582	509429	5685142	98.87	0.15	0.01	0.29	<0.01	0.01	0.02	8
299583	509446	5685146	98.25	0.33	0.02	0.33	0.03	0.01	0.03	17
299584	509455	5685145	99.49	0.11	0.02	0.27	<0.01	0.01	0.01	5
299585	509473	5685142	98.66	0.08	0.01	0.36	<0.01	0.01	<0.01	6
299586	509493	5685133	98.52	0.05	0.01	0.29	<0.01	0.01	<0.01	<5

Sample #	Easting (m)	Northing (m)	SiO₂ (%)	Al₂O₃ (%)	CaO (%)	Fe₂O₃ (%)	MgO (%)	P₂O₅(%)	TiO₂(%)	B (ppm)
248351	511603	5682006	98.60	0.28	0.08	0.25	0.04	0.01	0.01	15
248352	511563	5681948	99.45	0.15	0.02	0.22	0.02	0.01	<0.01	6
248353	511552	5681948	99.01	0.19	0.03	0.29	0.04	0.01	0.01	9
248354	511551	5681951	99.09	0.11	0.02	0.22	0.03	0.01	0.01	6
248355	511530	5681940	98.74	0.09	0.02	0.23	<0.01	0.01	<0.01	6
248356	511522	5681942	98.82	0.08	0.01	0.31	<0.01	0.01	<0.01	<5
248357	511512	5681951	98.31	0.09	0.01	0.24	0.01	0.01	0.01	5
248358	511485	5681948	98.14	0.13	0.28	0.32	0.03	0.01	0.01	8
248359	511461	5681935	99.49	0.11	0.02	0.30	0.02	0.01	<0.01	10
248360	511436	5681932	99.06	0.03	0.05	0.25	0.01	0.02	<0.01	5
248361	511444	5681918	99.42	0.07	0.01	0.29	0.02	0.01	<0.01	6
248362	511440	5681942	97.83	0.32	0.73	0.36	0.03	0.03	0.01	8
248364	511374	5682002	98.43	0.09	0.43	0.36	<0.01	0.16	<0.01	<5

Sample #	Easting (m)	Northing (m)	SiO₂ (%)	Al₂O₃ (%)	CaO (%)	Fe₂O₃ (%)	MgO (%)	P₂O₅(%)	TiO₂(%)	B (ppm)
248384	513642	5680350	98.22	0.37	0.21	0.41	0.14	0.02	0.03	27
248385	513671	5680320	95.82	0.57	0.69	0.51	0.52	0.02	0.03	30
248386	513685	5680313	97.77	0.48	0.05	0.37	0.05	0.01	0.03	30
248387	513708	5680285	98.90	0.36	0.02	0.35	0.04	<0.01	0.03	30
248388	513735	5680261	98.11	0.32	0.03	0.31	0.04	<0.01	0.03	35
248389	513748	5680244	98.05	0.49	0.03	0.30	0.03	<0.01	0.01	28
248390	513654	5680223	98.91	0.13	0.01	0.27	0.04	<0.01	0.01	29
248391	513627	5680208	98.74	0.09	0.02	0.30	0.02	<0.01	0.02	27
248392	513600	5680217	99.52	0.06	0.02	0.32	0.03	<0.01	0.01	23
248393	513564	5680220	96.98	1.04	0.05	0.33	0.07	0.03	0.07	41
248394	513592	5680259	98.91	0.30	0.13	0.35	0.13	<0.01	0.02	31
248395	513390	5680466	99.26	0.11	0.02	0.35	0.03	<0.01	0.01	25
248396	513367	5680495	98.81	0.12	0.07	0.34	0.04	<0.01	0.01	25
248397	513332	5680531	99.25	0.08	0.02	0.37	0.01	<0.01	0.01	26
248398	513301	5680539	99.08	0.15	0.21	0.33	0.04	<0.01	0.01	27
248399	513283	5680559	98.76	0.07	0.09	0.36	0.02	<0.01	0.01	22
248400	513263	5680602	98.77	0.08	0.01	0.29	<0.01	<0.01	0.01	24
299501	513231	5680636	98.14	0.15	0.02	0.41	0.02	<0.01	0.01	26
299502	513188	5680660	99.05	0.20	0.02	0.27	<0.01	<0.01	0.01	27
299503	513160	5680700	99.07	0.16	0.02	0.31	0.02	<0.01	0.01	27
299504	513133	5680705	98.85	0.13	0.02	0.26	0.01	<0.01	0.01	26
299508	513834	5679986	98.68	0.15	0.03	0.26	0.02	<0.01	0.01	21
299509	513876	5679941	98.88	0.23	0.03	0.27	0.04	<0.01	0.03	34
299510	513904	5679907	99.08	0.05	0.02	0.29	<0.01	<0.01	0.01	11
299511	513968	5679864	99.82	0.15	0.02	0.27	0.02	<0.01	0.01	23
299512	514023	5679832	99.21	0.12	0.02	0.29	0.03	<0.01	0.03	10
299513	514070	5679980	97.08	1.11	0.02	0.75	0.09	0.01	0.05	18
299514	514081	5680011	96.66	1.27	0.02	0.43	0.05	0.01	0.07	26
299515	514075	5680039	98.58	0.26	0.07	0.45	0.07	0.01	0.03	14

Channel	From (m)	To (m)	Interval (m)	SiO₂ (%)	Al₂O₃ (%)	CaO (%)	Fe₂O₃ (%)	MgO (%)	P₂O₅(%)	TiO₂(%)	B (ppm)
TM1	0.00	4.74	4.74	98.83	0.15	0.01	0.30	0.01	0.01	0.01	24
TM2	0.00	5.80	5.80	98.88	0.10	0.01	0.33	0.01	0.01	0.01	10
5.80	6.30	0.50	Overburden
6.30	8.83	2.53	98.90	0.10	0.01	0.30	0.01	0.01	0.02	7
8.83	9.38	0.55	Overburden
9.38	13.0	3.62	99.21	0.09	<0.01	0.35	0.01	0.01	0.02	11
TM3	0.00	7.60	7.60	99.03	0.11	<0.01	0.32	0.01	0.01	0.02	7
7.60	10.20	2.60	Overburden
10.20	11.00	0.80	99.08	0.11	<0.01	0.27	0.01	0.01	0.02	6
11.00	11.90	0.90	Overburden
11.90	18.00	6.10	98.79	0.11	<0.01	0.29	<0.01	0.01	0.02	10
TM4	0.00	5.22	5.22	99.09	0.09	<0.01	0.33	<0.01	0.01	0.02	12
TM5	0.00	3.80	3.80	98.82	0.15	<0.01	0.29	<0.01	0.01	0.04	15
3.80	4.50	0.70	Overburden
4.50	7.00	2.50	98.85	0.12	<0.01	0.31	0.02	0.01	0.02	20
7.00	10.20	3.20	Overburden
10.20	12.00	1.80	98.77	0.09	<0.01	0.34	0.01	<0.01	0.01	12
12.00	13.00	1.00	Overburden
13.00	17.50	4.50	98.30	0.15	0.09	0.34	0.02	<0.01	0.01	13
17.50	20.10	2.60	Overburden
20.10	33.20	13.10	98.81	0.11	<0.01	0.31	0.01	<0.01	0.01	9

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