Barron’s reported that according to Commerzbank, in July, the SPDR Gold Trust (ARCA:GLD), iShares Gold Trust (ARCA:IAU) and similar exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw their biggest investor inflows since November 2012.
The 15.7 tons registered constituted the largest monthly quantity since November 2012, but one swallow doesn’t make a summer. Over the year so far on balance, there has still been an outflow of some 30 tons of gold from ETFs. In view of the headwinds presented by additional demand components, the ETF inflows will probably merely have slowed down the price decline in recent weeks. While the present negative factors remain – a strong US dollar, weak physical demand in Asia, and weak coin sales in the west – we do not envisage any serious price gains. In addition to modest coin sales in the US, Australian coin sales too, for example, dipped sharply month on month in July to 25,100 ounces.